TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13142010
Played Sep 17Finished
Miroslav Hajek
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511911711––––
Petr Orlowski
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:23 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMiroslav Hajek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMiroslav Hajek above · Petr Orlowski below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 54 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Miroslav Hajek at 54.0%
54 points played in total.
H2H Miroslav Hajek 5–4 Petr Orlowski Petr Orlowski has won 4 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:23What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Hajek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-4 in 9
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hajek 1672 vs Orlowski 1693
Orlowski
Correct
both rated, 21 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hajek 40% vs Orlowski 80%
Orlowski
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hajek 60% vs Orlowski 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hajek -1 · Orlowski -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Hajek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Orlowski form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHajek 1.73 / Orlowski 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Hajek)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13142010
Hajek1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite55% won 62 of 113
Up 2–0, closes it90% 34 of 38
Up 1–0, closes it75% 48 of 64
Orlowski2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog54% won 35 of 65
Down 0–1, comes back36% 12 of 33
Down 0–2, comes back19% 3 of 16
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeHajek5wins
AwayOrlowski4wins
3 of 9 to a deciderHajek leads 5–4, and 3 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHajek80%4 of 5
AwayOrlowski75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hajek5Orlowski4n = 9Hajek took 5 of 9
S2Hajek4Orlowski5n = 9Orlowski took 5 of 9
S3Hajek4Orlowski5n = 9Orlowski took 5 of 9
S4Hajek6Orlowski2n = 8Hajek took 6 of 8
S5Hajek1Orlowski2n = 3Orlowski took 2 of 3
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home444%
3–2Decider, home111%
2–3Decider, away222%
1–3Four sets, away111%
0–3Straight, away111%
These 9 meetings
MetricHajekOrlowskiH − OBasisWins54+1in 9 meetingsFirst set54+1of 9Avg pointsper match38.638.3+0.3per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHajekOrlowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime366 / 678 vs 187 / 35054%53.4%366 / 678 vs 187 / 350Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.840.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HajekHajek 1.73/Orlowski 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Hajek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Orlowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LSep 6 · 07:00M. Hajek30461371P. Orlowski44111111113
WAug 17 · 20:43M. Hajek50118911113P. Orlowski4161111582
LAug 17 · 18:45M. Hajek3735111172P. Orlowski48111169113
WJan 7 · 20:00M. Hajek3711114113P. Orlowski29651171
LJul 8 · 17:15M. Hajek194690P. Orlowski331111113
LJun 4 · 18:15M. Hajek45111111932P. Orlowski52913811113
WJun 3 · 18:15M. Hajek4291111113P. Orlowski31115871
WMay 14 · 18:30M. Hajek43111110113P. Orlowski27261271
WMar 31 · 19:45M. Hajek44111210113P. Orlowski409101291
M. Hajek10
WSep 17 · 20:17M. Hajek1.53118711113P. Oplt2.3871111892LSep 17 · 18:15D. Brichacek1.7311116113M. Hajek2.00781191WSep 17 · 17:45P. Oplt1.5310770M. Hajek2.381211113LSep 15 · 16:49D. Marasek1.831211113M. Hajek1.8310790WSep 15 · 15:45M. Hajek1.831117113D. Marasek1.8391570LSep 15 · 14:15Z. Vasatko2.0091111133M. Hajek1.731189111WSep 15 · 13:45P. Semrad1.671371011112M. Hajek2.101111127133LSep 14 · 12:24M. Hajek1.6151281192Z. Vasatko2.201110117113WSep 14 · 11:15Z. Vasatko2.10511961M. Hajek1.6711911113WSep 14 · 10:45M. Hajek1.6111149113M. Svitac2.205121141
P. Orlowski10
LSep 17 · 20:44P. Orlowski1.919960D. Brichacek1.801111113LSep 17 · 18:45P. Oplt1.671114611113P. Orlowski2.1091611872WSep 17 · 17:15D. Brichacek1.7311771572P. Orlowski2.008111113113WSep 9 · 20:43J. Jnr1.8311118972P. Orlowski1.83851111113WSep 9 · 19:15J. Gruber2.00311911122P. Orlowski1.73117118143WSep 9 · 18:45P. Orlowski1.4491111113S. Kalensky2.63114691LSep 9 · 17:45P. Orlowski1.919101111112J. Jnr1.80111295133LSep 7 · 20:59D. Brichacek2.101111123P. Orlowski1.6775100LSep 7 · 19:30P. Orlowski1.8085110A. Pavlik1.911111133WSep 7 · 18:30P. Orlowski1.5011119113S. Kalensky2.50761171
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