TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13121911
Played Sep 12Finished
Oleksandr Kolisnyk
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1214911118811––
Radim Urbaniec
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingOleksandr Kolisnyk above · Radim Urbaniec below
Set 1 · 12-14
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 84 set 4, 8-11
84 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Kolisnyk 20–23 Radim Urbaniec Oleksandr Kolisnyk has won 20 of their 43 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 7h before this match
Urbaniec beat Kolisnyk 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Kolisnyk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Urbaniec form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolisnyk 1.67 / Urbaniec 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Kolisnyk)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13121911
Kolisnyk1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 83 of 143
Up 2–0, closes it95% 40 of 42
Up 1–0, closes it81% 65 of 80
Urbaniec2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog41% won 192 of 472
Down 0–1, comes back21% 56 of 264
Down 0–2, comes back5% 7 of 146
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKolisnyk4wins
AwayUrbaniec6wins
1 of 10 to a deciderUrbaniec leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolisnyk80%4 of 5
AwayUrbaniec100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolisnyk5Urbaniec5n = 10split evenly
S2Kolisnyk8Urbaniec2n = 10Kolisnyk took 8 of 10
S3Kolisnyk2Urbaniec8n = 10Urbaniec took 8 of 10
S4Kolisnyk3Urbaniec4n = 7Urbaniec took 4 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKolisnykUrbaniecK − UBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match36.136.5−0.4per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolisnykUrbaniecBasisWin rate · lifetime543 / 1086 vs 625 / 123250%50.7%543 / 1086 vs 625 / 1232Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.637.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolisnykKolisnyk 1.67/Urbaniec 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.2%
Kolisnyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Urbaniec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 12 · 18:30O. Kolisnyk331111113R. Urbaniec248970
LSep 12 · 14:00O. Kolisnyk33811681R. Urbaniec4011711113
WSep 11 · 13:00O. Kolisnyk341211113R. Urbaniec1810260
LSep 11 · 11:30O. Kolisnyk217680R. Urbaniec331111113
WSep 9 · 16:00O. Kolisnyk47111114113R. Urbaniec40791681
WAug 29 · 06:00O. Kolisnyk4511149113R. Urbaniec334121161
LAug 28 · 21:28O. Kolisnyk28113771R. Urbaniec4181111113
LAug 28 · 20:00O. Kolisnyk35811881R. Urbaniec4211911113
LAug 15 · 06:00O. Kolisnyk4781181282R. Urbaniec511181110113
LAug 8 · 13:00O. Kolisnyk389127101R. Urbaniec43111011113
O. Kolisnyk10
LSep 12 · 20:00J. Ruzicka1.6111511133O. Kolisnyk2.209115111LSep 12 · 19:00O. Svacha1.91111167113O. Kolisnyk1.8068111182WSep 12 · 18:30O. Kolisnyk1.671111113R. Urbaniec2.108970WSep 12 · 17:31O. Kolisnyk1.8211411113J. Kanera1.90811991WSep 12 · 16:00O. Kolisnyk1.6111511113J. Kanera2.20411931WSep 12 · 15:30J. Ruzicka1.618970O. Kolisnyk2.201111113LSep 12 · 14:00O. Kolisnyk1.67811681R. Urbaniec2.1011711113WSep 11 · 13:00R. Urbaniec1.9110260O. Kolisnyk1.801211113LSep 11 · 12:00O. Kolisnyk2.10911110J. Ruzicka1.671113133LSep 11 · 11:30R. Urbaniec1.831111113O. Kolisnyk1.837680
R. Urbaniec10
LSep 12 · 20:30O. Svacha1.839111110143R. Urbaniec1.83117712122LSep 12 · 19:30R. Urbaniec2.38711691J. Ruzicka1.5311911113LSep 12 · 18:30O. Kolisnyk1.671111113R. Urbaniec2.108970WSep 12 · 16:59J. Ruzicka1.44151146102R. Urbaniec2.631351111123LSep 12 · 16:30R. Urbaniec2.50511941J. Ruzicka1.5011711113LSep 12 · 15:00R. Urbaniec2.205690J. Kanera1.611111113WSep 12 · 14:00O. Kolisnyk1.67811681R. Urbaniec2.1011711113LSep 11 · 13:00R. Urbaniec1.9110260O. Kolisnyk1.801211113LSep 11 · 12:30V. Svechota1.361181611113R. Urbaniec3.0091118722WSep 11 · 11:30R. Urbaniec1.831111113O. Kolisnyk1.837680
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