TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13109813
Played Sep 11Finished
Radim Urbaniec
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117116118––––
Oleksandr Kolisnyk
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:53 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeRadim Urbaniec to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRadim Urbaniec above · Oleksandr Kolisnyk below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 54 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Radim Urbaniec at 54.0%
54 points played in total.
H2H Radim Urbaniec 21–17 Oleksandr Kolisnyk Oleksandr Kolisnyk has won 17 of their 38 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:53What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Kolisnyk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
21-17 in 38
Urbaniec
Correct
gap of 4 in 38, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Urbaniec 1766 vs Kolisnyk 1668
Urbaniec
Correct
both rated, 97 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Urbaniec 20% vs Kolisnyk 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Urbaniec 50% vs Kolisnyk 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Urbaniec -3 · Kolisnyk -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Urbaniec)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kolisnyk form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsUrbaniec 1.83 / Kolisnyk 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Urbaniec)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13109813
Urbaniec1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Kolisnyk1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeUrbaniec6wins
AwayKolisnyk4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderUrbaniec leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeUrbaniec100%3 of 3
AwayKolisnyk57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Urbaniec3Kolisnyk7n = 10Kolisnyk took 7 of 10
S2Urbaniec4Kolisnyk6n = 10Kolisnyk took 6 of 10
S3Urbaniec6Kolisnyk4n = 10Urbaniec took 6 of 10
S4Urbaniec6Kolisnyk2n = 8Urbaniec took 6 of 8
S5Urbaniec2Kolisnyk1n = 3Urbaniec took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricUrbaniecKolisnykU − KBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match37.938.5−0.6per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricUrbaniecKolisnykBasisWin rate · lifetime623 / 1223 vs 546 / 108650.9%50.3%623 / 1223 vs 546 / 1086Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.638.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
UrbaniecUrbaniec 1.83/Kolisnyk 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Urbaniec · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Urbaniec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 29 · 06:00R. Urbaniec—4121161O. Kolisnyk—11149113
WAug 28 · 21:28R. Urbaniec—81111113O. Kolisnyk—113771
WAug 28 · 20:00R. Urbaniec—11911113O. Kolisnyk—811881
WAug 15 · 06:00R. Urbaniec—1181110113O. Kolisnyk—81181282
WAug 8 · 13:00R. Urbaniec—111011113O. Kolisnyk—9127101
WAug 8 · 11:00R. Urbaniec—41311133O. Kolisnyk—11118111
LAug 7 · 06:00R. Urbaniec—8570O. Kolisnyk—1111113
LAug 6 · 10:30R. Urbaniec—54120O. Kolisnyk—1111143
LJul 17 · 12:30R. Urbaniec—51181122O. Kolisnyk—114119113
WJul 17 · 07:00R. Urbaniec—811911113O. Kolisnyk—11711522
R. Urbaniec10
LSep 11 · 13:00R. Urbaniec1.9110260O. Kolisnyk1.801211113LSep 11 · 12:30V. Svechota1.361181611113R. Urbaniec3.0091118722LSep 11 · 10:30J. Ruzicka1.5751111113R. Urbaniec2.25116591LSep 11 · 09:00R. Urbaniec2.10611791J. Ruzicka1.6711311113LSep 11 · 08:30R. Urbaniec2.75117681V. Svechota1.4091111113WSep 11 · 07:00R. Urbaniec2.501111113J. Ruzicka1.508990LSep 11 · 06:00A. Barton1.4011118113R. Urbaniec2.75471181WSep 10 · 17:30R. Urbaniec1.657111111113A. Brazda2.1011136462WSep 10 · 16:30R. Urbaniec1.73127711113O. Svacha2.00101111672WSep 10 · 15:00R. Urbaniec1.40141111113A. Brazda2.75167581
O. Kolisnyk10
WSep 11 · 13:00R. Urbaniec1.9110260O. Kolisnyk1.801211113LSep 11 · 12:00O. Kolisnyk2.10911110J. Ruzicka1.671113133LSep 11 · 10:00O. Kolisnyk1.7341212872V. Svechota2.0011101011113LSep 10 · 16:58J. Kycelt1.441111118113O. Kolisnyk2.6313691152LSep 10 · 16:00O. Kolisnyk2.385990J. Kycelt1.531111113WSep 10 · 15:30J. Kanera2.201110131332O. Kolisnyk1.619121115113LSep 10 · 14:00O. Kolisnyk3.005180P. Gireth1.361111113LSep 9 · 17:30O. Kolisnyk1.9013970J. Ruzicka1.801511113WSep 9 · 16:00R. Urbaniec1.82791681O. Kolisnyk1.88111114113WSep 9 · 15:00M. Jezek1.731212841O. Kolisnyk2.00101411113
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