TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13131335
Played Sep 15Finished
Miroslav Hajek
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1191715117––––
Dominik Marasek
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:46 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDominik Marasek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMiroslav Hajek above · Dominik Marasek below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 17-15
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 70 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Dominik Marasek at 54.0%
70 points played in total.
H2H Miroslav Hajek 7–11 Dominik Marasek Miroslav Hajek has won 7 of their 18 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 20:46What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Marasek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-11 in 18
Marasek
Wrong
gap of 4 in 18, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hajek 1659 vs Marasek 1719
Marasek
Wrong
both rated, 61 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hajek 60% vs Marasek 80%
Marasek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hajek 60% vs Marasek 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hajek -1 · Marasek +3
Marasek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Marasek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Marasek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHajek 1.83 / Marasek 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Marasek)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13131335
Hajek1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Marasek1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHajek4wins
AwayMarasek6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderMarasek leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHajek50%2 of 4
AwayMarasek66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hajek4Marasek6n = 10Marasek took 6 of 10
S2Hajek5Marasek5n = 10split evenly
S3Hajek6Marasek4n = 10Hajek took 6 of 10
S4Hajek5Marasek5n = 10split evenly
S5Hajek1Marasek3n = 4Marasek took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricHajekMarasekH − MBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match43.342.1+1.2per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHajekMarasekBasisWin rate · lifetime364 / 674 vs 124 / 24054%51.7%364 / 674 vs 124 / 240Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.839.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MarasekHajek 1.83/Marasek 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Marasek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Hajek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 12 · 14:15M. Hajek341138121D. Marasek4041111143
LAug 10 · 17:45M. Hajek4914117892D. Marasek511261111113
WAug 7 · 16:30M. Hajek43101111113D. Marasek33123991
LAug 7 · 15:00M. Hajek441191681D. Marasek49131114113
WMay 7 · 16:14M. Hajek4291111113D. Marasek29117651
LMay 7 · 13:45M. Hajek4368111172D. Marasek48111169113
WMar 16 · 16:15M. Hajek4011117113D. Marasek36791191
WMar 2 · 16:15M. Hajek541211119113D. Marasek44103131172
LFeb 2 · 15:45M. Hajek38891291D. Marasek43111110113
LJan 14 · 18:00M. Hajek4697111182D. Marasek48111196113
M. Hajek10
LSep 15 · 14:15Z. Vasatko2.0091111133M. Hajek1.731189111WSep 15 · 13:45P. Semrad1.671371011112M. Hajek2.101111127133LSep 14 · 12:24M. Hajek1.6151281192Z. Vasatko2.201110117113WSep 14 · 11:15Z. Vasatko2.10511961M. Hajek1.6711911113WSep 14 · 10:45M. Hajek1.6111149113M. Svitac2.205121141WSep 14 · 09:45M. Hajek1.801111113L. Smazik1.918870WSep 12 · 13:09Z. Vasatko1.809970M. Hajek1.91111193LSep 12 · 12:00M. Hajek1.7371111462Z. Vasatko2.00119711113WSep 12 · 10:30L. Smazik1.83125741M. Hajek1.83101111113LSep 12 · 10:00P. Semrad1.53101212143M. Hajek2.38121010121
D. Marasek10
WSep 15 · 14:45P. Semrad1.57131011672D. Marasek2.251112911113WSep 15 · 13:15Z. Vasatko1.6771181182D. Marasek2.10119115113WSep 7 · 16:38D. Marasek1.831115119113L. Smazik1.8351741172LSep 7 · 16:00D. Marasek2.10101111892P. Oplt1.67127511113WSep 7 · 14:30L. Smazik1.804630D. Marasek1.911111113LSep 7 · 14:00P. Semrad1.578111111113D. Marasek2.2511713292WSep 3 · 17:03D. Marasek2.38141111113P. Semrad1.53165991LSep 3 · 16:00P. Semrad1.5011116113D. Marasek2.50561171WSep 3 · 15:00J. Simek2.638990D. Marasek1.441111113WSep 3 · 13:30T. Hybl2.2597100D. Marasek1.571111123
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