TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13103455
Played Sep 10Finished
Jakub Kycelt
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
6117111412411––
Jan Kanera
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:27 and never touched — 56.9% is still 56.9%
Graded at full timeJakub Kycelt to win
56.9%
56.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJakub Kycelt above · Jan Kanera below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 14-12
Set 4 · 4-11
Point 76 set 4, 4-11 — our read held Jakub Kycelt at 56.9%
76 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Kycelt 3–2 Jan Kanera Jan Kanera has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:27What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Kycelt
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-2 in 5
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kycelt 1815 vs Kanera 1756
Kycelt
Wrong
both rated, 60 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kycelt 60% vs Kanera 40%
Kycelt
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kycelt 50% vs Kanera 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kycelt +1 · Kanera -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Kycelt) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKycelt 1.61 / Kanera 2.20
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Kycelt)+3.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13103455
Kycelt1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite58% won 39 of 67
Up 2–0, closes it96% 25 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it79% 34 of 43
Kanera2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog40% won 48 of 120
Down 0–1, comes back27% 18 of 68
Down 0–2, comes back15% 6 of 39
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeKycelt3wins
AwayKanera2wins
1 of 5 to a deciderKycelt leads 3–2, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKycelt100%3 of 3
AwayKaneran = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kycelt3Kanera2n = 5Kycelt took 3 of 5
S2Kycelt3Kanera2n = 5Kycelt took 3 of 5
S3Kycelt0Kanera5n = 5Kanera took 5 of 5
S4Kycelt2Kanera1n = 3Kycelt took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home240%
3–2Decider, home120%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away240%
These 5 meetings
MetricKyceltKaneraKycelt − KaneraBasisWins32+1in 5 meetingsFirst set32+1of 5Avg pointsper match37.437.2+0.2per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKyceltKaneraBasisWin rate · lifetime161 / 322 vs 274 / 58450%46.9%161 / 322 vs 274 / 584Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.039.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KyceltKycelt 1.61/Kanera 2.20
Miss
What we said
60.9%
Kycelt · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kanera won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WJul 2 · 15:00J. Kycelt—111111113J. Kanera—881361
LDec 17 · 16:00J. Kycelt—6950J. Kanera—1111103
WJun 16 · 15:00J. Kycelt—1114109113J. Kanera—512121192
WJun 13 · 16:00J. Kycelt—11116113J. Kanera—881181
LMay 19 · 15:30J. Kycelt—910100J. Kanera—1112123
J. Kycelt10
WSep 7 · 21:30J. Kycelt1.831111123M. Zahradka1.8383100LSep 7 · 20:30J. Kycelt1.67119101282M. Zahradka2.107111210113WSep 7 · 19:00J. Kycelt2.3812121410113E. Mares1.531010161292WSep 7 · 18:00P. Bradach1.803660J. Kycelt1.911111113LSep 7 · 17:29E. Mares1.221111113J. Kycelt4.004750LSep 7 · 16:30T. Postelt1.7381111123J. Kycelt2.001199101WSep 7 · 15:30J. Kycelt2.50591211193E. Mares1.501111109172WSep 7 · 14:30M. Zahradka1.91511991J. Kycelt1.8011611113LSep 2 · 21:28J. Kycelt1.50116871M. Huk2.5041111113LSep 2 · 20:00J. Kycelt1.916840T. Postelt1.801111113
J. Kanera10
LSep 5 · 21:28M. Zahradka1.731111113J. Kanera2.006450WSep 5 · 20:30J. Kanera2.251111113O. Kolisnyk1.578760LSep 5 · 19:00J. Kanera2.104121151M. Zahradka1.671114793WSep 5 · 18:00J. Jr1.53691291J. Kanera2.38111110113LSep 3 · 17:28M. Jezek2.20111011113J. Kanera1.61612461WSep 3 · 16:00J. Kanera1.57118119123M. Jezek2.25611911102WSep 3 · 15:30V. Kolar2.00691381J. Kanera1.73111111113LSep 3 · 14:00J. Kanera1.5011611422O. Svacha2.50811411113LAug 30 · 09:30O. Kolisnyk1.531111711143J. Kanera2.38913115122WAug 30 · 08:30J. Kanera1.731171110113A. Barton2.0061171292
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