TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13127508
Played Sep 14Finished
Jiri Louda
Home
2.55
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
7111012711––––
Jiri Ruzicka
Away
1.43
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:04 and never touched — 62.6% is still 62.6%
Graded at full timeJiri Ruzicka to win
62.6%
62.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJiri Louda above · Jiri Ruzicka below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 58 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Jiri Ruzicka at 62.6%
58 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Louda 2–12 Jiri Ruzicka Jiri Louda has won 2 of their 14 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 5h before this match
Louda beat Ruzicka 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 03:04What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.43 (64%)
Ruzicka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-12 in 14
Ruzicka
Correct
gap of 10 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Louda 1696 vs Ruzicka 1727
Ruzicka
Correct
both rated, 31 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Louda 80% vs Ruzicka 60%
Louda
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Louda 50% vs Ruzicka 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Louda -1 · Ruzicka +3
Ruzicka
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Ruzicka) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Louda form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (39%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLouda 2.55 / Ruzicka 1.43
Signal prob.32% / 68%
Edge (Ruzicka)+4.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13127508
Louda2.55
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog38% won 53 of 141
Down 0–1, comes back14% 10 of 73
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 45
Ruzicka1.43
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 171 of 296
Up 2–0, closes it93% 94 of 101
Up 1–0, closes it77% 128 of 167
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLouda2wins
AwayRuzicka8wins
4 of 10 to a deciderRuzicka leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLouda33.3%2 of 6
AwayRuzicka100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Louda6Ruzicka4n = 10Louda took 6 of 10
S2Louda1Ruzicka9n = 10Ruzicka took 9 of 10
S3Louda3Ruzicka7n = 10Ruzicka took 7 of 10
S4Louda2Ruzicka4n = 6Ruzicka took 4 of 6
S5Louda1Ruzicka3n = 4Ruzicka took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricLoudaRuzickaL − RBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match36.640.6−4.0per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLoudaRuzickaBasisWin rate · lifetime612 / 1198 vs 676 / 140051.1%48.3%612 / 1198 vs 676 / 1400Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.438.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RuzickaLouda 2.55/Ruzicka 1.43
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.4%
Ruzicka · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Ruzicka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LMay 15 · 02:00J. Louda3911381162J. Ruzicka45511117113
LMay 10 · 02:30J. Louda257990J. Ruzicka331111113
LMay 3 · 20:58J. Louda5913111011142J. Ruzicka551131213163
LMay 3 · 19:00J. Louda2791080J. Ruzicka341112113
WApr 26 · 01:30J. Louda47116118113J. Ruzicka4041151192
WJan 10 · 03:30J. Louda3711211133J. Ruzicka398119111
LOct 18 · 03:30J. Louda3698190J. Ruzicka431111213
LOct 18 · 24:00J. Louda207490J. Ruzicka331111113
LAug 5 · 16:30J. Louda47119111062J. Ruzicka44211812113
LJul 19 · 22:30J. Louda29116841J. Ruzicka4071111113
J. Louda10
LSep 14 · 02:00O. Svacha1.36111163113J. Louda3.0065111182WSep 14 · 24:30J. Louda2.10111115123M. Wagner1.67113911102WSep 13 · 23:00J. Louda2.6311711113J. Ruzicka1.44711991WSep 13 · 22:00R. Urbaniec1.5389111182J. Louda2.38111184113WSep 13 · 03:00M. Regner1.8310280J. Louda1.831211113WSep 13 · 02:30S. Kasnik2.105650J. Louda1.671111113LSep 13 · 01:00R. Wagner1.8311811113J. Louda1.83911441LSep 12 · 23:30J. Louda2.006650R. Rose1.731111113LSep 12 · 22:00J. Louda1.736118111M. Regner2.0011711133LSep 11 · 02:59J. Louda1.50911591M. Sychra2.5011911113
J. Ruzicka10
WSep 14 · 02:30J. Ruzicka1.53111116123R. Urbaniec2.389918101WSep 14 · 01:30M. Wagner1.8011771142J. Ruzicka1.91911116113WSep 14 · 24:00J. Ruzicka1.80111110113O. Svacha1.91931261LSep 13 · 23:00J. Louda2.6311711113J. Ruzicka1.44711991LSep 13 · 16:58J. Ruzicka1.801110941V. Nohejl1.9171211113LSep 13 · 16:30O. Kolisnyk2.20111210133J. Ruzicka1.6171012111LSep 13 · 15:30J. Ruzicka2.5061190J. Jr1.501113113WSep 13 · 14:30V. Nohejl1.807980J. Ruzicka1.911111113LSep 12 · 21:30J. Ruzicka1.7312680O. Svacha2.001411113WSep 12 · 20:00J. Ruzicka1.6111511133O. Kolisnyk2.209115111
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