TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13120723
Played Sep 14Finished
Jiri Louda
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1111131195111210
Mark Robin Wagner
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:59 and never touched — 57.0% is still 57.0%
Graded at full timeMark Robin Wagner to win
57.0%
57.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJiri Louda above · Mark Robin Wagner below
Set 1 · 1-11
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 5-11
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 84 set 5, 12-10 — our read held Mark Robin Wagner at 57.0%
84 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Louda 3–3 Mark Robin Wagner Dead even across their 6 meetings.
Last 6 · 3–3Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:59What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Wagner
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-3 in 6
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Louda 1695 vs Wagner 1729
Wagner
Wrong
both rated, 34 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Louda 80% vs Wagner 60%
Louda
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Louda 50% vs Wagner 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Louda +4 · Wagner -1
Louda
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Wagner) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Louda form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLouda 2.10 / Wagner 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Wagner)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13120723
Louda2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog38% won 53 of 141
Down 0–1, comes back14% 10 of 73
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 45
Wagner1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite57% won 48 of 84
Up 2–0, closes it92% 23 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it83% 33 of 40
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeLouda3wins
AwayWagner3wins
2 of 6 to a deciderLevel at 3–3, and 2 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLouda66.7%2 of 3
AwayWagner66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Louda3Wagner3n = 6split evenly
S2Louda2Wagner4n = 6Wagner took 4 of 6
S3Louda4Wagner2n = 6Louda took 4 of 6
S4Louda1Wagner5n = 6Wagner took 5 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home233%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away350%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricLoudaWagnerL − WBasisWins330in 6 meetingsFirst set330of 6Avg pointsper match41.042.0−1.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLoudaWagnerBasisWin rate · lifetime612 / 1197 vs 91 / 16351.1%55.8%612 / 1197 vs 91 / 163Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.438.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WagnerLouda 2.10/Wagner 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.8%
Wagner · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Louda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WSep 14 · 24:30J. Louda40111115123M. Wagner44113911102
LSep 6 · 11:00J. Louda411081581M. Wagner47121113113
LAug 30 · 14:00J. Louda34118871M. Wagner3521111113
LAug 23 · 17:30J. Louda376118121M. Wagner4311711143
WAug 23 · 14:30J. Louda48117116133M. Wagner49711911112
WJul 27 · 22:30J. Louda46111111133M. Wagner348132111
J. Louda10
LSep 14 · 02:00O. Svacha1.36111163113J. Louda3.0065111182WSep 13 · 23:00J. Louda2.6311711113J. Ruzicka1.44711991WSep 13 · 22:00R. Urbaniec1.5389111182J. Louda2.38111184113WSep 13 · 03:00M. Regner1.8310280J. Louda1.831211113WSep 13 · 02:30S. Kasnik2.105650J. Louda1.671111113LSep 13 · 01:00R. Wagner1.8311811113J. Louda1.83911441LSep 12 · 23:30J. Louda2.006650R. Rose1.731111113LSep 12 · 22:00J. Louda1.736118111M. Regner2.0011711133LSep 11 · 02:59J. Louda1.50911591M. Sychra2.5011911113WSep 11 · 02:00M. Sychra2.38561251J. Louda1.53111110113
M. Wagner10
LSep 14 · 01:30M. Wagner1.8011771142J. Ruzicka1.91911116113LSep 13 · 23:30R. Urbaniec2.63111282113M. Wagner1.44710111182WSep 13 · 22:30M. Wagner1.8081111113O. Svacha1.91116861WSep 12 · 08:58M. Wagner1.671114113V. Vejvoda2.1061280LSep 12 · 08:30O. Svacha2.1013113113M. Wagner1.671181191WSep 12 · 07:30M. Wagner1.8311116113V. Vejvoda1.83961161LSep 12 · 06:30V. Svechota1.57111157113M. Wagner2.2563111182WSep 10 · 03:30J. Ruzicka1.801371251M. Wagner1.90111114113WSep 10 · 02:00R. Urbaniec2.38691191M. Wagner1.5311116113WSep 10 · 24:30M. Wagner1.80711511113O. Svacha1.9111811992
Upcoming Matches
J. Louda
M. Wagner
Nothing scheduled
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.