TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13147698
Played Sep 17Finished
Jiri Louda
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1171131311––––
Adam Brazda
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 5
How it is goingJiri Louda above · Adam Brazda below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 13-11
Point 56 set 3, 13-11
56 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Louda 35–13 Adam Brazda Adam Brazda has won 13 of their 48 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Louda beat Brazda 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Louda)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Brazda form (0%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLouda 1.50 / Brazda 2.50
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Louda)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13147698
Louda1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite57% won 186 of 324
Up 2–0, closes it87% 83 of 96
Up 1–0, closes it73% 136 of 187
Brazda2.50
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog45% won 31 of 69
Down 0–1, comes back39% 14 of 36
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 14
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLouda7wins
AwayBrazda3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLouda leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLouda75%6 of 8
AwayBrazdan = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Louda8Brazda2n = 10Louda took 8 of 10
S2Louda6Brazda4n = 10Louda took 6 of 10
S3Louda8Brazda2n = 10Louda took 8 of 10
S4Louda2Brazda4n = 6Brazda took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricLoudaBrazdaL − BBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match39.132.9+6.2per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLoudaBrazdaBasisWin rate · lifetime613 / 1202 vs 187 / 39951%46.9%613 / 1202 vs 187 / 399Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.436.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LoudaLouda 1.50/Brazda 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.1%
Louda · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Louda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 17 · 14:00J. Louda331111113A. Brazda249870
LSep 6 · 10:00J. Louda401198121A. Brazda4591111143
LSep 1 · 15:00J. Louda31561281A. Brazda43111110113
LAug 18 · 18:30J. Louda4511611892A. Brazda48811711113
WApr 28 · 14:00J. Louda351212113A. Brazda25101050
WMar 4 · 17:59J. Louda331111113A. Brazda141580
WMar 4 · 16:30J. Louda4291111113A. Brazda23115521
WFeb 19 · 21:30J. Louda521111118113A. Brazda4561361192
WJan 29 · 22:26J. Louda45111112113A. Brazda35661491
WJan 29 · 19:00J. Louda351111133A. Brazda2779110
J. Louda10
LSep 17 · 16:30J. Louda1.737740M. Pikous2.001111113LSep 17 · 15:00J. Louda2.20127831R. Urbaniec1.61101111113WSep 17 · 14:00A. Brazda2.509870J. Louda1.501111113LSep 14 · 03:30J. Louda2.5571070J. Ruzicka1.431112113LSep 14 · 02:00O. Svacha1.36111163113J. Louda3.0065111182WSep 14 · 24:30J. Louda2.10111115123M. Wagner1.67113911102WSep 13 · 23:00J. Louda2.6311711113J. Ruzicka1.44711991WSep 13 · 22:00R. Urbaniec1.5389111182J. Louda2.38111184113WSep 13 · 03:00M. Regner1.8310280J. Louda1.831211113WSep 13 · 02:30S. Kasnik2.105650J. Louda1.671111113
A. Brazda10
LSep 17 · 16:00A. Brazda2.5097111162R. Urbaniec1.50111177113LSep 17 · 15:30M. Pikous1.6111119113A. Brazda2.20571151LSep 17 · 14:00A. Brazda2.509870J. Louda1.501111113LSep 14 · 17:00A. Brazda2.25114321R. Urbaniec1.5791111113LSep 14 · 16:00O. Kolisnyk1.331111113A. Brazda3.259860WSep 14 · 15:00R. Urbaniec1.57158961A. Brazda2.25131111113LSep 14 · 14:30A. Brazda2.75127551R. Rose1.40101111113LSep 10 · 17:30R. Urbaniec1.657111111113A. Brazda2.1011136462WSep 10 · 16:00V. Nohejl1.611171071A. Brazda2.2041112113LSep 10 · 15:00R. Urbaniec1.40141111113A. Brazda2.75167581
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