TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13148770
Played Sep 17Finished
Petr Orlowski
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911911611––––
David Brichacek
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingPetr Orlowski above · David Brichacek below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 57 set 3, 6-11
57 points played in total.
H2H Petr Orlowski 7–7 David Brichacek Dead even across their 14 meetings.
Last 10 · 6–4Head to head
Same-day rematch · 4h before this match
Orlowski beat Brichacek 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Brichacek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Brichacek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOrlowski 1.91 / Brichacek 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Brichacek)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13148770
Orlowski1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog54% won 35 of 65
Down 0–1, comes back36% 12 of 33
Down 0–2, comes back19% 3 of 16
Brichacek1.80
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite59% won 105 of 178
Up 2–0, closes it93% 54 of 58
Up 1–0, closes it78% 74 of 95
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeOrlowski6wins
AwayBrichacek4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderOrlowski leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOrlowski80%4 of 5
AwayBrichacek60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Orlowski5Brichacek5n = 10split evenly
S2Orlowski3Brichacek7n = 10Brichacek took 7 of 10
S3Orlowski5Brichacek5n = 10split evenly
S4Orlowski5Brichacek3n = 8Orlowski took 5 of 8
S5Orlowski3Brichacek1n = 4Orlowski took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricOrlowskiBrichacekO − BBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match40.338.8+1.5per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOrlowskiBrichacekBasisWin rate · lifetime188 / 351 vs 177 / 32753.6%54.1%188 / 351 vs 177 / 327Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.638.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BrichacekOrlowski 1.91/Brichacek 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Brichacek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Brichacek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 17 · 17:15P. Orlowski548111113113D. Brichacek4711771572
LSep 7 · 20:59P. Orlowski2275100D. Brichacek341111123
WSep 7 · 17:30P. Orlowski43111110113D. Brichacek30571261
LSep 4 · 21:33P. Orlowski4411811592D. Brichacek41611211113
WSep 4 · 18:00P. Orlowski3911116113D. Brichacek32871161
WAug 23 · 06:45P. Orlowski46821111143D. Brichacek50111179122
WAug 20 · 17:45P. Orlowski52129711133D. Brichacek491011116112
LAug 13 · 18:15P. Orlowski219480D. Brichacek331111113
WJul 13 · 18:00P. Orlowski4511914113D. Brichacek326111231
LJul 7 · 19:00P. Orlowski377711121D. Brichacek4011114143
P. Orlowski10
WSep 17 · 19:45M. Hajek1.735970P. Orlowski2.001111113LSep 17 · 18:45P. Oplt1.671114611113P. Orlowski2.1091611872WSep 17 · 17:15D. Brichacek1.7311771572P. Orlowski2.008111113113WSep 9 · 20:43J. Jnr1.8311118972P. Orlowski1.83851111113WSep 9 · 19:15J. Gruber2.00311911122P. Orlowski1.73117118143WSep 9 · 18:45P. Orlowski1.4491111113S. Kalensky2.63114691LSep 9 · 17:45P. Orlowski1.919101111112J. Jnr1.80111295133LSep 7 · 20:59D. Brichacek2.101111123P. Orlowski1.6775100LSep 7 · 19:30P. Orlowski1.8085110A. Pavlik1.911111133WSep 7 · 18:30P. Orlowski1.5011119113S. Kalensky2.50761171
D. Brichacek10
WSep 17 · 19:15D. Brichacek1.911111113P. Oplt1.805870WSep 17 · 18:15D. Brichacek1.7311116113M. Hajek2.00781191LSep 17 · 17:15D. Brichacek1.7311771572P. Orlowski2.008111113113WSep 13 · 16:58D. Brichacek2.0011118113T. Hybl1.73851181WSep 13 · 15:45D. Brichacek1.40611117113J. Snr2.7511561162WSep 13 · 14:15P. Maly2.0011117572D. Brichacek1.73591111113WSep 13 · 13:45T. Hybl1.613118101D. Brichacek2.2011711123WSep 12 · 08:54D. Brichacek1.4081111113M. Taranko2.75119961LSep 12 · 07:45D. Brichacek1.57915110T. Kanka2.251117133WSep 7 · 20:59D. Brichacek2.101111123P. Orlowski1.6775100
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