TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13109817
Played Sep 11Finished
Vojtech Svechota
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1191113116311112
Jiri Ruzicka
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:53 and never touched — 60.9% is still 60.9%
Graded at full timeJiri Ruzicka to win
60.9%
60.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVojtech Svechota above · Jiri Ruzicka below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 3-11
Set 5 · 11-2
Point 88 set 5, 11-2 — our read held Jiri Ruzicka at 60.9%
88 points played in total.
H2H Vojtech Svechota 16–20 Jiri Ruzicka Vojtech Svechota has won 16 of their 36 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 5h before this match
Svechota beat Ruzicka 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:53What took a side1 for · 4 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Svechota
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
16-20 in 36
Ruzicka
Wrong
gap of 4 in 36, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Svechota 1739 vs Ruzicka 1725
Svechota
Correct
both rated, 14 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Svechota 80% vs Ruzicka 40%
Svechota
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Svechota 50% vs Ruzicka 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Svechota +3 · Ruzicka +2
Svechota
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Svechota) · live re-read · sealed at 39% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Svechota form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSvechota 1.73 / Ruzicka 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Svechota)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13109817
Svechota1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite61% won 64 of 105
Up 2–0, closes it93% 39 of 42
Up 1–0, closes it84% 47 of 56
Ruzicka2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 150 of 377
Down 0–1, comes back22% 51 of 234
Down 0–2, comes back5% 6 of 120
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSvechota7wins
AwayRuzicka3wins
1 of 10 to a deciderSvechota leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSvechota83.3%5 of 6
AwayRuzicka50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Svechota6Ruzicka4n = 10Svechota took 6 of 10
S2Svechota7Ruzicka3n = 10Svechota took 7 of 10
S3Svechota5Ruzicka5n = 10split evenly
S4Svechota5Ruzicka0n = 5Svechota took 5 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSvechotaRuzickaS − RBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.032.1+4.9per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSvechotaRuzickaBasisWin rate · lifetime189 / 327 vs 675 / 139457.8%48.4%189 / 327 vs 675 / 1394Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.438.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SvechotaSvechota 1.73/Ruzicka 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Svechota · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Svechota won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 11 · 06:30V. Svechota—11119113J. Ruzicka—871191
LAug 20 · 03:00V. Svechota—9560J. Ruzicka—1111113
LAug 20 · 24:00V. Svechota—116130J. Ruzicka—1311153
WJul 24 · 10:00V. Svechota—61111113J. Ruzicka—111791
WJul 24 · 06:30V. Svechota—1112133J. Ruzicka—410110
WJul 20 · 17:30V. Svechota—1111113J. Ruzicka—4940
LJul 20 · 15:00V. Svechota—1171012102J. Ruzicka—4111210123
WJul 20 · 12:00V. Svechota—111113113J. Ruzicka—871581
WJul 12 · 10:30V. Svechota—1111113J. Ruzicka—8650
WJul 7 · 03:30V. Svechota—81111113J. Ruzicka—119991
V. Svechota10
LSep 11 · 13:30V. Svechota1.658580J. Ruzicka2.101111113WSep 11 · 12:30V. Svechota1.361181611113R. Urbaniec3.0091118722WSep 11 · 10:00O. Kolisnyk1.7341212872V. Svechota2.0011101011113WSep 11 · 09:30A. Barton1.654118121V. Svechota2.1011711143WSep 11 · 08:30R. Urbaniec2.75117681V. Svechota1.4091111113LSep 11 · 07:30V. Svechota1.9161290A. Barton1.801114113WSep 11 · 06:30J. Ruzicka1.83871191V. Svechota1.8311119113LAug 20 · 03:00J. Ruzicka1.501111113V. Svechota2.509560LAug 20 · 02:30V. Svechota1.679880M. Huk2.101111113LAug 20 · 01:30R. Urbaniec3.001061411113V. Svechota1.36121112892
J. Ruzicka10
WSep 11 · 13:30V. Svechota1.658580J. Ruzicka2.101111113WSep 11 · 12:00O. Kolisnyk2.10911110J. Ruzicka1.671113133WSep 11 · 10:30J. Ruzicka1.5751111113R. Urbaniec2.25116591WSep 11 · 09:00R. Urbaniec2.10611791J. Ruzicka1.6711311113LSep 11 · 08:00A. Barton1.5312118113J. Ruzicka2.381071111LSep 11 · 07:00R. Urbaniec2.501111113J. Ruzicka1.508990LSep 11 · 06:30J. Ruzicka1.83871191V. Svechota1.8311119113LSep 10 · 03:30J. Ruzicka1.801371251M. Wagner1.90111114113WSep 10 · 02:30J. Ruzicka1.231111911143S. Kasnik3.35513119122WAug 20 · 03:00J. Ruzicka1.501111113V. Svechota2.509560
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