TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13120617
Played Sep 14Finished
Jiri Ruzicka
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1191131012116––
Ondrej Svacha
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:50 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJiri Ruzicka to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJiri Ruzicka above · Ondrej Svacha below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 73 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Jiri Ruzicka at 54.0%
73 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Ruzicka 60–64 Ondrej Svacha Jiri Ruzicka has won 60 of their 124 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:50What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Ruzicka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
60-64 in 124
Svacha
Wrong
gap of 4 in 124, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ruzicka 1667 vs Svacha 1700
Svacha
Wrong
both rated, 33 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ruzicka 20% vs Svacha 60%
Svacha
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ruzicka 40% vs Svacha 60%
Svacha
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Ruzicka -4 · Svacha -1
Ruzicka
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Ruzicka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ruzicka form (20%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRuzicka 1.80 / Svacha 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Ruzicka)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13120617
Ruzicka1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 171 of 296
Up 2–0, closes it93% 94 of 101
Up 1–0, closes it77% 128 of 167
Svacha1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog50% won 79 of 158
Down 0–1, comes back33% 23 of 70
Down 0–2, comes back9% 3 of 33
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRuzicka3wins
AwaySvacha7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderSvacha leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRuzicka33.3%1 of 3
AwaySvacha71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ruzicka3Svacha7n = 10Svacha took 7 of 10
S2Ruzicka5Svacha5n = 10split evenly
S3Ruzicka3Svacha7n = 10Svacha took 7 of 10
S4Ruzicka4Svacha4n = 8split evenly
S5Ruzicka1Svacha2n = 3Svacha took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricRuzickaSvachaR − SBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match38.042.7−4.7per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRuzickaSvachaBasisWin rate · lifetime673 / 1397 vs 395 / 78448.2%50.4%673 / 1397 vs 395 / 784Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.538.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RuzickaRuzicka 1.80/Svacha 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Ruzicka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Ruzicka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 12 · 21:30J. Ruzicka2612680O. Svacha361411113
WSep 12 · 18:00J. Ruzicka541016611113O. Svacha46121411272
WSep 10 · 01:30J. Ruzicka43111110113O. Svacha36791281
LSep 2 · 14:30J. Ruzicka48118117112O. Svacha51711911133
LAug 28 · 03:00J. Ruzicka401595111O. Svacha48131111133
LAug 27 · 23:00J. Ruzicka228590O. Svacha331111113
WAug 25 · 14:00J. Ruzicka49131311123O. Svacha4415118101
LAug 24 · 20:30J. Ruzicka301081111O. Svacha4212118113
LAug 19 · 24:00J. Ruzicka30311971O. Svacha4011711113
LAug 16 · 02:59J. Ruzicka3841131372O. Svacha511171111113
J. Ruzicka10
LSep 13 · 23:00J. Louda2.6311711113J. Ruzicka1.44711991LSep 13 · 16:58J. Ruzicka1.801110941V. Nohejl1.9171211113LSep 13 · 16:30O. Kolisnyk2.20111210133J. Ruzicka1.6171012111LSep 13 · 15:30J. Ruzicka2.5061190J. Jr1.501113113WSep 13 · 14:30V. Nohejl1.807980J. Ruzicka1.911111113LSep 12 · 21:30J. Ruzicka1.7312680O. Svacha2.001411113WSep 12 · 20:00J. Ruzicka1.6111511133O. Kolisnyk2.209115111WSep 12 · 19:30R. Urbaniec2.38711691J. Ruzicka1.5311911113WSep 12 · 18:00J. Ruzicka1.831016611113O. Svacha1.83121411272LSep 12 · 16:59J. Ruzicka1.44151146102R. Urbaniec2.631351111123
O. Svacha10
LSep 13 · 22:30M. Wagner1.8081111113O. Svacha1.91116861WSep 12 · 21:30J. Ruzicka1.7312680O. Svacha2.001411113WSep 12 · 20:30O. Svacha1.839111110143R. Urbaniec1.83117712122WSep 12 · 19:00O. Svacha1.91111167113O. Kolisnyk1.8068111182LSep 12 · 18:00J. Ruzicka1.831016611113O. Svacha1.83121411272WSep 12 · 09:30V. Svechota1.536111091O. Svacha2.3811912113WSep 12 · 08:30O. Svacha2.1013113113M. Wagner1.671181191LSep 12 · 07:00O. Svacha2.2011101081V. Svechota1.6191212113WSep 12 · 06:00V. Vejvoda2.009970O. Svacha1.731111113LSep 10 · 17:00O. Svacha2.631011431V. Nohejl1.4412511113
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