TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13114290
Played Sep 12Finished
Oleksandr Kolisnyk
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811117611811––
Radim Urbaniec
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:03 and never touched — 56.4% is still 56.4%
Graded at full timeRadim Urbaniec to win
56.4%
56.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Kolisnyk above · Radim Urbaniec below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 73 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Radim Urbaniec at 56.4%
73 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Kolisnyk 19–22 Radim Urbaniec Oleksandr Kolisnyk has won 19 of their 41 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:03What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Kolisnyk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
19-22 in 41
Urbaniec
Correct
gap of 3 in 41, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kolisnyk 1665 vs Urbaniec 1746
Urbaniec
Correct
both rated, 81 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolisnyk 20% vs Urbaniec 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolisnyk 30% vs Urbaniec 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolisnyk +1 · Urbaniec -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Kolisnyk) · live re-read · sealed at 44% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Urbaniec form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolisnyk 1.67 / Urbaniec 2.10
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Kolisnyk)+1.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13114290
Kolisnyk1.67
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite58% won 83 of 143
Up 2–0, closes it95% 40 of 42
Up 1–0, closes it81% 65 of 80
Urbaniec2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 192 of 472
Down 0–1, comes back21% 56 of 264
Down 0–2, comes back5% 7 of 146
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKolisnyk4wins
AwayUrbaniec6wins
1 of 10 to a deciderUrbaniec leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolisnyk66.7%4 of 6
AwayUrbaniec100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolisnyk6Urbaniec4n = 10Kolisnyk took 6 of 10
S2Kolisnyk7Urbaniec3n = 10Kolisnyk took 7 of 10
S3Kolisnyk2Urbaniec8n = 10Urbaniec took 8 of 10
S4Kolisnyk3Urbaniec4n = 7Urbaniec took 4 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKolisnykUrbaniecK − UBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match36.936.2+0.7per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolisnykUrbaniecBasisWin rate · lifetime547 / 1088 vs 623 / 122550.3%50.9%547 / 1088 vs 623 / 1225Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.737.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolisnykKolisnyk 1.67/Urbaniec 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.8%
Kolisnyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Urbaniec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 11 · 13:00O. Kolisnyk341211113R. Urbaniec1810260
LSep 11 · 11:30O. Kolisnyk217680R. Urbaniec331111113
WSep 9 · 16:00O. Kolisnyk47111114113R. Urbaniec40791681
WAug 29 · 06:00O. Kolisnyk4511149113R. Urbaniec334121161
LAug 28 · 21:28O. Kolisnyk28113771R. Urbaniec4181111113
LAug 28 · 20:00O. Kolisnyk35811881R. Urbaniec4211911113
LAug 15 · 06:00O. Kolisnyk4781181282R. Urbaniec511181110113
LAug 8 · 13:00O. Kolisnyk389127101R. Urbaniec43111011113
LAug 8 · 11:00O. Kolisnyk4111118111R. Urbaniec4141311133
WAug 7 · 06:00O. Kolisnyk331111113R. Urbaniec208570
O. Kolisnyk10
WSep 12 · 15:30J. Ruzicka1.618970O. Kolisnyk2.201111113WSep 11 · 13:00R. Urbaniec1.9110260O. Kolisnyk1.801211113LSep 11 · 12:00O. Kolisnyk2.10911110J. Ruzicka1.671113133LSep 11 · 11:30R. Urbaniec1.831111113O. Kolisnyk1.837680LSep 11 · 10:00O. Kolisnyk1.7341212872V. Svechota2.0011101011113LSep 10 · 16:58J. Kycelt1.441111118113O. Kolisnyk2.6313691152LSep 10 · 16:00O. Kolisnyk2.385990J. Kycelt1.531111113WSep 10 · 15:30J. Kanera2.201110131332O. Kolisnyk1.619121115113LSep 10 · 14:00O. Kolisnyk3.005180P. Gireth1.361111113LSep 9 · 17:30O. Kolisnyk1.9013970J. Ruzicka1.801511113
R. Urbaniec10
LSep 12 · 15:00R. Urbaniec2.205690J. Kanera1.611111113LSep 11 · 13:00R. Urbaniec1.9110260O. Kolisnyk1.801211113LSep 11 · 12:30V. Svechota1.361181611113R. Urbaniec3.0091118722WSep 11 · 11:30R. Urbaniec1.831111113O. Kolisnyk1.837680LSep 11 · 10:30J. Ruzicka1.5751111113R. Urbaniec2.25116591LSep 11 · 09:00R. Urbaniec2.10611791J. Ruzicka1.6711311113LSep 11 · 08:30R. Urbaniec2.75117681V. Svechota1.4091111113WSep 11 · 07:00R. Urbaniec2.501111113J. Ruzicka1.508990LSep 11 · 06:00A. Barton1.4011118113R. Urbaniec2.75471181WSep 10 · 17:30R. Urbaniec1.657111111113A. Brazda2.1011136462
Upcoming Matches
O. Kolisnyk
R. Urbaniec
Sep 12 · 16:30R. Urbaniec2.50J. Ruzicka1.50—Sep 12 · 18:30R. Urbaniec2.10O. Kolisnyk1.67—Sep 12 · 19:30R. Urbaniec2.50J. Ruzicka1.50—Sep 12 · 20:30R. Urbaniec1.83O. Svacha1.83—Sep 13 · 22:00R. Urbaniec1.53J. Louda2.38—Sep 13 · 23:30R. Urbaniec2.63M. Wagner1.44—Sep 14 · 01:00R. Urbaniec1.73O. Svacha2.00—Sep 14 · 02:30R. Urbaniec2.50J. Ruzicka1.50—
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