TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13114736
Played Sep 12Finished
Ondrej Svacha
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1311118311119––
Mark Robin Wagner
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:07 and never touched — 68.8% is still 68.8%
Graded at full timeMark Robin Wagner to win
68.8%
68.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOndrej Svacha above · Mark Robin Wagner below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 3-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 77 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Mark Robin Wagner at 68.8%
77 points played in total.
H2H Ondrej Svacha 0–2 Mark Robin Wagner Ondrej Svacha has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:07What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Wagner
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Svacha 1706 vs Wagner 1746
Wagner
Wrong
both rated, 40 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Svacha 40% vs Wagner 80%
Wagner
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Svacha 20% vs Wagner 60%
Wagner
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Svacha -1 · Wagner +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Wagner) · live re-read · sealed at 69% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wagner form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSvacha 2.10 / Wagner 1.67
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Wagner)+0.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13114736
Svacha2.10
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog49% won 88 of 179
Down 0–1, comes back33% 26 of 78
Down 0–2, comes back11% 4 of 37
Wagner1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite59% won 54 of 92
Up 2–0, closes it93% 25 of 27
Up 1–0, closes it84% 36 of 43
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeSvacha0wins
AwayWagner2wins
1 of 2 to a deciderWagner leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricSvachaWagnerS − WBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match43.542.5+1.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSvachaWagnerBasisWin rate · lifetime391 / 781 vs 89 / 15850.1%56.3%391 / 781 vs 89 / 158Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.838.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WagnerSvacha 2.10/Wagner 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.6%
Wagner · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Svacha won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LSep 10 · 24:30O. Svacha—11811992M. Wagner—711511113
LAug 30 · 12:00O. Svacha—81110101M. Wagner—11512123
O. Svacha10
LSep 12 · 07:00O. Svacha2.2011101081V. Svechota1.6191212113WSep 12 · 06:00V. Vejvoda2.009970O. Svacha1.731111113LSep 10 · 17:00O. Svacha2.631011431V. Nohejl1.4412511113LSep 10 · 16:30R. Urbaniec1.73127711113O. Svacha2.00101111672WSep 10 · 15:30O. Svacha3.0091111113V. Nohejl1.36116551LSep 10 · 14:30A. Brazda2.5051111113O. Svacha1.50119661LSep 10 · 01:30O. Svacha1.91791281J. Ruzicka1.80111110113LSep 10 · 24:30M. Wagner1.80711511113O. Svacha1.9111811992LSep 9 · 23:30S. Kasnik2.35101111133O. Svacha1.531299111LSep 9 · 22:30O. Svacha1.838750R. Urbaniec1.831111113
M. Wagner10
WSep 12 · 07:30M. Wagner1.8311116113V. Vejvoda1.83961161LSep 12 · 06:30V. Svechota1.57111157113M. Wagner2.2563111182WSep 10 · 03:30J. Ruzicka1.801371251M. Wagner1.90111114113WSep 10 · 02:00R. Urbaniec2.38691191M. Wagner1.5311116113WSep 10 · 24:30M. Wagner1.80711511113O. Svacha1.9111811992LSep 9 · 23:00M. Wagner2.008101151J. Ruzicka1.7311126113WSep 9 · 22:00S. Kasnik1.65111182102M. Wagner2.10321111123LSep 6 · 13:30A. Brazda1.7311116143M. Wagner2.006911121LSep 6 · 12:00A. Brazda1.7311911113M. Wagner2.00711771WSep 6 · 11:00J. Louda2.101081581M. Wagner1.67121113113
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