TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13110749
Played Sep 10Finished
Jan Kanera
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
118115611117––
Pavel Gireth
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingJan Kanera above · Pavel Gireth below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 70 set 4, 11-7
70 points played in total.
H2H Jan Kanera 11–13 Pavel Gireth Jan Kanera has won 11 of their 24 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Kanera beat Gireth 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Gireth)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gireth form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKanera 1.91 / Gireth 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Gireth)+2.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13110749
Kanera1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog40% won 48 of 120
Down 0–1, comes back27% 18 of 68
Down 0–2, comes back15% 6 of 39
Gireth1.80
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite62% won 34 of 55
Up 2–0, closes it100% 15 of 15
Up 1–0, closes it82% 22 of 27
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKanera6wins
AwayGireth4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderKanera leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKanera75%6 of 8
AwayGirethn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kanera8Gireth2n = 10Kanera took 8 of 10
S2Kanera2Gireth8n = 10Gireth took 8 of 10
S3Kanera6Gireth4n = 10Kanera took 6 of 10
S4Kanera7Gireth3n = 10Kanera took 7 of 10
S5Kanera2Gireth3n = 5Gireth took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKaneraGirethK − GBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match43.042.6+0.4per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKaneraGirethBasisWin rate · lifetime268 / 576 vs 112 / 20246.5%55.5%268 / 576 vs 112 / 202Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.638.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GirethKanera 1.91/Gireth 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.3%
Gireth · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kanera won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 10 · 16:30J. Kanera—11511113P. Gireth—711851
WAug 14 · 14:00J. Kanera—1241111113P. Gireth—101191332
LAug 9 · 13:00J. Kanera—104111272P. Gireth—1211910113
WAug 9 · 10:30J. Kanera—171011113P. Gireth—1512791
LFeb 26 · 15:30J. Kanera—111011782P. Gireth—712511113
WFeb 12 · 15:00J. Kanera—11711113P. Gireth—811751
WJan 15 · 18:00J. Kanera—144211123P. Gireth—1211114102
WJan 15 · 17:30J. Kanera—11143123P. Gireth—91211101
LNov 20 · 15:00J. Kanera—71141192P. Gireth—115114113
LNov 6 · 17:30J. Kanera—1114581P. Gireth—61611113
J. Kanera10
WSep 10 · 16:30P. Gireth1.53711851J. Kanera2.3811511113LSep 10 · 15:30J. Kanera2.201110131332O. Kolisnyk1.619121115113WSep 10 · 14:30J. Kycelt1.61671441J. Kanera2.20111112113LSep 5 · 21:28M. Zahradka1.731111113J. Kanera2.006450WSep 5 · 20:30J. Kanera2.251111113O. Kolisnyk1.578760LSep 5 · 19:00J. Kanera2.104121151M. Zahradka1.671114793WSep 5 · 18:00J. Jr1.53691291J. Kanera2.38111110113LSep 3 · 17:28M. Jezek2.20111011113J. Kanera1.61612461WSep 3 · 16:00J. Kanera1.57118119123M. Jezek2.25611911102WSep 3 · 15:30V. Kolar2.00691381J. Kanera1.73111111113
P. Gireth10
LSep 10 · 16:30P. Gireth1.53711851J. Kanera2.3811511113WSep 10 · 15:00P. Gireth1.36127117113J. Kycelt3.00101181142WSep 10 · 14:00O. Kolisnyk3.005180P. Gireth1.361111113WSep 2 · 17:30P. Gireth1.30912119153O. Svacha2.951110611132WSep 2 · 16:00P. Gireth1.6111116113J. Ruzicka2.20681171WSep 2 · 15:30O. Svacha3.258850P. Gireth1.331111113WSep 2 · 14:00P. Gireth1.441111113M. Jezek2.638690LAug 26 · 17:30P. Gireth1.576750J. Ruzicka2.201111113WAug 26 · 16:00P. Gireth1.6111118113J. Ruzicka2.20871191WAug 26 · 15:30V. Nohejl2.20681271P. Gireth1.61111110113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.