TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13120484
Played Sep 13Finished
Mark Robin Wagner
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
811116118116––
Ondrej Svacha
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:16 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMark Robin Wagner to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMark Robin Wagner above · Ondrej Svacha below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 72 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Mark Robin Wagner at 54.0%
72 points played in total.
H2H Mark Robin Wagner 2–1 Ondrej Svacha Ondrej Svacha has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:16What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Wagner
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wagner 1756 vs Svacha 1710
Wagner
Correct
both rated, 45 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wagner 60% vs Svacha 80%
Svacha
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wagner 60% vs Svacha 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Wagner +1 · Svacha +3
Svacha
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Wagner)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Svacha form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWagner 1.80 / Svacha 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Wagner)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13120484
Wagner1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite57% won 48 of 84
Up 2–0, closes it92% 23 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it83% 33 of 40
Svacha1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog50% won 79 of 158
Down 0–1, comes back33% 23 of 70
Down 0–2, comes back9% 3 of 33
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeWagner2wins
AwaySvacha1wins
1 of 3 to a deciderWagner leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wagner1Svacha2n = 3Svacha took 2 of 3
S2Wagner1Svacha2n = 3Svacha took 2 of 3
S3Wagner2Svacha1n = 3Wagner took 2 of 3
S4Wagner2Svacha1n = 3Wagner took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricWagnerSvachaW − SBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match41.341.7−0.4per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWagnerSvachaBasisWin rate · lifetime90 / 160 vs 395 / 78356.3%50.5%90 / 160 vs 395 / 783Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.238.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WagnerWagner 1.80/Svacha 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Wagner · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Wagner won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LSep 12 · 08:30M. Wagner391181191O. Svacha3813113113
WSep 10 · 24:30M. Wagner45711511113O. Svacha4811811992
WAug 30 · 12:00M. Wagner4011512123O. Svacha3981110101
M. Wagner10
WSep 12 · 08:58M. Wagner1.671114113V. Vejvoda2.1061280LSep 12 · 08:30O. Svacha2.1013113113M. Wagner1.671181191WSep 12 · 07:30M. Wagner1.8311116113V. Vejvoda1.83961161LSep 12 · 06:30V. Svechota1.57111157113M. Wagner2.2563111182WSep 10 · 03:30J. Ruzicka1.801371251M. Wagner1.90111114113WSep 10 · 02:00R. Urbaniec2.38691191M. Wagner1.5311116113WSep 10 · 24:30M. Wagner1.80711511113O. Svacha1.9111811992LSep 9 · 23:00M. Wagner2.008101151J. Ruzicka1.7311126113WSep 9 · 22:00S. Kasnik1.65111182102M. Wagner2.10321111123LSep 6 · 13:30A. Brazda1.7311116143M. Wagner2.006911121
O. Svacha10
WSep 12 · 21:30J. Ruzicka1.7312680O. Svacha2.001411113WSep 12 · 20:30O. Svacha1.839111110143R. Urbaniec1.83117712122WSep 12 · 19:00O. Svacha1.91111167113O. Kolisnyk1.8068111182LSep 12 · 18:00J. Ruzicka1.831016611113O. Svacha1.83121411272WSep 12 · 09:30V. Svechota1.536111091O. Svacha2.3811912113WSep 12 · 08:30O. Svacha2.1013113113M. Wagner1.671181191LSep 12 · 07:00O. Svacha2.2011101081V. Svechota1.6191212113WSep 12 · 06:00V. Vejvoda2.009970O. Svacha1.731111113LSep 10 · 17:00O. Svacha2.631011431V. Nohejl1.4412511113LSep 10 · 24:30M. Wagner1.80711511113O. Svacha1.9111811992
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