TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13115237
Played Sep 12Finished
Radim Urbaniec
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511611911––––
Jan Kanera
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:33 and never touched — 59.3% is still 59.3%
Graded at full timeJan Kanera to win
59.3%
59.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRadim Urbaniec above · Jan Kanera below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 53 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Jan Kanera at 59.3%
53 points played in total.
H2H Radim Urbaniec 2–5 Jan Kanera Radim Urbaniec has won 2 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:33What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Kanera
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-5 in 7
Kanera
Correct
gap of 3 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Urbaniec 1763 vs Kanera 1816
Kanera
Correct
both rated, 52 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Urbaniec 40% vs Kanera 80%
Kanera
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Urbaniec 40% vs Kanera 60%
Kanera
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Urbaniec +1 · Kanera +3
Kanera
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Kanera) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kanera form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsUrbaniec 2.20 / Kanera 1.61
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Kanera)+2.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13115237
Urbaniec2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 192 of 472
Down 0–1, comes back21% 56 of 264
Down 0–2, comes back5% 7 of 146
Kanera1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite52% won 62 of 120
Up 2–0, closes it90% 17 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it71% 40 of 56
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeUrbaniec2wins
AwayKanera5wins
6 of 7 to a deciderKanera leads 5–2, and 6 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeUrbaniec33.3%1 of 3
AwayKanera75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Urbaniec3Kanera4n = 7Kanera took 4 of 7
S2Urbaniec4Kanera3n = 7Urbaniec took 4 of 7
S3Urbaniec2Kanera5n = 7Kanera took 5 of 7
S4Urbaniec3Kanera3n = 6split evenly
S5Urbaniec2Kanera4n = 6Kanera took 4 of 6
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home229%
2–3Decider, away457%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away114%
These 7 meetings
MetricUrbaniecKaneraU − KBasisWins25−3in 7 meetingsFirst set34−1of 7Avg pointsper match42.343.0−0.7per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricUrbaniecKaneraBasisWin rate · lifetime624 / 1226 vs 267 / 57350.9%46.6%624 / 1226 vs 267 / 573Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.639.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KaneraUrbaniec 2.20/Kanera 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.1%
Kanera · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kanera won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WAug 17 · 15:00R. Urbaniec45131173113J. Kanera41116111122
LAug 15 · 07:00R. Urbaniec4311311992J. Kanera48911611113
LAug 14 · 16:30R. Urbaniec185760J. Kanera331111113
LJul 18 · 08:30R. Urbaniec4571181182J. Kanera47116118113
LJun 12 · 17:30R. Urbaniec49101181192J. Kanera42126112113
WJun 12 · 16:30R. Urbaniec501011117113J. Kanera3912541172
LMay 31 · 08:00R. Urbaniec46114911112J. Kanera51811118133
R. Urbaniec10
WSep 12 · 14:00O. Kolisnyk1.67811681R. Urbaniec2.1011711113LSep 11 · 13:00R. Urbaniec1.9110260O. Kolisnyk1.801211113LSep 11 · 12:30V. Svechota1.361181611113R. Urbaniec3.0091118722WSep 11 · 11:30R. Urbaniec1.831111113O. Kolisnyk1.837680LSep 11 · 10:30J. Ruzicka1.5751111113R. Urbaniec2.25116591LSep 11 · 09:00R. Urbaniec2.10611791J. Ruzicka1.6711311113LSep 11 · 08:30R. Urbaniec2.75117681V. Svechota1.4091111113WSep 11 · 07:00R. Urbaniec2.501111113J. Ruzicka1.508990LSep 11 · 06:00A. Barton1.4011118113R. Urbaniec2.75471181WSep 10 · 17:30R. Urbaniec1.657111111113A. Brazda2.1011136462
J. Kanera10
LSep 12 · 16:00O. Kolisnyk1.6111511113J. Kanera2.20411931WSep 12 · 14:30J. Kanera1.8011913113J. Ruzicka1.916111191WSep 10 · 17:29J. Kanera1.9111116113P. Gireth1.80851171WSep 10 · 16:30P. Gireth1.53711851J. Kanera2.3811511113LSep 10 · 15:30J. Kanera2.201110131332O. Kolisnyk1.619121115113WSep 10 · 14:30J. Kycelt1.61671441J. Kanera2.20111112113LSep 5 · 21:28M. Zahradka1.731111113J. Kanera2.006450WSep 5 · 20:30J. Kanera2.251111113O. Kolisnyk1.578760LSep 5 · 19:00J. Kanera2.104121151M. Zahradka1.671114793WSep 5 · 18:00J. Jr1.53691291J. Kanera2.38111110113
Upcoming Matches
R. Urbaniec
Sep 12 · 16:30R. Urbaniec2.50J. Ruzicka1.50—Sep 12 · 18:30R. Urbaniec2.10O. Kolisnyk1.67—Sep 12 · 19:30R. Urbaniec2.50J. Ruzicka1.50—Sep 12 · 20:30R. Urbaniec1.83O. Svacha1.83—Sep 13 · 22:00R. Urbaniec1.53J. Louda2.38—Sep 13 · 23:30R. Urbaniec2.63M. Wagner1.44—Sep 14 · 01:00R. Urbaniec1.73O. Svacha2.00—Sep 14 · 02:30R. Urbaniec2.50J. Ruzicka1.50—
J. Kanera
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