TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13148504
Played Sep 18Finished
Tomas Hucko
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
117911711711––
Pavel Oplt
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:46 and never touched — 59.3% is still 59.3%
Graded at full timePavel Oplt to win
59.3%
59.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Hucko above · Pavel Oplt below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 74 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Pavel Oplt at 59.3%
74 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Hucko 2–5 Pavel Oplt Tomas Hucko has won 2 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:46What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Oplt
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-5 in 7
Oplt
Correct
gap of 3 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hucko 1646 vs Oplt 1591
Hucko
Wrong
both rated, 55 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hucko 40% vs Oplt 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hucko 60% vs Oplt 40%
Hucko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hucko -1 · Oplt -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Oplt)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Oplt form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHucko 2.20 / Oplt 1.61
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Oplt)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13148504
Hucko2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog45% won 26 of 58
Down 0–1, comes back27% 8 of 30
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 16
Oplt1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite54% won 27 of 50
Up 2–0, closes it91% 10 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it73% 16 of 22
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeHucko2wins
AwayOplt5wins
3 of 7 to a deciderOplt leads 5–2, and 3 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHuckon = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayOplt80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hucko2Oplt5n = 7Oplt took 5 of 7
S2Hucko4Oplt3n = 7Hucko took 4 of 7
S3Hucko4Oplt3n = 7Hucko took 4 of 7
S4Hucko2Oplt5n = 7Oplt took 5 of 7
S5Hucko1Oplt2n = 3Oplt took 2 of 3
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home114%
3–2Decider, home114%
2–3Decider, away229%
1–3Four sets, away343%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricHuckoOpltH − OBasisWins25−3in 7 meetingsFirst set25−3of 7Avg pointsper match40.943.7−2.8per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHuckoOpltBasisWin rate · lifetime171 / 325 vs 105 / 20052.6%52.5%171 / 325 vs 105 / 200Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.539.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OpltHucko 2.20/Oplt 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.3%
Oplt · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Oplt won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LMay 22 · 06:15T. Hucko407914101P. Oplt46111112123
WApr 30 · 05:15T. Hucko46111211123P. Oplt4213109101
LFeb 4 · 06:30T. Hucko531111121182P. Oplt50481413113
LOct 29 · 08:30T. Hucko31571361P. Oplt44111111113
LSep 10 · 06:30T. Hucko30711841P. Oplt3711411113
WJul 4 · 17:30T. Hucko42111154113P. Oplt3946111172
LJul 4 · 14:45T. Hucko4496111262P. Oplt481111510113
T. Hucko10
WSep 18 · 11:15T. Hucko1.67961111113J. Simek2.1011117362LSep 18 · 09:15T. Hucko1.91981171M. Svitac1.8011118113WSep 9 · 16:38L. Kolman1.85311561T. Hucko1.8511811113LSep 9 · 15:30P. Provaznik2.2513411113T. Hucko1.571111771WSep 9 · 15:00T. Hucko1.73158116143L. Kolman2.001311711122LSep 9 · 14:00T. Hucko1.576490P. Hala2.251111113WSep 4 · 12:13M. Svitac1.7313580T. Hucko2.001511113LSep 4 · 11:15T. Hucko2.0015414462M. Svitac1.7313111211113WSep 4 · 10:15T. Hucko1.801113113M. Hajek1.9191170WSep 4 · 09:15T. Hucko1.8351111113Z. Vasatko1.83116871
P. Oplt10
LSep 18 · 09:45J. Simek2.25671112113P. Oplt1.57111141082LSep 17 · 20:17M. Hajek1.53118711113P. Oplt2.3871111892LSep 17 · 19:15D. Brichacek1.911111113P. Oplt1.805870WSep 17 · 18:45P. Oplt1.671114611113P. Orlowski2.1091611872LSep 17 · 17:45P. Oplt1.5310770M. Hajek2.381211113WSep 11 · 12:13M. Hajek2.25117691P. Oplt1.5761111113LSep 11 · 11:15P. Oplt1.911081161P. Semrad1.8012116113WSep 11 · 10:15P. Oplt1.6111511113M. Hajek2.20311451LSep 11 · 09:15P. Oplt1.8061080Z. Vasatko1.911112113LSep 7 · 17:10P. Oplt1.9151111752P. Semrad1.80119711113
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