TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13121198
Played Sep 13Finished
Jan Mecl Jr
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
811119711115114
Vaclav Nohejl 2005
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:28 and never touched — 60.8% is still 60.8%
Graded at full timeJan Mecl Jr to win
60.8%
60.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJan Mecl Jr above · Vaclav Nohejl 2005 below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 11-4
Point 88 set 5, 11-4 — our read held Jan Mecl Jr at 60.8%
88 points played in total.
H2H Jan Mecl Jr 1–0 Vaclav Nohejl 2005 Vaclav Nohejl 2005 has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:28What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Jr
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Jr 1797 vs Nohejl 1697
Jr
Correct
both rated, 99 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jr 80% vs Nohejl 20%
Jr
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jr 50% vs Nohejl 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Jr +1 · Nohejl -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Jr) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Nohejl form (20%) is below what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJr 1.44 / Nohejl 2.63
Signal prob.65% / 36%
Edge (Jr)-0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13121198
Jr1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite58% won 120 of 208
Up 2–0, closes it94% 60 of 64
Up 1–0, closes it76% 88 of 116
Nohejl2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog38% won 17 of 45
Down 0–1, comes back26% 6 of 23
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeJr1wins
AwayNohejl0wins
Jr leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricJrNohejlJ − NBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match43.033.0+10.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJrNohejlBasisWin rate · lifetime396 / 756 vs 170 / 31352.4%54.3%396 / 756 vs 170 / 313Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.938.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JrJr 1.44/Nohejl 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.5%
Jr · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Jr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WMay 10 · 08:30J. Jr43111110113V. Nohejl33691261
J. Jr10
WSep 13 · 15:30J. Ruzicka2.5061190J. Jr1.501113113LSep 13 · 14:00J. Jr1.50101171162O. Kolisnyk2.50129118113WSep 5 · 20:58J. Jr1.5711119113O. Kolisnyk2.25691181WSep 5 · 20:00J. Jr1.611112157133M. Zahradka2.209141311112WSep 5 · 19:30O. Kolisnyk2.256490J. Jr1.571111113LSep 5 · 18:00J. Jr1.53691291J. Kanera2.38111110113LAug 27 · 16:58J. Jr1.6111581182J. Kanera2.20911114113WAug 27 · 16:30J. Kanera2.2010950J. Jr1.611211113LAug 27 · 15:30J. Jr2.38481191E. Mares1.5311117113LAug 27 · 14:30V. Koubek1.40111015113J. Jr2.754121371
V. Nohejl10
LSep 13 · 15:00O. Kolisnyk1.911111113V. Nohejl1.808250LSep 13 · 14:30V. Nohejl1.807980J. Ruzicka1.911111113WSep 10 · 17:00O. Svacha2.631011431V. Nohejl1.4412511113LSep 10 · 16:00V. Nohejl1.611171071A. Brazda2.2041112113LSep 10 · 15:30O. Svacha3.0091111113V. Nohejl1.36116551WSep 10 · 14:00V. Nohejl1.57651211113R. Urbaniec2.25111110942WSep 5 · 09:30V. Nohejl1.7311117113V. Vejvoda2.00571171WSep 5 · 08:00V. Nohejl1.611411113S. Kasnik2.2012480WSep 5 · 07:30O. Svacha3.0011871192V. Nohejl1.36611115113LSep 5 · 06:00V. Nohejl1.671111611132V. Vejvoda2.10136118153
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