TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13119450
Played Sep 13Finished
Vaclav Nohejl 2005
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711911811––––
Jiri Ruzicka
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:42 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJiri Ruzicka to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVaclav Nohejl 2005 above · Jiri Ruzicka below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 57 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Jiri Ruzicka at 54.0%
57 points played in total.
H2H Vaclav Nohejl 2005 3–3 Jiri Ruzicka Dead even across their 6 meetings.
Last 6 · 3–3Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:42What took a side0 for · 2 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Nohejl
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-3 in 6
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Nohejl 1733 vs Ruzicka 1728
Nohejl
Wrong
both rated, 5 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Nohejl 60% vs Ruzicka 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Nohejl 70% vs Ruzicka 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Nohejl +1 · Ruzicka -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Nohejl) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNohejl 1.80 / Ruzicka 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Nohejl)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13119450
Nohejl1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite67% won 60 of 89
Up 2–0, closes it94% 32 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it79% 45 of 57
Ruzicka1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog39% won 133 of 341
Down 0–1, comes back20% 42 of 212
Down 0–2, comes back5% 6 of 112
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeNohejl3wins
AwayRuzicka3wins
2 of 6 to a deciderLevel at 3–3, and 2 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNohejl60%3 of 5
AwayRuzickan = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Nohejl5Ruzicka1n = 6Nohejl took 5 of 6
S2Nohejl2Ruzicka4n = 6Ruzicka took 4 of 6
S3Nohejl3Ruzicka3n = 6split evenly
S4Nohejl1Ruzicka3n = 4Ruzicka took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away117%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away117%
These 6 meetings
MetricNohejlRuzickaN − RBasisWins330in 6 meetingsFirst set51+4of 6Avg pointsper match41.039.5+1.5per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNohejlRuzickaBasisWin rate · lifetime170 / 311 vs 678 / 140054.7%48.4%170 / 311 vs 678 / 1400Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.438.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NohejlNohejl 1.80/Ruzicka 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Nohejl · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Ruzicka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WAug 25 · 17:30V. Nohejl331111113J. Ruzicka134270
LAug 25 · 15:00V. Nohejl48111014762J. Ruzicka559121211113
LMay 20 · 15:00V. Nohejl411181841J. Ruzicka5081120113
WMay 6 · 16:59V. Nohejl46111113113J. Ruzicka30731551
LMay 6 · 16:00V. Nohejl218850J. Ruzicka331111113
WApr 30 · 15:30V. Nohejl57206119113J. Ruzicka56181181182
V. Nohejl10
WSep 10 · 17:00O. Svacha2.631011431V. Nohejl1.4412511113LSep 10 · 16:00V. Nohejl1.611171071A. Brazda2.2041112113LSep 10 · 15:30O. Svacha3.0091111113V. Nohejl1.36116551WSep 10 · 14:00V. Nohejl1.57651211113R. Urbaniec2.25111110942WSep 5 · 09:30V. Nohejl1.7311117113V. Vejvoda2.00571171WSep 5 · 08:00V. Nohejl1.611411113S. Kasnik2.2012480WSep 5 · 07:30O. Svacha3.0011871192V. Nohejl1.36611115113LSep 5 · 06:00V. Nohejl1.671111611132V. Vejvoda2.10136118153WSep 3 · 16:59V. Nohejl1.8311611113S. Kasnik1.83911981WSep 3 · 16:00V. Nohejl1.9161111113S. Kasnik1.80111981
J. Ruzicka10
LSep 12 · 21:30J. Ruzicka1.7312680O. Svacha2.001411113WSep 12 · 20:00J. Ruzicka1.6111511133O. Kolisnyk2.209115111WSep 12 · 19:30R. Urbaniec2.38711691J. Ruzicka1.5311911113WSep 12 · 18:00J. Ruzicka1.831016611113O. Svacha1.83121411272LSep 12 · 16:59J. Ruzicka1.44151146102R. Urbaniec2.631351111123WSep 12 · 16:30R. Urbaniec2.50511941J. Ruzicka1.5011711113LSep 12 · 15:30J. Ruzicka1.618970O. Kolisnyk2.201111113LSep 12 · 14:30J. Kanera1.8011913113J. Ruzicka1.916111191WSep 11 · 13:30V. Svechota1.658580J. Ruzicka2.101111113WSep 11 · 12:00O. Kolisnyk2.10911110J. Ruzicka1.671113133
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