TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13120618
Played Sep 13Finished
Jiri Ruzicka
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
6111113911––––
Jan Mecl Jr
Away
1.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:59 and never touched — 58.5% is still 58.5%
Graded at full timeJan Mecl Jr to win
58.5%
58.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJiri Ruzicka above · Jan Mecl Jr below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 61 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Jan Mecl Jr at 58.5%
61 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Ruzicka 16–38 Jan Mecl Jr Jiri Ruzicka has won 16 of their 54 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:59What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Jr
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
16-38 in 54
Jr
Correct
gap of 22 in 54, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ruzicka 1743 vs Jr 1775
Jr
Correct
both rated, 32 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ruzicka 80% vs Jr 60%
Ruzicka
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ruzicka 60% vs Jr 40%
Ruzicka
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Ruzicka +1 · Jr -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Jr) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ruzicka form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRuzicka 2.50 / Jr 1.50
Signal prob.36% / 64%
Edge (Jr)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13120618
Ruzicka2.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog39% won 133 of 341
Down 0–1, comes back20% 42 of 212
Down 0–2, comes back5% 6 of 112
Jr1.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite58% won 120 of 208
Up 2–0, closes it94% 60 of 64
Up 1–0, closes it76% 88 of 116
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRuzicka4wins
AwayJr6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderJr leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRuzicka60%3 of 5
AwayJr80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ruzicka5Jr5n = 10split evenly
S2Ruzicka4Jr6n = 10Jr took 6 of 10
S3Ruzicka4Jr6n = 10Jr took 6 of 10
S4Ruzicka2Jr7n = 9Jr took 7 of 9
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricRuzickaJrR − JBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.043.8−4.8per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRuzickaJrBasisWin rate · lifetime675 / 1396 vs 395 / 75548.4%52.3%675 / 1396 vs 395 / 755Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.539.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JrRuzicka 2.50/Jr 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.7%
Jr · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Jr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 26 · 11:30J. Ruzicka491110125113J. Jr49812101182
WAug 25 · 09:00J. Ruzicka3912114123J. Jr3810711101
LAug 25 · 07:30J. Ruzicka381287111J. Jr45101111133
LAug 3 · 07:30J. Ruzicka31471191J. Jr3811115113
LAug 2 · 24:30J. Ruzicka31126581J. Jr43101111113
LJul 29 · 13:30J. Ruzicka3669210J. Jr451111233
WJul 29 · 11:00J. Ruzicka5081111203J. Jr471199181
WJul 29 · 08:58J. Ruzicka53111387143J. Jr505111111122
LJul 29 · 07:30J. Ruzicka359101151J. Jr4311129113
LJul 27 · 13:28J. Ruzicka28511481J. Jr4011711113
J. Ruzicka10
WSep 13 · 14:30V. Nohejl1.807980J. Ruzicka1.911111113LSep 12 · 21:30J. Ruzicka1.7312680O. Svacha2.001411113WSep 12 · 20:00J. Ruzicka1.6111511133O. Kolisnyk2.209115111WSep 12 · 19:30R. Urbaniec2.38711691J. Ruzicka1.5311911113WSep 12 · 18:00J. Ruzicka1.831016611113O. Svacha1.83121411272LSep 12 · 16:59J. Ruzicka1.44151146102R. Urbaniec2.631351111123WSep 12 · 16:30R. Urbaniec2.50511941J. Ruzicka1.5011711113LSep 12 · 15:30J. Ruzicka1.618970O. Kolisnyk2.201111113LSep 12 · 14:30J. Kanera1.8011913113J. Ruzicka1.916111191WSep 11 · 13:30V. Svechota1.658580J. Ruzicka2.101111113
J. Jr10
LSep 13 · 14:00J. Jr1.50101171162O. Kolisnyk2.50129118113WSep 5 · 20:58J. Jr1.5711119113O. Kolisnyk2.25691181WSep 5 · 20:00J. Jr1.611112157133M. Zahradka2.209141311112WSep 5 · 19:30O. Kolisnyk2.256490J. Jr1.571111113LSep 5 · 18:00J. Jr1.53691291J. Kanera2.38111110113LAug 27 · 16:58J. Jr1.6111581182J. Kanera2.20911114113WAug 27 · 16:30J. Kanera2.2010950J. Jr1.611211113LAug 27 · 15:30J. Jr2.38481191E. Mares1.5311117113LAug 27 · 14:30V. Koubek1.40111015113J. Jr2.754121371LAug 27 · 13:00J. Jr1.61114891M. Kratochvil2.2071111113
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