TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13115420
Played Sep 12Finished
Jiri Ruzicka
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
10121614611112117
Ondrej Svacha
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:26 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOndrej Svacha to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJiri Ruzicka above · Ondrej Svacha below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 16-14
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-2
Set 5 · 7-5
Point 94 set 5, 7-5 — our read held Ondrej Svacha at 54.0%
94 points drawn · the score is 6 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Jiri Ruzicka 56–54 Ondrej Svacha Ondrej Svacha has won 54 of their 110 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:26What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Svacha
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
56-54 in 110
Ruzicka
Correct
gap of 2 in 110, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ruzicka 1654 vs Svacha 1733
Svacha
Wrong
both rated, 78 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ruzicka 40% vs Svacha 60%
Svacha
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ruzicka 50% vs Svacha 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Ruzicka -1 · Svacha +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Ruzicka) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ruzicka form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRuzicka 1.83 / Svacha 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Ruzicka)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13115420
Ruzicka1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Svacha1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRuzicka4wins
AwaySvacha6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderSvacha leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRuzicka100%3 of 3
AwaySvacha85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ruzicka3Svacha7n = 10Svacha took 7 of 10
S2Ruzicka4Svacha6n = 10Svacha took 6 of 10
S3Ruzicka6Svacha4n = 10Ruzicka took 6 of 10
S4Ruzicka5Svacha3n = 8Ruzicka took 5 of 8
S5Ruzicka2Svacha3n = 5Svacha took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricRuzickaSvachaR − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match38.840.7−1.9per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRuzickaSvachaBasisWin rate · lifetime675 / 1396 vs 393 / 78348.4%50.2%675 / 1396 vs 393 / 783Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.538.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RuzickaRuzicka 1.83/Svacha 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Ruzicka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Ruzicka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 8 · 16:00J. Ruzicka50812111182O. Svacha54111499113
WJul 4 · 02:00J. Ruzicka3711114113O. Svacha23231171
WJul 1 · 23:30J. Ruzicka42511411113O. Svacha4511911682
LJun 29 · 02:58J. Ruzicka29661161O. Svacha3911116113
WJun 28 · 23:30J. Ruzicka341211113O. Svacha2610790
LJun 25 · 20:30J. Ruzicka4181111472O. Svacha46118511113
LJun 24 · 02:30J. Ruzicka2571440O. Svacha381116113
WJun 22 · 16:00J. Ruzicka531651011113O. Svacha51141112592
LJun 18 · 03:30J. Ruzicka324611111O. Svacha3811113133
LJun 18 · 02:30J. Ruzicka4579111172O. Svacha47111168113
J. Ruzicka10
LSep 12 · 16:59J. Ruzicka1.44151146102R. Urbaniec2.631351111123WSep 12 · 16:30R. Urbaniec2.50511941J. Ruzicka1.5011711113LSep 12 · 15:30J. Ruzicka1.618970O. Kolisnyk2.201111113LSep 12 · 14:30J. Kanera1.8011913113J. Ruzicka1.916111191WSep 11 · 13:30V. Svechota1.658580J. Ruzicka2.101111113WSep 11 · 12:00O. Kolisnyk2.10911110J. Ruzicka1.671113133LSep 11 · 11:00V. Svechota1.731111113113J. Ruzicka2.0091361122WSep 11 · 10:30J. Ruzicka1.5751111113R. Urbaniec2.25116591WSep 11 · 09:00R. Urbaniec2.10611791J. Ruzicka1.6711311113LSep 11 · 08:00A. Barton1.5312118113J. Ruzicka2.381071111
O. Svacha10
WSep 12 · 09:30V. Svechota1.536111091O. Svacha2.3811912113WSep 12 · 08:30O. Svacha2.1013113113M. Wagner1.671181191LSep 12 · 07:00O. Svacha2.2011101081V. Svechota1.6191212113WSep 12 · 06:00V. Vejvoda2.009970O. Svacha1.731111113LSep 10 · 17:00O. Svacha2.631011431V. Nohejl1.4412511113LSep 10 · 16:30R. Urbaniec1.73127711113O. Svacha2.00101111672WSep 10 · 15:30O. Svacha3.0091111113V. Nohejl1.36116551LSep 10 · 14:30A. Brazda2.5051111113O. Svacha1.50119661LSep 10 · 01:30O. Svacha1.91791281J. Ruzicka1.80111110113LSep 10 · 24:30M. Wagner1.80711511113O. Svacha1.9111811992
Upcoming Matches
J. Ruzicka
Sep 12 · 19:30J. Ruzicka1.50R. Urbaniec2.50—Sep 12 · 20:00J. Ruzicka1.61O. Kolisnyk2.20—Sep 13 · 14:30J. Ruzicka1.91V. Nohejl1.80—Sep 13 · 15:30J. Ruzicka2.50J. Jr1.50—Sep 13 · 16:30J. Ruzicka1.61O. Kolisnyk2.20—Sep 13 · 23:00J. Ruzicka1.44J. Louda2.63—Sep 14 · 24:00J. Ruzicka2.00O. Svacha1.73—Sep 14 · 01:30J. Ruzicka2.00M. Wagner1.73—Sep 14 · 02:30J. Ruzicka1.50R. Urbaniec2.50—
O. Svacha
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