TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13104997
Played Sep 10Finished
Pavel Gireth
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 6
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
711115811511––
Jan Kanera
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:44 and never touched — 59.0% is still 59.0%
Graded at full timePavel Gireth to win
59.0%
59.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingPavel Gireth above · Jan Kanera below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 69 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Pavel Gireth at 59.0%
69 points played in total.
H2H Pavel Gireth 13–10 Jan Kanera Jan Kanera has won 10 of their 23 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:44What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Gireth
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-10 in 23
Gireth
Wrong
gap of 3 in 23, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Gireth 1854 vs Kanera 1757
Gireth
Wrong
both rated, 98 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gireth 100% vs Kanera 40%
Gireth
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gireth 90% vs Kanera 50%
Gireth
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Gireth +5 · Kanera -1
Gireth
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Gireth) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gireth form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGireth 1.53 / Kanera 2.38
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Gireth)+3.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13104997
Gireth1.53
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite62% won 34 of 55
Up 2–0, closes it100% 15 of 15
Up 1–0, closes it82% 22 of 27
Kanera2.38
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog40% won 48 of 120
Down 0–1, comes back27% 18 of 68
Down 0–2, comes back15% 6 of 39
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGireth5wins
AwayKanera5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGireth100%3 of 3
AwayKanera71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gireth3Kanera7n = 10Kanera took 7 of 10
S2Gireth7Kanera3n = 10Gireth took 7 of 10
S3Gireth5Kanera5n = 10split evenly
S4Gireth4Kanera6n = 10Kanera took 6 of 10
S5Gireth3Kanera2n = 5Gireth took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricGirethKaneraG − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match43.842.8+1.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGirethKaneraBasisWin rate · lifetime112 / 201 vs 267 / 57655.7%46.4%112 / 201 vs 267 / 576Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.339.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GirethGireth 1.53/Kanera 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64%
Gireth · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kanera won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 14 · 14:00P. Gireth—101191332J. Kanera—1241111113
WAug 9 · 13:00P. Gireth—1211910113J. Kanera—104111272
LAug 9 · 10:30P. Gireth—1512791J. Kanera—171011113
WFeb 26 · 15:30P. Gireth—712511113J. Kanera—111011782
LFeb 12 · 15:00P. Gireth—811751J. Kanera—11711113
LJan 15 · 18:00P. Gireth—1211114102J. Kanera—144211123
LJan 15 · 17:30P. Gireth—91211101J. Kanera—11143123
WNov 20 · 15:00P. Gireth—115114113J. Kanera—71141192
WNov 6 · 17:30P. Gireth—61611113J. Kanera—1114581
WOct 9 · 14:30P. Gireth—13811113J. Kanera—1111951
P. Gireth10
LSep 10 · 17:29J. Kanera1.9111116113P. Gireth1.80851171WSep 10 · 15:00P. Gireth1.36127117113J. Kycelt3.00101181142WSep 10 · 14:00O. Kolisnyk3.005180P. Gireth1.361111113WSep 2 · 17:30P. Gireth1.30912119153O. Svacha2.951110611132WSep 2 · 16:00P. Gireth1.6111116113J. Ruzicka2.20681171WSep 2 · 15:30O. Svacha3.258850P. Gireth1.331111113WSep 2 · 14:00P. Gireth1.441111113M. Jezek2.638690LAug 26 · 17:30P. Gireth1.576750J. Ruzicka2.201111113WAug 26 · 16:00P. Gireth1.6111118113J. Ruzicka2.20871191WAug 26 · 15:30V. Nohejl2.20681271P. Gireth1.61111110113
J. Kanera10
WSep 10 · 17:29J. Kanera1.9111116113P. Gireth1.80851171LSep 10 · 15:30J. Kanera2.201110131332O. Kolisnyk1.619121115113WSep 10 · 14:30J. Kycelt1.61671441J. Kanera2.20111112113LSep 5 · 21:28M. Zahradka1.731111113J. Kanera2.006450WSep 5 · 20:30J. Kanera2.251111113O. Kolisnyk1.578760LSep 5 · 19:00J. Kanera2.104121151M. Zahradka1.671114793WSep 5 · 18:00J. Jr1.53691291J. Kanera2.38111110113LSep 3 · 17:28M. Jezek2.20111011113J. Kanera1.61612461WSep 3 · 16:00J. Kanera1.57118119123M. Jezek2.25611911102WSep 3 · 15:30V. Kolar2.00691381J. Kanera1.73111111113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.