TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13120258
Played Sep 14Finished
Mark Robin Wagner
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
119711711116411
Jiri Ruzicka
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:33 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMark Robin Wagner to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMark Robin Wagner above · Jiri Ruzicka below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 4-11
Point 88 set 5, 4-11 — our read held Mark Robin Wagner at 54.0%
88 points played in total.
H2H Mark Robin Wagner 1–1 Jiri Ruzicka Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:33What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Wagner
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Wagner 1695 vs Ruzicka 1703
Ruzicka
Correct
both rated, 7 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wagner 40% vs Ruzicka 20%
Wagner
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wagner 60% vs Ruzicka 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Wagner -2 · Ruzicka +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Wagner)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ruzicka form (20%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWagner 1.80 / Ruzicka 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Wagner)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13120258
Wagner1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite57% won 48 of 84
Up 2–0, closes it92% 23 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it83% 33 of 40
Ruzicka1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog39% won 133 of 341
Down 0–1, comes back20% 42 of 212
Down 0–2, comes back5% 6 of 112
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeWagner1wins
AwayRuzicka1wins
Level at 1–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricWagnerRuzickaW − RBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match40.538.5+2.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWagnerRuzickaBasisWin rate · lifetime91 / 164 vs 675 / 139955.5%48.3%91 / 164 vs 675 / 1399Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.338.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WagnerWagner 1.80/Ruzicka 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Wagner · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Ruzicka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WSep 10 · 03:30M. Wagner47111114113J. Ruzicka371371251
LSep 9 · 23:00M. Wagner348101151J. Ruzicka4011126113
M. Wagner10
LSep 14 · 24:30J. Louda2.10111115123M. Wagner1.67113911102LSep 13 · 23:30R. Urbaniec2.63111282113M. Wagner1.44710111182WSep 13 · 22:30M. Wagner1.8081111113O. Svacha1.91116861WSep 12 · 08:58M. Wagner1.671114113V. Vejvoda2.1061280LSep 12 · 08:30O. Svacha2.1013113113M. Wagner1.671181191WSep 12 · 07:30M. Wagner1.8311116113V. Vejvoda1.83961161LSep 12 · 06:30V. Svechota1.57111157113M. Wagner2.2563111182WSep 10 · 03:30J. Ruzicka1.801371251M. Wagner1.90111114113WSep 10 · 02:00R. Urbaniec2.38691191M. Wagner1.5311116113WSep 10 · 24:30M. Wagner1.80711511113O. Svacha1.9111811992
J. Ruzicka10
WSep 14 · 02:30J. Ruzicka1.53111116123R. Urbaniec2.389918101WSep 14 · 24:00J. Ruzicka1.80111110113O. Svacha1.91931261LSep 13 · 23:00J. Louda2.6311711113J. Ruzicka1.44711991LSep 13 · 16:58J. Ruzicka1.801110941V. Nohejl1.9171211113LSep 13 · 16:30O. Kolisnyk2.20111210133J. Ruzicka1.6171012111LSep 13 · 15:30J. Ruzicka2.5061190J. Jr1.501113113WSep 13 · 14:30V. Nohejl1.807980J. Ruzicka1.911111113LSep 12 · 21:30J. Ruzicka1.7312680O. Svacha2.001411113WSep 12 · 20:00J. Ruzicka1.6111511133O. Kolisnyk2.209115111LSep 10 · 03:30J. Ruzicka1.801371251M. Wagner1.90111114113
Upcoming Matches
M. Wagner
Nothing scheduled
J. Ruzicka
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