TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13109808
Played Sep 11Finished
Radim Urbaniec
Home
2.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
119711611811––
Vojtech Svechota
Away
1.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:56 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVojtech Svechota to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRadim Urbaniec above · Vojtech Svechota below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 74 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Vojtech Svechota at 54.0%
74 points played in total.
H2H Radim Urbaniec 5–13 Vojtech Svechota Radim Urbaniec has won 5 of their 18 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:56What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Svechota
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-13 in 18
Svechota
Correct
gap of 8 in 18, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Urbaniec 1789 vs Svechota 1702
Urbaniec
Wrong
both rated, 87 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Urbaniec 80% vs Svechota 20%
Urbaniec
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Urbaniec 60% vs Svechota 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Urbaniec +1 · Svechota -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Svechota) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Svechota form (20%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsUrbaniec 2.75 / Svechota 1.40
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Svechota)-0.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13109808
Urbaniec2.75
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 191 of 471
Down 0–1, comes back21% 56 of 264
Down 0–2, comes back5% 7 of 145
Svechota1.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite61% won 64 of 105
Up 2–0, closes it93% 39 of 42
Up 1–0, closes it84% 47 of 56
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeUrbaniec3wins
AwaySvechota7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderSvechota leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeUrbaniecn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwaySvechota77.8%7 of 9
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Urbaniec1Svechota9n = 10Svechota took 9 of 10
S2Urbaniec4Svechota6n = 10Svechota took 6 of 10
S3Urbaniec4Svechota6n = 10Svechota took 6 of 10
S4Urbaniec2Svechota6n = 8Svechota took 6 of 8
S5Urbaniec3Svechota0n = 3Urbaniec took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricUrbaniecSvechotaU − SBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match33.041.4−8.4per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricUrbaniecSvechotaBasisWin rate · lifetime622 / 1219 vs 186 / 32451%57.4%622 / 1219 vs 186 / 324Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SvechotaUrbaniec 2.75/Svechota 1.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.7%
Svechota · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Svechota won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 20 · 01:30R. Urbaniec—1061411113V. Svechota—121112892
LAug 10 · 01:00R. Urbaniec—4101291V. Svechota—111210113
WJul 12 · 13:29R. Urbaniec—311711113V. Svechota—11711692
LJul 12 · 12:30R. Urbaniec—2950V. Svechota—1111113
LJul 7 · 24:30R. Urbaniec—911841V. Svechota—11411113
LJun 19 · 11:30R. Urbaniec—411271V. Svechota—11711113
LJun 19 · 07:00R. Urbaniec—381551V. Svechota—111113113
LMay 25 · 23:30R. Urbaniec—7580V. Svechota—1111113
WMay 16 · 23:00R. Urbaniec—1111810113V. Svechota—76111272
LApr 15 · 17:30R. Urbaniec—721161V. Svechota—11119113
R. Urbaniec10
WSep 11 · 07:00R. Urbaniec2.501111113J. Ruzicka1.508990LSep 11 · 06:00A. Barton1.4011118113R. Urbaniec2.75471181WSep 10 · 17:30R. Urbaniec1.657111111113A. Brazda2.1011136462WSep 10 · 16:30R. Urbaniec1.73127711113O. Svacha2.00101111672WSep 10 · 15:00R. Urbaniec1.40141111113A. Brazda2.75167581LSep 10 · 14:00V. Nohejl1.57651211113R. Urbaniec2.25111110942WSep 10 · 02:59R. Urbaniec1.501111113S. Kasnik2.507790LSep 10 · 02:00R. Urbaniec2.38691191M. Wagner1.5311116113WSep 10 · 01:00R. Urbaniec1.43121111113S. Kasnik2.60149551LSep 10 · 24:00J. Ruzicka1.50411416113R. Urbaniec2.50115111482
V. Svechota10
LSep 11 · 07:30V. Svechota1.9161290A. Barton1.801114113WSep 11 · 06:30J. Ruzicka1.83871191V. Svechota1.8311119113LAug 20 · 03:00J. Ruzicka1.501111113V. Svechota2.509560LAug 20 · 02:30V. Svechota1.679880M. Huk2.101111113LAug 20 · 01:30R. Urbaniec3.001061411113V. Svechota1.36121112892LAug 20 · 24:00V. Svechota1.61116130J. Ruzicka2.201311153WAug 19 · 23:00M. Pikous2.758970V. Svechota1.401111113WAug 19 · 21:28V. Svechota1.5061111113J. Louda2.50119841WAug 19 · 20:30V. Svechota1.611211166113V. Nohejl2.20147141172WAug 19 · 19:00V. Svechota1.5761111113V. Kolar2.25118941
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