TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13114285
Played Sep 12Finished
Oleksandr Kolisnyk
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118119117––––
Radim Urbaniec
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:03 and never touched — 56.4% is still 56.4%
Graded at full timeRadim Urbaniec to win
56.4%
56.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleksandr Kolisnyk above · Radim Urbaniec below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 8-2
Point 49 set 3, 8-2 — our read held Radim Urbaniec at 56.4%
49 points drawn · the score is 8 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Oleksandr Kolisnyk 19–22 Radim Urbaniec Oleksandr Kolisnyk has won 19 of their 41 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:03What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Kolisnyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
19-22 in 41
Urbaniec
Wrong
gap of 3 in 41, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kolisnyk 1768 vs Urbaniec 1776
Urbaniec
Wrong
both rated, 7 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolisnyk 80% vs Urbaniec 20%
Kolisnyk
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolisnyk 50% vs Urbaniec 30%
Kolisnyk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolisnyk +4 · Urbaniec +1
Kolisnyk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Kolisnyk) · live re-read · sealed at 44% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Urbaniec form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolisnyk 1.67 / Urbaniec 2.10
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Kolisnyk)+1.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13114285
Kolisnyk1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 83 of 143
Up 2–0, closes it95% 40 of 42
Up 1–0, closes it81% 65 of 80
Urbaniec2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 192 of 472
Down 0–1, comes back21% 56 of 264
Down 0–2, comes back5% 7 of 146
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKolisnyk4wins
AwayUrbaniec6wins
1 of 10 to a deciderUrbaniec leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolisnyk66.7%4 of 6
AwayUrbaniec100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolisnyk6Urbaniec4n = 10Kolisnyk took 6 of 10
S2Kolisnyk7Urbaniec3n = 10Kolisnyk took 7 of 10
S3Kolisnyk2Urbaniec8n = 10Urbaniec took 8 of 10
S4Kolisnyk3Urbaniec4n = 7Urbaniec took 4 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKolisnykUrbaniecK − UBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match36.936.2+0.7per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolisnykUrbaniecBasisWin rate · lifetime542 / 1083 vs 625 / 122950.1%50.9%542 / 1083 vs 625 / 1229Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.637.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolisnykKolisnyk 1.67/Urbaniec 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.8%
Kolisnyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kolisnyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 11 · 13:00O. Kolisnyk341211113R. Urbaniec1810260
LSep 11 · 11:30O. Kolisnyk217680R. Urbaniec331111113
WSep 9 · 16:00O. Kolisnyk47111114113R. Urbaniec40791681
WAug 29 · 06:00O. Kolisnyk4511149113R. Urbaniec334121161
LAug 28 · 21:28O. Kolisnyk28113771R. Urbaniec4181111113
LAug 28 · 20:00O. Kolisnyk35811881R. Urbaniec4211911113
LAug 15 · 06:00O. Kolisnyk4781181282R. Urbaniec511181110113
LAug 8 · 13:00O. Kolisnyk389127101R. Urbaniec43111011113
LAug 8 · 11:00O. Kolisnyk4111118111R. Urbaniec4141311133
WAug 7 · 06:00O. Kolisnyk331111113R. Urbaniec208570
O. Kolisnyk10
WSep 12 · 17:31O. Kolisnyk1.8211411113J. Kanera1.90811991WSep 12 · 16:00O. Kolisnyk1.6111511113J. Kanera2.20411931WSep 12 · 15:30J. Ruzicka1.618970O. Kolisnyk2.201111113LSep 12 · 14:00O. Kolisnyk1.67811681R. Urbaniec2.1011711113WSep 11 · 13:00R. Urbaniec1.9110260O. Kolisnyk1.801211113LSep 11 · 12:00O. Kolisnyk2.10911110J. Ruzicka1.671113133LSep 11 · 11:30R. Urbaniec1.831111113O. Kolisnyk1.837680LSep 11 · 10:00O. Kolisnyk1.7341212872V. Svechota2.0011101011113LSep 10 · 16:58J. Kycelt1.441111118113O. Kolisnyk2.6313691152LSep 10 · 16:00O. Kolisnyk2.385990J. Kycelt1.531111113
R. Urbaniec10
WSep 12 · 16:59J. Ruzicka1.44151146102R. Urbaniec2.631351111123LSep 12 · 16:30R. Urbaniec2.50511941J. Ruzicka1.5011711113LSep 12 · 15:00R. Urbaniec2.205690J. Kanera1.611111113WSep 12 · 14:00O. Kolisnyk1.67811681R. Urbaniec2.1011711113LSep 11 · 13:00R. Urbaniec1.9110260O. Kolisnyk1.801211113LSep 11 · 12:30V. Svechota1.361181611113R. Urbaniec3.0091118722WSep 11 · 11:30R. Urbaniec1.831111113O. Kolisnyk1.837680LSep 11 · 10:30J. Ruzicka1.5751111113R. Urbaniec2.25116591LSep 11 · 09:00R. Urbaniec2.10611791J. Ruzicka1.6711311113LSep 11 · 08:30R. Urbaniec2.75117681V. Svechota1.4091111113
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