TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13125728
Played Sep 13Finished
David Brichacek
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
118115811118––
Tomas Hybl
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingDavid Brichacek above · Tomas Hybl below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 73 set 4, 11-8
73 points played in total.
H2H David Brichacek 3–4 Tomas Hybl David Brichacek has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Brichacek beat Hybl 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Brichacek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hybl form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBrichacek 2.00 / Hybl 1.73
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Brichacek)+7.7pp
Setka Cup · #13125728
Brichacek2.00
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog48% won 48 of 101
Down 0–1, comes back41% 23 of 56
Down 0–2, comes back15% 4 of 26
Hybl1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite71% won 31 of 44
Up 2–0, closes it100% 10 of 10
Up 1–0, closes it86% 18 of 21
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeBrichacek3wins
AwayHybl4wins
2 of 7 to a deciderHybl leads 4–3, and 2 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBrichacek60%3 of 5
AwayHybln = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Brichacek5Hybl2n = 7Brichacek took 5 of 7
S2Brichacek4Hybl3n = 7Brichacek took 4 of 7
S3Brichacek3Hybl4n = 7Hybl took 4 of 7
S4Brichacek2Hybl3n = 5Hybl took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home114%
3–1Four sets, home229%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away229%
1–3Four sets, away114%
0–3Straight, away114%
These 7 meetings
MetricBrichacekHyblB − HBasisWins34−1in 7 meetingsFirst set52+3of 7Avg pointsper match37.137.0+0.1per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBrichacekHyblBasisWin rate · lifetime174 / 323 vs 84 / 16553.9%50.9%174 / 323 vs 84 / 165Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.537.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BrichacekBrichacek 2.00/Hybl 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Brichacek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Brichacek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WSep 13 · 13:45D. Brichacek4111711123T. Hybl323118101
WAug 29 · 07:30D. Brichacek4311911123T. Hybl345118101
LAug 15 · 18:15D. Brichacek42121118102T. Hybl511071111123
WJun 14 · 13:04D. Brichacek351113113T. Hybl2571170
LJun 14 · 12:00D. Brichacek323116121T. Hybl4211611143
LMay 16 · 13:04D. Brichacek4211117852T. Hybl40521111113
LMay 16 · 09:30D. Brichacek2561180T. Hybl351113113
D. Brichacek10
WSep 13 · 15:45D. Brichacek1.40611117113J. Snr2.7511561162WSep 13 · 14:15P. Maly2.0011117572D. Brichacek1.73591111113WSep 13 · 13:45T. Hybl1.613118101D. Brichacek2.2011711123WSep 12 · 08:54D. Brichacek1.4081111113M. Taranko2.75119961LSep 12 · 07:45D. Brichacek1.57915110T. Kanka2.251117133WSep 12 · 06:15M. Taranko2.633870D. Brichacek1.441111113WSep 12 · 05:45Z. Kuksa2.3812714232D. Brichacek1.5310111211113WSep 7 · 20:59D. Brichacek2.101111123P. Orlowski1.6775100WSep 7 · 20:00S. Kalensky3.50512741D. Brichacek1.28111011113WSep 7 · 19:00A. Pavlik1.80118691D. Brichacek1.9171111113
T. Hybl10
WSep 13 · 15:15P. Maly2.004270T. Hybl1.731111113WSep 13 · 14:45T. Hybl1.5091111123J. Snr2.501168101LSep 13 · 13:45T. Hybl1.613118101D. Brichacek2.2011711123LSep 3 · 16:34J. Simek1.4411711113T. Hybl2.63611751LSep 3 · 15:30T. Hybl1.7311611672J. Simek2.00511811113WSep 3 · 14:30T. Hybl1.8081111133P. Semrad1.911157111LSep 3 · 13:30T. Hybl2.2597100D. Marasek1.571111123LAug 29 · 08:29R. Merkl2.63118117113T. Hybl1.4481171162LAug 29 · 07:30D. Brichacek2.5011911123T. Hybl1.505118101WAug 29 · 07:00T. Hybl1.50111111113R. Merkl2.50781371
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