TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13114288
Played Sep 12Finished
Jiri Ruzicka
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1195111151311––
Oleksandr Kolisnyk
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:02 and never touched — 55.5% is still 55.5%
Graded at full timeJiri Ruzicka to win
55.5%
55.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJiri Ruzicka above · Oleksandr Kolisnyk below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 13-11
Point 76 set 4, 13-11 — our read held Jiri Ruzicka at 55.5%
76 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Ruzicka 72–49 Oleksandr Kolisnyk Oleksandr Kolisnyk has won 49 of their 121 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 5h before this match
Kolisnyk beat Ruzicka 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:02What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Ruzicka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
72-49 in 121
Ruzicka
Correct
gap of 23 in 121, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ruzicka 1724 vs Kolisnyk 1781
Kolisnyk
Wrong
both rated, 57 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ruzicka 60% vs Kolisnyk 80%
Kolisnyk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ruzicka 60% vs Kolisnyk 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Ruzicka +2 · Kolisnyk -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Ruzicka) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kolisnyk form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRuzicka 1.61 / Kolisnyk 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Ruzicka)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13114288
Ruzicka1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite57% won 188 of 331
Up 2–0, closes it95% 103 of 109
Up 1–0, closes it76% 137 of 181
Kolisnyk2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog43% won 79 of 183
Down 0–1, comes back19% 19 of 100
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 59
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRuzicka7wins
AwayKolisnyk3wins
Ruzicka leads 7–3.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRuzicka100%6 of 6
AwayKolisnyk75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ruzicka6Kolisnyk4n = 10Ruzicka took 6 of 10
S2Ruzicka6Kolisnyk4n = 10Ruzicka took 6 of 10
S3Ruzicka6Kolisnyk4n = 10Ruzicka took 6 of 10
S4Ruzicka5Kolisnyk2n = 7Ruzicka took 5 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricRuzickaKolisnykR − KBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.434.7+3.7per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRuzickaKolisnykBasisWin rate · lifetime678 / 1399 vs 543 / 108648.5%50%678 / 1399 vs 543 / 1086Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.538.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RuzickaRuzicka 1.61/Kolisnyk 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.9%
Ruzicka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Ruzicka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 12 · 20:00J. Ruzicka4011511133O. Kolisnyk369115111
LSep 12 · 15:30J. Ruzicka248970O. Kolisnyk331111113
WSep 11 · 12:00J. Ruzicka371113133O. Kolisnyk31911110
WSep 9 · 17:30J. Ruzicka371511113O. Kolisnyk2913970
WSep 9 · 14:30J. Ruzicka4411913113O. Kolisnyk376111191
LAug 29 · 07:30J. Ruzicka4010119101O. Kolisnyk4012511123
LAug 27 · 20:58J. Ruzicka367127101O. Kolisnyk44111011123
WAug 27 · 20:30J. Ruzicka47141111113O. Kolisnyk30163561
WAug 26 · 12:30J. Ruzicka3811115113O. Kolisnyk35781191
WAug 24 · 19:30J. Ruzicka4111811113O. Kolisnyk32711591
J. Ruzicka10
WSep 12 · 19:30R. Urbaniec2.38711691J. Ruzicka1.5311911113WSep 12 · 18:00J. Ruzicka1.831016611113O. Svacha1.83121411272LSep 12 · 16:59J. Ruzicka1.44151146102R. Urbaniec2.631351111123WSep 12 · 16:30R. Urbaniec2.50511941J. Ruzicka1.5011711113LSep 12 · 15:30J. Ruzicka1.618970O. Kolisnyk2.201111113LSep 12 · 14:30J. Kanera1.8011913113J. Ruzicka1.916111191WSep 11 · 13:30V. Svechota1.658580J. Ruzicka2.101111113WSep 11 · 12:00O. Kolisnyk2.10911110J. Ruzicka1.671113133LSep 11 · 11:00V. Svechota1.731111113113J. Ruzicka2.0091361122WSep 11 · 10:30J. Ruzicka1.5751111113R. Urbaniec2.25116591
O. Kolisnyk10
LSep 12 · 19:00O. Svacha1.91111167113O. Kolisnyk1.8068111182WSep 12 · 17:31O. Kolisnyk1.8211411113J. Kanera1.90811991WSep 12 · 16:00O. Kolisnyk1.6111511113J. Kanera2.20411931WSep 12 · 15:30J. Ruzicka1.618970O. Kolisnyk2.201111113LSep 12 · 14:00O. Kolisnyk1.67811681R. Urbaniec2.1011711113WSep 11 · 13:00R. Urbaniec1.9110260O. Kolisnyk1.801211113LSep 11 · 12:00O. Kolisnyk2.10911110J. Ruzicka1.671113133LSep 11 · 11:30R. Urbaniec1.831111113O. Kolisnyk1.837680LSep 11 · 10:00O. Kolisnyk1.7341212872V. Svechota2.0011101011113LSep 10 · 16:58J. Kycelt1.441111118113O. Kolisnyk2.6313691152
Upcoming Matches
J. Ruzicka1 of 8 neutral
Sep 12 · 21:30J. Ruzicka—O. Svacha——Sep 13 · 14:30J. Ruzicka1.91V. Nohejl1.80—Sep 13 · 15:30J. Ruzicka2.50J. Jr1.50—Sep 13 · 16:30J. Ruzicka1.61O. Kolisnyk2.20—Sep 13 · 23:00J. Ruzicka1.44J. Louda2.63—Sep 14 · 24:00J. Ruzicka2.00O. Svacha1.73—Sep 14 · 01:30J. Ruzicka2.00M. Wagner1.73—Sep 14 · 02:30J. Ruzicka1.53R. Urbaniec2.38—
O. Kolisnyk
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