TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13142107
Played Sep 17Finished
David Brichacek
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115118117––––
Pavel Oplt
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:33 and never touched — 64.2% is still 64.2%
Graded at full timeDavid Brichacek to win
64.2%
64.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDavid Brichacek above · Pavel Oplt below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 53 set 3, 11-7 — our read held David Brichacek at 64.2%
53 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:33What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Oplt
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Brichacek 1730 vs Oplt 1596
Brichacek
Correct
both rated, 134 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Brichacek 80% vs Oplt 40%
Brichacek
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Brichacek 80% vs Oplt 50%
Brichacek
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Brichacek +1 · Oplt -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Oplt) · live re-read · sealed at 36% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Oplt form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBrichacek 1.91 / Oplt 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Oplt)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13142107
Brichacek1.91
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog49% won 50 of 103
Down 0–1, comes back41% 23 of 56
Down 0–2, comes back15% 4 of 26
Oplt1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite54% won 27 of 50
Up 2–0, closes it91% 10 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it73% 16 of 22
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricBrichacekOpltBasisWin rate · lifetime176 / 326 vs 104 / 19754%52.8%176 / 326 vs 104 / 197Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.539.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OpltBrichacek 1.91/Oplt 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Oplt · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Brichacek won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
D. Brichacek10
WSep 17 · 18:15D. Brichacek1.7311116113M. Hajek2.00781191LSep 17 · 17:15D. Brichacek1.7311771572P. Orlowski2.008111113113WSep 13 · 16:58D. Brichacek2.0011118113T. Hybl1.73851181WSep 13 · 15:45D. Brichacek1.40611117113J. Snr2.7511561162WSep 13 · 14:15P. Maly2.0011117572D. Brichacek1.73591111113WSep 13 · 13:45T. Hybl1.613118101D. Brichacek2.2011711123WSep 12 · 08:54D. Brichacek1.4081111113M. Taranko2.75119961LSep 12 · 07:45D. Brichacek1.57915110T. Kanka2.251117133WSep 12 · 06:15M. Taranko2.633870D. Brichacek1.441111113WSep 12 · 05:45Z. Kuksa2.3812714232D. Brichacek1.5310111211113
P. Oplt10
WSep 17 · 18:45P. Oplt1.671114611113P. Orlowski2.1091611872LSep 17 · 17:45P. Oplt1.5310770M. Hajek2.381211113WSep 11 · 12:13M. Hajek2.25117691P. Oplt1.5761111113LSep 11 · 11:15P. Oplt1.911081161P. Semrad1.8012116113WSep 11 · 10:15P. Oplt1.6111511113M. Hajek2.20311451LSep 11 · 09:15P. Oplt1.8061080Z. Vasatko1.911112113LSep 7 · 17:10P. Oplt1.9151111752P. Semrad1.80119711113WSep 7 · 16:00D. Marasek2.10101111892P. Oplt1.67127511113LSep 7 · 15:00P. Semrad1.911111113P. Oplt1.809890WSep 7 · 13:30L. Smazik2.10101140P. Oplt1.671213113
Upcoming Matches
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P. Oplt
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