TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13113981
Played Sep 11Finished
Radim Urbaniec
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
611113711911––
Jiri Ruzicka
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 4
How it is goingRadim Urbaniec above · Jiri Ruzicka below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 69 set 4, 9-11
69 points played in total.
H2H Radim Urbaniec 27–42 Jiri Ruzicka Radim Urbaniec has won 27 of their 69 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Urbaniec beat Ruzicka 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Ruzicka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ruzicka form (20%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsUrbaniec 2.10 / Ruzicka 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Ruzicka)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13113981
Urbaniec2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 191 of 471
Down 0–1, comes back21% 56 of 264
Down 0–2, comes back5% 7 of 145
Ruzicka1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite57% won 191 of 334
Up 2–0, closes it95% 104 of 110
Up 1–0, closes it75% 138 of 184
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeUrbaniec4wins
AwayRuzicka6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderRuzicka leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeUrbaniec57.1%4 of 7
AwayRuzicka100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Urbaniec7Ruzicka3n = 10Urbaniec took 7 of 10
S2Urbaniec2Ruzicka8n = 10Ruzicka took 8 of 10
S3Urbaniec6Ruzicka4n = 10Urbaniec took 6 of 10
S4Urbaniec2Ruzicka3n = 5Ruzicka took 3 of 5
S5Urbaniec1Ruzicka3n = 4Ruzicka took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricUrbaniecRuzickaU − RBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match36.537.2−0.7per matchSweeps23−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricUrbaniecRuzickaBasisWin rate · lifetime622 / 1220 vs 673 / 139251%48.4%622 / 1220 vs 673 / 1392Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.638.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RuzickaUrbaniec 2.10/Ruzicka 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.2%
Ruzicka · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Ruzicka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 11 · 07:00R. Urbaniec—1111113J. Ruzicka—8990
LSep 10 · 24:00R. Urbaniec—115111482J. Ruzicka—411416113
WSep 9 · 15:30R. Urbaniec—1111143J. Ruzicka—82120
LSep 8 · 10:00R. Urbaniec—11671172J. Ruzicka—911114113
WSep 8 · 06:30R. Urbaniec—119115113J. Ruzicka—91181172
LAug 29 · 12:30R. Urbaniec—6890J. Ruzicka—1111113
LAug 29 · 09:00R. Urbaniec—11411962J. Ruzicka—911411113
LAug 29 · 08:30R. Urbaniec—76120J. Ruzicka—1111143
LAug 28 · 24:00R. Urbaniec—71280J. Ruzicka—1114113
WAug 19 · 22:30R. Urbaniec—11713113J. Ruzicka—5111181
R. Urbaniec10
LSep 11 · 08:30R. Urbaniec2.75117681V. Svechota1.4091111113WSep 11 · 07:00R. Urbaniec2.501111113J. Ruzicka1.508990LSep 11 · 06:00A. Barton1.4011118113R. Urbaniec2.75471181WSep 10 · 17:30R. Urbaniec1.657111111113A. Brazda2.1011136462WSep 10 · 16:30R. Urbaniec1.73127711113O. Svacha2.00101111672WSep 10 · 15:00R. Urbaniec1.40141111113A. Brazda2.75167581LSep 10 · 14:00V. Nohejl1.57651211113R. Urbaniec2.25111110942WSep 10 · 02:59R. Urbaniec1.501111113S. Kasnik2.507790LSep 10 · 02:00R. Urbaniec2.38691191M. Wagner1.5311116113WSep 10 · 01:00R. Urbaniec1.43121111113S. Kasnik2.60149551
J. Ruzicka10
LSep 11 · 08:00A. Barton1.5312118113J. Ruzicka2.381071111LSep 11 · 07:00R. Urbaniec2.501111113J. Ruzicka1.508990LSep 11 · 06:30J. Ruzicka1.83871191V. Svechota1.8311119113LSep 10 · 03:30J. Ruzicka1.801371251M. Wagner1.90111114113WSep 10 · 02:30J. Ruzicka1.231111911143S. Kasnik3.35513119122WSep 10 · 01:30O. Svacha1.91791281J. Ruzicka1.80111110113WSep 10 · 24:00J. Ruzicka1.50411416113R. Urbaniec2.50115111482WSep 9 · 23:00M. Wagner2.008101151J. Ruzicka1.7311126113WSep 9 · 17:30O. Kolisnyk1.9013970J. Ruzicka1.801511113WSep 9 · 16:30M. Jezek1.915260J. Ruzicka1.801111113
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