TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13125729
Played Sep 13Finished
Jiri Ruzicka
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1171012911411––
Vaclav Nohejl 2005
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingJiri Ruzicka above · Vaclav Nohejl 2005 below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 1-9
Point 70 set 4, 1-9
70 points drawn · the score is 5 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Jiri Ruzicka 3–3 Vaclav Nohejl 2005 Dead even across their 6 meetings.
Last 6 · 3–3Head to head
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Ruzicka beat Nohejl 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Ruzicka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Nohejl form (20%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRuzicka 1.80 / Nohejl 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Ruzicka)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13125729
Ruzicka1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite58% won 171 of 296
Up 2–0, closes it93% 94 of 101
Up 1–0, closes it77% 128 of 167
Nohejl1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog38% won 17 of 45
Down 0–1, comes back26% 6 of 23
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeRuzicka3wins
AwayNohejl3wins
2 of 6 to a deciderLevel at 3–3, and 2 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRuzickan = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayNohejl60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ruzicka1Nohejl5n = 6Nohejl took 5 of 6
S2Ruzicka4Nohejl2n = 6Ruzicka took 4 of 6
S3Ruzicka3Nohejl3n = 6split evenly
S4Ruzicka3Nohejl1n = 4Ruzicka took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away117%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away117%
These 6 meetings
MetricRuzickaNohejlR − NBasisWins330in 6 meetingsFirst set15−4of 6Avg pointsper match39.541.0−1.5per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRuzickaNohejlBasisWin rate · lifetime674 / 1396 vs 170 / 31448.3%54.1%674 / 1396 vs 170 / 314Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.538.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RuzickaRuzicka 1.80/Nohejl 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Ruzicka · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Nohejl won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LAug 25 · 17:30J. Ruzicka134270V. Nohejl331111113
WAug 25 · 15:00J. Ruzicka559121211113V. Nohejl48111014762
WMay 20 · 15:00J. Ruzicka5081120113V. Nohejl411181841
LMay 6 · 16:59J. Ruzicka30731551V. Nohejl46111113113
WMay 6 · 16:00J. Ruzicka331111113V. Nohejl218850
LApr 30 · 15:30J. Ruzicka56181181182V. Nohejl57206119113
J. Ruzicka10
LSep 13 · 16:30O. Kolisnyk2.20111210133J. Ruzicka1.6171012111LSep 13 · 15:30J. Ruzicka2.5061190J. Jr1.501113113WSep 13 · 14:30V. Nohejl1.807980J. Ruzicka1.911111113LSep 12 · 21:30J. Ruzicka1.7312680O. Svacha2.001411113WSep 12 · 20:00J. Ruzicka1.6111511133O. Kolisnyk2.209115111WSep 12 · 19:30R. Urbaniec2.38711691J. Ruzicka1.5311911113WSep 12 · 18:00J. Ruzicka1.831016611113O. Svacha1.83121411272LSep 12 · 16:59J. Ruzicka1.44151146102R. Urbaniec2.631351111123WSep 12 · 16:30R. Urbaniec2.50511941J. Ruzicka1.5011711113LSep 12 · 15:30J. Ruzicka1.618970O. Kolisnyk2.201111113
V. Nohejl10
LSep 13 · 16:00J. Jr1.44811711113V. Nohejl2.6311911542LSep 13 · 15:00O. Kolisnyk1.911111113V. Nohejl1.808250LSep 13 · 14:30V. Nohejl1.807980J. Ruzicka1.911111113WSep 10 · 17:00O. Svacha2.631011431V. Nohejl1.4412511113LSep 10 · 16:00V. Nohejl1.611171071A. Brazda2.2041112113LSep 10 · 15:30O. Svacha3.0091111113V. Nohejl1.36116551WSep 10 · 14:00V. Nohejl1.57651211113R. Urbaniec2.25111110942WSep 5 · 09:30V. Nohejl1.7311117113V. Vejvoda2.00571171WSep 5 · 08:00V. Nohejl1.611411113S. Kasnik2.2012480WSep 5 · 07:30O. Svacha3.0011871192V. Nohejl1.36611115113
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