TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13104952
Played Sep 10Finished
Pavel Gireth
Home
1.36
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 5
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1210711118711114
Jakub Kycelt
Away
3.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:48 and never touched — 56.1% is still 56.1%
Graded at full timePavel Gireth to win
56.1%
56.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPavel Gireth above · Jakub Kycelt below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 11-4
Point 92 set 5, 11-4 — our read held Pavel Gireth at 56.1%
92 points played in total.
H2H Pavel Gireth 3–0 Jakub Kycelt Jakub Kycelt has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:48What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Gireth
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-0 in 3
Gireth
Correct
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Gireth 1845 vs Kycelt 1802
Gireth
Correct
both rated, 43 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gireth 100% vs Kycelt 60%
Gireth
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gireth 80% vs Kycelt 50%
Gireth
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Gireth +5 · Kycelt -1
Gireth
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Gireth) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kycelt form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGireth 1.36 / Kycelt 3.00
Signal prob.69% / 31%
Edge (Gireth)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13104952
Gireth1.36
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite62% won 34 of 55
Up 2–0, closes it100% 15 of 15
Up 1–0, closes it82% 22 of 27
Kycelt3.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog46% won 56 of 122
Down 0–1, comes back24% 15 of 62
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 32
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeGireth3wins
AwayKycelt0wins
Gireth leads 3–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGireth100%3 of 3
AwayKyceltn = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gireth3Kycelt0n = 3Gireth took 3 of 3
S2Gireth2Kycelt1n = 3Gireth took 2 of 3
S3Gireth3Kycelt0n = 3Gireth took 3 of 3
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home267%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricGirethKyceltG − KBasisWins30+3in 3 meetingsFirst set30+3of 3Avg pointsper match35.721.7+14.0per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGirethKyceltBasisWin rate · lifetime111 / 200 vs 161 / 32355.5%49.9%111 / 200 vs 161 / 323Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.237.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GirethGireth 1.36/Kycelt 3.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.8%
Gireth · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Gireth won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WJun 25 · 15:00P. Gireth—1111113J. Kycelt—5380
WMay 21 · 15:30P. Gireth—1111143J. Kycelt—53120
WJun 13 · 15:00P. Gireth—11511113J. Kycelt—411591
P. Gireth10
WSep 10 · 14:00O. Kolisnyk3.005180P. Gireth1.361111113WSep 2 · 17:30P. Gireth1.30912119153O. Svacha2.951110611132WSep 2 · 16:00P. Gireth1.6111116113J. Ruzicka2.20681171WSep 2 · 15:30O. Svacha3.258850P. Gireth1.331111113WSep 2 · 14:00P. Gireth1.441111113M. Jezek2.638690LAug 26 · 17:30P. Gireth1.576750J. Ruzicka2.201111113WAug 26 · 16:00P. Gireth1.6111118113J. Ruzicka2.20871191WAug 26 · 15:30V. Nohejl2.20681271P. Gireth1.61111110113WAug 26 · 14:00P. Gireth1.44111111113M. Jezek2.63913981LAug 19 · 17:08P. Gireth3.0019111172A. Barton1.36111187113
J. Kycelt10
LSep 10 · 14:30J. Kycelt1.61671441J. Kanera2.20111112113WSep 7 · 21:30J. Kycelt1.831111123M. Zahradka1.8383100LSep 7 · 20:30J. Kycelt1.67119101282M. Zahradka2.107111210113WSep 7 · 19:00J. Kycelt2.3812121410113E. Mares1.531010161292WSep 7 · 18:00P. Bradach1.803660J. Kycelt1.911111113LSep 7 · 17:29E. Mares1.221111113J. Kycelt4.004750LSep 7 · 16:30T. Postelt1.7381111123J. Kycelt2.001199101WSep 7 · 15:30J. Kycelt2.50591211193E. Mares1.501111109172WSep 7 · 14:30M. Zahradka1.91511991J. Kycelt1.8011611113LSep 2 · 21:28J. Kycelt1.50116871M. Huk2.5041111113
Upcoming Matches
P. Gireth
J. Kycelt
Nothing scheduled
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.