TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13142895
Played Sep 17Finished
Pavel Oplt
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1191416611118117
Petr Orlowski
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:43 and never touched — 55.6% is still 55.6%
Graded at full timePetr Orlowski to win
55.6%
55.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingPavel Oplt above · Petr Orlowski below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 14-16
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 104 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Petr Orlowski at 55.6%
104 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:43What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Oplt
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Oplt 1596 vs Orlowski 1707
Orlowski
Wrong
both rated, 111 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Oplt 40% vs Orlowski 80%
Orlowski
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Oplt 50% vs Orlowski 70%
Orlowski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Oplt -1 · Orlowski +4
Orlowski
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Oplt) · live re-read · sealed at 44% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Orlowski form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOplt 1.67 / Orlowski 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Oplt)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13142895
Oplt1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite54% won 27 of 50
Up 2–0, closes it91% 10 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it73% 16 of 22
Orlowski2.10
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog54% won 35 of 65
Down 0–1, comes back36% 12 of 33
Down 0–2, comes back19% 3 of 16
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricOpltOrlowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime104 / 197 vs 187 / 34952.8%53.6%104 / 197 vs 187 / 349Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.740.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OpltOplt 1.67/Orlowski 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.8%
Oplt · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Oplt won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
P. Oplt10
LSep 17 · 19:15D. Brichacek1.911111113P. Oplt1.805870LSep 17 · 17:45P. Oplt1.5310770M. Hajek2.381211113WSep 11 · 12:13M. Hajek2.25117691P. Oplt1.5761111113LSep 11 · 11:15P. Oplt1.911081161P. Semrad1.8012116113WSep 11 · 10:15P. Oplt1.6111511113M. Hajek2.20311451LSep 11 · 09:15P. Oplt1.8061080Z. Vasatko1.911112113LSep 7 · 17:10P. Oplt1.9151111752P. Semrad1.80119711113WSep 7 · 16:00D. Marasek2.10101111892P. Oplt1.67127511113LSep 7 · 15:00P. Semrad1.911111113P. Oplt1.809890WSep 7 · 13:30L. Smazik2.10101140P. Oplt1.671213113
P. Orlowski10
WSep 17 · 19:45M. Hajek1.735970P. Orlowski2.001111113WSep 17 · 17:15D. Brichacek1.7311771572P. Orlowski2.008111113113WSep 9 · 20:43J. Jnr1.8311118972P. Orlowski1.83851111113WSep 9 · 19:15J. Gruber2.00311911122P. Orlowski1.73117118143WSep 9 · 18:45P. Orlowski1.4491111113S. Kalensky2.63114691LSep 9 · 17:45P. Orlowski1.919101111112J. Jnr1.80111295133LSep 7 · 20:59D. Brichacek2.101111123P. Orlowski1.6775100LSep 7 · 19:30P. Orlowski1.8085110A. Pavlik1.911111133WSep 7 · 18:30P. Orlowski1.5011119113S. Kalensky2.50761171WSep 7 · 17:30P. Orlowski1.83111110113D. Brichacek1.83571261
Upcoming Matches
P. Oplt
P. Orlowski
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