TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13114286
Played Sep 12Finished
Ondrej Svacha
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
116118611711118
Oleksandr Kolisnyk
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:03 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Kolisnyk to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOndrej Svacha above · Oleksandr Kolisnyk below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 5-6
Point 82 set 5, 5-6 — our read held Oleksandr Kolisnyk at 54.0%
82 points drawn · the score is 8 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Ondrej Svacha 27–26 Oleksandr Kolisnyk Oleksandr Kolisnyk has won 26 of their 53 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:03What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Kolisnyk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
27-26 in 53
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Svacha 1685 vs Kolisnyk 1783
Kolisnyk
Wrong
both rated, 98 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Svacha 60% vs Kolisnyk 80%
Kolisnyk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Svacha 40% vs Kolisnyk 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Svacha -1 · Kolisnyk +4
Kolisnyk
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kolisnyk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kolisnyk form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSvacha 1.91 / Kolisnyk 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kolisnyk)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13114286
Svacha1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog49% won 88 of 179
Down 0–1, comes back33% 26 of 78
Down 0–2, comes back11% 4 of 37
Kolisnyk1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite58% won 83 of 143
Up 2–0, closes it95% 40 of 42
Up 1–0, closes it81% 65 of 80
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSvacha2wins
AwayKolisnyk8wins
7 of 10 to a deciderKolisnyk leads 8–2, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSvacha25%1 of 4
AwayKolisnyk83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Svacha4Kolisnyk6n = 10Kolisnyk took 6 of 10
S2Svacha6Kolisnyk4n = 10Svacha took 6 of 10
S3Svacha5Kolisnyk5n = 10split evenly
S4Svacha2Kolisnyk5n = 7Kolisnyk took 5 of 7
S5Svacha1Kolisnyk6n = 7Kolisnyk took 6 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away660%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSvachaKolisnykS − KBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match37.642.3−4.7per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSvachaKolisnykBasisWin rate · lifetime393 / 784 vs 543 / 108450.1%50.1%393 / 784 vs 543 / 1084Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.838.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolisnykSvacha 1.91/Kolisnyk 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Kolisnyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Svacha won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 24 · 18:00O. Svacha3511551132O. Kolisnyk48811117113
LAug 15 · 07:30O. Svacha197660O. Kolisnyk331111113
WJul 13 · 15:00O. Svacha46411119113O. Kolisnyk4311951172
LJul 11 · 22:00O. Svacha2610970O. Kolisnyk341211113
LJul 5 · 10:00O. Svacha45111111752O. Kolisnyk47133911113
LMar 16 · 24:30O. Svacha3611125532O. Kolisnyk529101111113
LMar 11 · 22:30O. Svacha3441111442O. Kolisnyk46118511113
LMar 11 · 21:30O. Svacha4712119692O. Kolisnyk511081111113
WMar 1 · 21:58O. Svacha361114113O. Kolisnyk1811250
LMar 1 · 21:30O. Svacha52911111292O. Kolisnyk511113610113
O. Svacha10
LSep 12 · 18:00J. Ruzicka1.831016611113O. Svacha1.83121411272WSep 12 · 09:30V. Svechota1.536111091O. Svacha2.3811912113WSep 12 · 08:30O. Svacha2.1013113113M. Wagner1.671181191LSep 12 · 07:00O. Svacha2.2011101081V. Svechota1.6191212113WSep 12 · 06:00V. Vejvoda2.009970O. Svacha1.731111113LSep 10 · 17:00O. Svacha2.631011431V. Nohejl1.4412511113LSep 10 · 16:30R. Urbaniec1.73127711113O. Svacha2.00101111672WSep 10 · 15:30O. Svacha3.0091111113V. Nohejl1.36116551LSep 10 · 14:30A. Brazda2.5051111113O. Svacha1.50119661LSep 10 · 01:30O. Svacha1.91791281J. Ruzicka1.80111110113
O. Kolisnyk10
WSep 12 · 18:30O. Kolisnyk1.671111113R. Urbaniec2.108970WSep 12 · 17:31O. Kolisnyk1.8211411113J. Kanera1.90811991WSep 12 · 16:00O. Kolisnyk1.6111511113J. Kanera2.20411931WSep 12 · 15:30J. Ruzicka1.618970O. Kolisnyk2.201111113LSep 12 · 14:00O. Kolisnyk1.67811681R. Urbaniec2.1011711113WSep 11 · 13:00R. Urbaniec1.9110260O. Kolisnyk1.801211113LSep 11 · 12:00O. Kolisnyk2.10911110J. Ruzicka1.671113133LSep 11 · 11:30R. Urbaniec1.831111113O. Kolisnyk1.837680LSep 11 · 10:00O. Kolisnyk1.7341212872V. Svechota2.0011101011113LSep 10 · 16:58J. Kycelt1.441111118113O. Kolisnyk2.6313691152
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