TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13120470
Played Sep 13Finished
Radim Urbaniec
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1171210811211118
Mark Robin Wagner
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:15 and never touched — 56.7% is still 56.7%
Graded at full timeMark Robin Wagner to win
56.7%
56.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingRadim Urbaniec above · Mark Robin Wagner below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 2-11
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 91 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Mark Robin Wagner at 56.7%
91 points played in total.
H2H Radim Urbaniec 0–3 Mark Robin Wagner Radim Urbaniec has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:15What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Wagner
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-3 in 3
Wagner
Wrong
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Urbaniec 1716 vs Wagner 1753
Wagner
Wrong
both rated, 37 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Urbaniec 20% vs Wagner 60%
Wagner
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Urbaniec 30% vs Wagner 70%
Wagner
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Urbaniec -1 · Wagner +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Wagner) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Urbaniec form (20%) is below what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsUrbaniec 2.63 / Wagner 1.44
Signal prob.35% / 65%
Edge (Wagner)+0.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13120470
Urbaniec2.63
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog40% won 178 of 450
Down 0–1, comes back21% 53 of 254
Down 0–2, comes back6% 8 of 141
Wagner1.44
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite57% won 48 of 84
Up 2–0, closes it92% 23 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it83% 33 of 40
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeUrbaniec0wins
AwayWagner3wins
Wagner leads 3–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Urbaniec1Wagner2n = 3Wagner took 2 of 3
S2Urbaniec0Wagner3n = 3Wagner took 3 of 3
S3Urbaniec1Wagner2n = 3Wagner took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away267%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricUrbaniecWagnerU − WBasisWins03−3in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match29.338.0−8.7per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricUrbaniecWagnerBasisWin rate · lifetime627 / 1235 vs 91 / 16250.8%56.2%627 / 1235 vs 91 / 162Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.638.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WagnerUrbaniec 2.63/Wagner 1.44
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
65.3%
Wagner · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Urbaniec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LSep 10 · 02:00R. Urbaniec35691191M. Wagner3911116113
LAug 30 · 15:30R. Urbaniec33119581M. Wagner4181111113
LAug 30 · 11:00R. Urbaniec2046100M. Wagner341111123
R. Urbaniec10
LSep 13 · 22:00R. Urbaniec1.5389111182J. Louda2.38111184113WSep 12 · 21:00O. Kolisnyk1.671291181R. Urbaniec2.1014118113LSep 12 · 20:30O. Svacha1.839111110143R. Urbaniec1.83117712122LSep 12 · 19:30R. Urbaniec2.38711691J. Ruzicka1.5311911113LSep 12 · 18:30O. Kolisnyk1.671111113R. Urbaniec2.108970WSep 12 · 16:59J. Ruzicka1.44151146102R. Urbaniec2.631351111123LSep 12 · 16:30R. Urbaniec2.50511941J. Ruzicka1.5011711113LSep 12 · 15:00R. Urbaniec2.205690J. Kanera1.611111113WSep 12 · 14:00O. Kolisnyk1.67811681R. Urbaniec2.1011711113LSep 11 · 13:00R. Urbaniec1.9110260O. Kolisnyk1.801211113
M. Wagner10
WSep 13 · 22:30M. Wagner1.8081111113O. Svacha1.91116861WSep 12 · 08:58M. Wagner1.671114113V. Vejvoda2.1061280LSep 12 · 08:30O. Svacha2.1013113113M. Wagner1.671181191WSep 12 · 07:30M. Wagner1.8311116113V. Vejvoda1.83961161LSep 12 · 06:30V. Svechota1.57111157113M. Wagner2.2563111182WSep 10 · 03:30J. Ruzicka1.801371251M. Wagner1.90111114113WSep 10 · 02:00R. Urbaniec2.38691191M. Wagner1.5311116113WSep 10 · 24:30M. Wagner1.80711511113O. Svacha1.9111811992LSep 9 · 23:00M. Wagner2.008101151J. Ruzicka1.7311126113WSep 9 · 22:00S. Kasnik1.65111182102M. Wagner2.10321111123
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