TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13114720
Played Sep 12Finished
Ondrej Svacha
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
11910121012811––
Vojtech Svechota
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:12 and never touched — 64.0% is still 64.0%
Graded at full timeVojtech Svechota to win
64.0%
64.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOndrej Svacha above · Vojtech Svechota below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 83 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Vojtech Svechota at 64.0%
83 points played in total.
H2H Ondrej Svacha 5–8 Vojtech Svechota Ondrej Svacha has won 5 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:12What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Svechota
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-8 in 13
Svechota
Correct
gap of 3 in 13, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Svacha 1706 vs Svechota 1775
Svechota
Correct
both rated, 70 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Svacha 40% vs Svechota 80%
Svechota
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Svacha 30% vs Svechota 70%
Svechota
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Svacha +1 · Svechota +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Svechota) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Svechota form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSvacha 2.20 / Svechota 1.61
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Svechota)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13114720
Svacha2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog49% won 88 of 179
Down 0–1, comes back33% 26 of 78
Down 0–2, comes back11% 4 of 37
Svechota1.61
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite62% won 67 of 109
Up 2–0, closes it93% 39 of 42
Up 1–0, closes it85% 49 of 58
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSvacha3wins
AwaySvechota7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSvechota leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSvacha50%3 of 6
AwaySvechota100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Svacha6Svechota4n = 10Svacha took 6 of 10
S2Svacha2Svechota8n = 10Svechota took 8 of 10
S3Svacha5Svechota5n = 10split evenly
S4Svacha3Svechota5n = 8Svechota took 5 of 8
S5Svacha1Svechota3n = 4Svechota took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSvachaSvechotaSvacha − SvechotaBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.138.2−1.1per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSvachaSvechotaBasisWin rate · lifetime391 / 781 vs 193 / 33250.1%58.1%391 / 781 vs 193 / 332Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.837.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SvechotaSvacha 2.20/Svechota 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.9%
Svechota · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Svechota won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 12 · 07:00O. Svacha—11101081V. Svechota—91212113
WJun 29 · 02:30O. Svacha—116118113V. Svechota—61171142
LMay 26 · 02:30O. Svacha—8990V. Svechota—1111113
WMay 25 · 02:00O. Svacha—11611113V. Svechota—611971
LMay 19 · 16:30O. Svacha—11115682V. Svechota—851111113
WMay 17 · 01:30O. Svacha—11911113V. Svechota—111851
LApr 28 · 23:30O. Svacha—61012101V. Svechota—111210123
LApr 15 · 15:00O. Svacha—6360V. Svechota—1111113
LMar 24 · 24:00O. Svacha—28111152V. Svechota—111132113
LFeb 25 · 22:00O. Svacha—111171082V. Svechota—661112113
O. Svacha10
WSep 12 · 06:00V. Vejvoda2.009970O. Svacha1.731111113LSep 10 · 17:00O. Svacha2.631011431V. Nohejl1.4412511113LSep 10 · 16:30R. Urbaniec1.73127711113O. Svacha2.00101111672WSep 10 · 15:30O. Svacha3.0091111113V. Nohejl1.36116551LSep 10 · 14:30A. Brazda2.5051111113O. Svacha1.50119661LSep 10 · 01:30O. Svacha1.91791281J. Ruzicka1.80111110113LSep 10 · 24:30M. Wagner1.80711511113O. Svacha1.9111811992LSep 9 · 23:30S. Kasnik2.35101111133O. Svacha1.531299111LSep 9 · 22:30O. Svacha1.838750R. Urbaniec1.831111113WSep 5 · 09:00O. Svacha1.44111110123S. Kasnik2.637312101
V. Svechota10
WSep 12 · 06:30V. Svechota1.57111157113M. Wagner2.2563111182LSep 11 · 13:30V. Svechota1.658580J. Ruzicka2.101111113WSep 11 · 12:30V. Svechota1.361181611113R. Urbaniec3.0091118722WSep 11 · 11:00V. Svechota1.731111113113J. Ruzicka2.0091361122WSep 11 · 10:00O. Kolisnyk1.7341212872V. Svechota2.0011101011113WSep 11 · 09:30A. Barton1.654118121V. Svechota2.1011711143WSep 11 · 08:30R. Urbaniec2.75117681V. Svechota1.4091111113LSep 11 · 07:30V. Svechota1.9161290A. Barton1.801114113WSep 11 · 06:30J. Ruzicka1.83871191V. Svechota1.8311119113LAug 20 · 03:00J. Ruzicka1.501111113V. Svechota2.509560
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