TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13148579
Played Sep 18Finished
Jakub Simek
Home
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
6117111141210118
Pavel Oplt
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:23 and never touched — 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timePavel Oplt to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJakub Simek above · Pavel Oplt below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 12-10
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 91 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Pavel Oplt at 58.9%
91 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Simek 0–2 Pavel Oplt Jakub Simek has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:23What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Oplt
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Simek 1560 vs Oplt 1591
Oplt
Wrong
both rated, 32 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Simek 60% vs Oplt 40%
Simek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Simek 70% vs Oplt 40%
Simek
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Simek +1 · Oplt -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Oplt)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Oplt form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSimek 2.25 / Oplt 1.57
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Oplt)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13148579
Simek2.25
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog33% won 6 of 18
Down 0–1, comes back31% 4 of 13
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 6
Oplt1.57
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite54% won 27 of 50
Up 2–0, closes it91% 10 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it73% 16 of 22
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeSimek0wins
AwayOplt2wins
1 of 2 to a deciderOplt leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricSimekOpltS − OBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match40.546.0−5.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSimekOpltBasisWin rate · lifetime80 / 158 vs 105 / 20050.6%52.5%80 / 158 vs 105 / 200Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.139.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OpltSimek 2.25/Oplt 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.9%
Oplt · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Simek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LMar 27 · 17:49J. Simek38410111122P. Oplt45111265113
LMar 27 · 16:45J. Simek431599101P. Oplt47131111123
J. Simek10
LSep 18 · 10:45J. Simek2.10761171M. Svitac1.6711115113WSep 8 · 20:43J. Simek1.539171110143P. Maly2.381115412122LSep 8 · 19:45J. Simek1.50711851J. Juppa2.5011711113WSep 8 · 18:15P. Maly2.251211512102J. Simek1.571431110123WSep 8 · 17:45R. Merkl2.38811571J. Simek1.5311811113WSep 4 · 16:59J. Simek1.73111172O. Horak2.0078111LSep 4 · 15:45J. Simek1.8312511582M. Bruk1.831011511113WSep 4 · 14:15P. Provaznik2.0011761172J. Simek1.73711117113WSep 4 · 13:45O. Horak1.83971191J. Simek1.8311119113WSep 3 · 16:34J. Simek1.4411711113T. Hybl2.63611751
P. Oplt10
WSep 18 · 10:15T. Hucko2.20119771P. Oplt1.6171111113LSep 17 · 20:17M. Hajek1.53118711113P. Oplt2.3871111892LSep 17 · 19:15D. Brichacek1.911111113P. Oplt1.805870WSep 17 · 18:45P. Oplt1.671114611113P. Orlowski2.1091611872LSep 17 · 17:45P. Oplt1.5310770M. Hajek2.381211113WSep 11 · 12:13M. Hajek2.25117691P. Oplt1.5761111113LSep 11 · 11:15P. Oplt1.911081161P. Semrad1.8012116113WSep 11 · 10:15P. Oplt1.6111511113M. Hajek2.20311451LSep 11 · 09:15P. Oplt1.8061080Z. Vasatko1.911112113LSep 7 · 17:10P. Oplt1.9151111752P. Semrad1.80119711113
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