TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13109811
Played Sep 11Finished
Oleksandr Kolisnyk
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
41112101210811711
Vojtech Svechota
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:56 and never touched — 61.1% is still 61.1%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Kolisnyk to win
61.1%
61.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleksandr Kolisnyk above · Vojtech Svechota below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 96 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Oleksandr Kolisnyk at 61.1%
96 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Kolisnyk 11–6 Vojtech Svechota Vojtech Svechota has won 6 of their 17 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:56What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Kolisnyk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-6 in 17
Kolisnyk
Wrong
gap of 5 in 17, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kolisnyk 1689 vs Svechota 1717
Svechota
Correct
both rated, 27 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolisnyk 20% vs Svechota 60%
Svechota
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolisnyk 40% vs Svechota 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolisnyk -2 · Svechota +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Kolisnyk) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kolisnyk form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolisnyk 1.73 / Svechota 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 46%
Edge (Kolisnyk)+0.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13109811
Kolisnyk1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite59% won 84 of 143
Up 2–0, closes it95% 40 of 42
Up 1–0, closes it81% 65 of 80
Svechota2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog42% won 23 of 55
Down 0–1, comes back23% 7 of 31
Down 0–2, comes back13% 2 of 16
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKolisnyk7wins
AwaySvechota3wins
1 of 10 to a deciderKolisnyk leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolisnyk100%5 of 5
AwaySvechota60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolisnyk5Svechota5n = 10split evenly
S2Kolisnyk8Svechota2n = 10Kolisnyk took 8 of 10
S3Kolisnyk5Svechota5n = 10split evenly
S4Kolisnyk4Svechota3n = 7Kolisnyk took 4 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKolisnykSvechotaK − SBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.036.0+3.0per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolisnykSvechotaBasisWin rate · lifetime546 / 1084 vs 188 / 32650.4%57.7%546 / 1084 vs 188 / 326Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.737.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolisnykKolisnyk 1.73/Svechota 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.5%
Kolisnyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Svechota won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 13 · 11:00O. Kolisnyk—1111123V. Svechota—67100
WAug 13 · 09:00O. Kolisnyk—91411113V. Svechota—1112791
LAug 13 · 07:30O. Kolisnyk—6111031V. Svechota—11912113
WJul 21 · 12:00O. Kolisnyk—1114133V. Svechota—612110
LJun 19 · 13:28O. Kolisnyk—101140V. Svechota—1213113
WJun 19 · 10:00O. Kolisnyk—1110117113V. Svechota—61221172
WJun 19 · 06:30O. Kolisnyk—91121113V. Svechota—1191981
LMar 10 · 18:00O. Kolisnyk—911691V. Svechota—11411113
WMar 10 · 16:30O. Kolisnyk—11117113V. Svechota—581181
WMar 10 · 12:30O. Kolisnyk—11127113V. Svechota—8101171
O. Kolisnyk10
WSep 11 · 13:00R. Urbaniec1.9110260O. Kolisnyk1.801211113LSep 11 · 12:00O. Kolisnyk2.10911110J. Ruzicka1.671113133LSep 11 · 11:30R. Urbaniec1.831111113O. Kolisnyk1.837680LSep 10 · 16:58J. Kycelt1.441111118113O. Kolisnyk2.6313691152LSep 10 · 16:00O. Kolisnyk2.385990J. Kycelt1.531111113WSep 10 · 15:30J. Kanera2.201110131332O. Kolisnyk1.619121115113LSep 10 · 14:00O. Kolisnyk3.005180P. Gireth1.361111113LSep 9 · 17:30O. Kolisnyk1.9013970J. Ruzicka1.801511113WSep 9 · 16:00R. Urbaniec1.82791681O. Kolisnyk1.88111114113WSep 9 · 15:00M. Jezek1.731212841O. Kolisnyk2.00101411113
V. Svechota10
LSep 11 · 13:30V. Svechota1.658580J. Ruzicka2.101111113WSep 11 · 12:30V. Svechota1.361181611113R. Urbaniec3.0091118722WSep 11 · 11:00V. Svechota1.731111113113J. Ruzicka2.0091361122WSep 11 · 09:30A. Barton1.654118121V. Svechota2.1011711143WSep 11 · 08:30R. Urbaniec2.75117681V. Svechota1.4091111113LSep 11 · 07:30V. Svechota1.9161290A. Barton1.801114113WSep 11 · 06:30J. Ruzicka1.83871191V. Svechota1.8311119113LAug 20 · 03:00J. Ruzicka1.501111113V. Svechota2.509560LAug 20 · 02:30V. Svechota1.679880M. Huk2.101111113LAug 20 · 01:30R. Urbaniec3.001061411113V. Svechota1.36121112892
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