TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13120685
Played Sep 14Finished
Ondrej Svacha
Home
1.36
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
116115611311118
Jiri Louda
Away
3.00
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:49 and never touched — 72.3% is still 72.3%
Graded at full timeOndrej Svacha to win
72.3%
72.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOndrej Svacha above · Jiri Louda below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 3-11
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 83 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Ondrej Svacha at 72.3%
83 points played in total.
H2H Ondrej Svacha 17–2 Jiri Louda Jiri Louda has won 2 of their 19 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:49What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Svacha
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
17-2 in 19
Svacha
Correct
gap of 15 in 19, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Svacha 1677 vs Louda 1707
Louda
Wrong
both rated, 30 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Svacha 40% vs Louda 100%
Louda
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Svacha 50% vs Louda 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Svacha -3 · Louda +5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Strong (leans Svacha) · live re-read · sealed at 72% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Louda form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSvacha 1.36 / Louda 3.00
Signal prob.70% / 30%
Edge (Svacha)+1.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13120685
Svacha1.36
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite58% won 88 of 153
Up 2–0, closes it96% 53 of 55
Up 1–0, closes it76% 71 of 93
Louda3.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog38% won 53 of 141
Down 0–1, comes back14% 10 of 73
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 45
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSvacha10wins
AwayLouda0wins
3 of 10 to a deciderSvacha leads 10–0, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSvacha100%8 of 8
AwayLoudan = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Svacha8Louda2n = 10Svacha took 8 of 10
S2Svacha7Louda3n = 10Svacha took 7 of 10
S3Svacha9Louda1n = 10Svacha took 9 of 10
S4Svacha3Louda2n = 5Svacha took 3 of 5
S5Svacha3Louda0n = 3Svacha took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSvachaLoudaS − LBasisWins100+10in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match39.927.3+12.6per matchSweeps50+53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSvachaLoudaBasisWin rate · lifetime395 / 786 vs 612 / 119750.3%51.1%395 / 786 vs 612 / 1197Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.838.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SvachaSvacha 1.36/Louda 3.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
70.1%
Svacha · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Svacha won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WMay 24 · 08:59O. Svacha4111811113J. Louda27611461
WMay 24 · 07:30O. Svacha331111113J. Louda197570
WMay 14 · 22:00O. Svacha331111113J. Louda209830
WMay 9 · 22:00O. Svacha521091111113J. Louda3712115452
WMay 9 · 07:30O. Svacha4411139113J. Louda241111111
WApr 26 · 03:30O. Svacha331111113J. Louda145720
WApr 25 · 23:30O. Svacha501111116113J. Louda4613681182
WApr 19 · 10:00O. Svacha331111113J. Louda229670
WApr 12 · 07:00O. Svacha331111113J. Louda209830
WApr 6 · 18:00O. Svacha47118116113J. Louda4481171172
O. Svacha10
LSep 14 · 01:00O. Svacha1.83116971R. Urbaniec1.8361111113LSep 14 · 24:00J. Ruzicka1.80111110113O. Svacha1.91931261LSep 13 · 22:30M. Wagner1.8081111113O. Svacha1.91116861WSep 12 · 21:30J. Ruzicka1.7312680O. Svacha2.001411113WSep 12 · 20:30O. Svacha1.839111110143R. Urbaniec1.83117712122WSep 12 · 19:00O. Svacha1.91111167113O. Kolisnyk1.8068111182LSep 12 · 18:00J. Ruzicka1.831016611113O. Svacha1.83121411272WSep 12 · 09:30V. Svechota1.536111091O. Svacha2.3811912113WSep 12 · 08:30O. Svacha2.1013113113M. Wagner1.671181191LSep 12 · 07:00O. Svacha2.2011101081V. Svechota1.6191212113
J. Louda10
WSep 14 · 24:30J. Louda2.10111115123M. Wagner1.67113911102WSep 13 · 23:00J. Louda2.6311711113J. Ruzicka1.44711991WSep 13 · 22:00R. Urbaniec1.5389111182J. Louda2.38111184113WSep 13 · 03:00M. Regner1.8310280J. Louda1.831211113WSep 13 · 02:30S. Kasnik2.105650J. Louda1.671111113LSep 13 · 01:00R. Wagner1.8311811113J. Louda1.83911441LSep 12 · 23:30J. Louda2.006650R. Rose1.731111113LSep 12 · 22:00J. Louda1.736118111M. Regner2.0011711133LSep 11 · 02:59J. Louda1.50911591M. Sychra2.5011911113WSep 11 · 02:00M. Sychra2.38561251J. Louda1.53111110113
Upcoming Matches
O. Svacha
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J. Louda
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