TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13113812
Played Sep 12Finished
Jan Kanera
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1169111311119––
Jiri Ruzicka
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:53 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJan Kanera to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJan Kanera above · Jiri Ruzicka below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 13-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 81 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Jan Kanera at 54.0%
81 points played in total.
H2H Jan Kanera 19–18 Jiri Ruzicka Jiri Ruzicka has won 18 of their 37 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 07:53What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Kanera
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
19-18 in 37
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kanera 1797 vs Ruzicka 1745
Kanera
Correct
both rated, 52 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kanera 60% vs Ruzicka 80%
Ruzicka
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kanera 60% vs Ruzicka 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kanera +2 · Ruzicka +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kanera)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ruzicka form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKanera 1.80 / Ruzicka 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kanera)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13113812
Kanera1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite52% won 62 of 120
Up 2–0, closes it90% 17 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it71% 40 of 56
Ruzicka1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 151 of 379
Down 0–1, comes back22% 51 of 235
Down 0–2, comes back5% 6 of 120
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKanera4wins
AwayRuzicka6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderRuzicka leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKanera75%3 of 4
AwayRuzicka83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kanera4Ruzicka6n = 10Ruzicka took 6 of 10
S2Kanera6Ruzicka4n = 10Kanera took 6 of 10
S3Kanera6Ruzicka4n = 10Kanera took 6 of 10
S4Kanera3Ruzicka6n = 9Ruzicka took 6 of 9
S5Kanera1Ruzicka2n = 3Ruzicka took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKaneraRuzickaK − RBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match39.940.7−0.8per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKaneraRuzickaBasisWin rate · lifetime268 / 576 vs 674 / 139246.5%48.4%268 / 576 vs 674 / 1392Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.638.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KaneraKanera 1.80/Ruzicka 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Kanera · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kanera won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 20 · 10:30J. Kanera4681111792J. Ruzicka47117711113
WJun 12 · 15:00J. Kanera44111111113J. Ruzicka35138771
LMay 28 · 15:30J. Kanera356118101J. Ruzicka4311911123
LMay 23 · 12:00J. Kanera30391171J. Ruzicka3811115113
LMay 14 · 15:30J. Kanera327131021J. Ruzicka45111112113
WApr 30 · 16:30J. Kanera4212811113J. Ruzicka311011641
WApr 26 · 13:00J. Kanera341112113J. Ruzicka2571080
WApr 26 · 10:30J. Kanera511171111113J. Ruzicka4571113772
LApr 12 · 13:00J. Kanera501111131142J. Ruzicka551371113113
LApr 12 · 11:30J. Kanera351171071J. Ruzicka4391112113
J. Kanera10
LSep 12 · 16:00O. Kolisnyk1.6111511113J. Kanera2.20411931WSep 12 · 15:00R. Urbaniec2.205690J. Kanera1.611111113WSep 10 · 17:29J. Kanera1.9111116113P. Gireth1.80851171WSep 10 · 16:30P. Gireth1.53711851J. Kanera2.3811511113LSep 10 · 15:30J. Kanera2.201110131332O. Kolisnyk1.619121115113WSep 10 · 14:30J. Kycelt1.61671441J. Kanera2.20111112113LSep 5 · 21:28M. Zahradka1.731111113J. Kanera2.006450WSep 5 · 20:30J. Kanera2.251111113O. Kolisnyk1.578760LSep 5 · 19:00J. Kanera2.104121151M. Zahradka1.671114793WSep 5 · 18:00J. Jr1.53691291J. Kanera2.38111110113
J. Ruzicka10
WSep 12 · 16:30R. Urbaniec2.50511941J. Ruzicka1.5011711113LSep 12 · 15:30J. Ruzicka1.618970O. Kolisnyk2.201111113WSep 11 · 13:30V. Svechota1.658580J. Ruzicka2.101111113WSep 11 · 12:00O. Kolisnyk2.10911110J. Ruzicka1.671113133LSep 11 · 11:00V. Svechota1.731111113113J. Ruzicka2.0091361122WSep 11 · 10:30J. Ruzicka1.5751111113R. Urbaniec2.25116591WSep 11 · 09:00R. Urbaniec2.10611791J. Ruzicka1.6711311113LSep 11 · 08:00A. Barton1.5312118113J. Ruzicka2.381071111LSep 11 · 07:00R. Urbaniec2.501111113J. Ruzicka1.508990LSep 11 · 06:30J. Ruzicka1.83871191V. Svechota1.8311119113
Upcoming Matches
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