TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13120475
Played Sep 13Finished
Radim Urbaniec
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
811911118114811
Jiri Louda
Away
2.38
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:15 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJiri Louda to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRadim Urbaniec above · Jiri Louda below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-4
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 92 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Jiri Louda at 54.0%
92 points played in total.
H2H Radim Urbaniec 30–16 Jiri Louda Jiri Louda has won 16 of their 46 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:15What took a side0 for · 3 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Urbaniec
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
30-16 in 46
Urbaniec
Wrong
gap of 14 in 46, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Urbaniec 1716 vs Louda 1658
Urbaniec
Wrong
both rated, 58 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Urbaniec 40% vs Louda 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Urbaniec 30% vs Louda 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Urbaniec +1 · Louda +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Urbaniec) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Urbaniec form (40%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsUrbaniec 1.53 / Louda 2.38
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Urbaniec)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13120475
Urbaniec1.53
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite65% won 186 of 288
Up 2–0, closes it91% 93 of 102
Up 1–0, closes it78% 127 of 163
Louda2.38
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog38% won 53 of 141
Down 0–1, comes back14% 10 of 73
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 45
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeUrbaniec6wins
AwayLouda4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderUrbaniec leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeUrbaniec100%5 of 5
AwayLouda80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Urbaniec5Louda5n = 10split evenly
S2Urbaniec8Louda2n = 10Urbaniec took 8 of 10
S3Urbaniec5Louda5n = 10split evenly
S4Urbaniec2Louda5n = 7Louda took 5 of 7
S5Urbaniec3Louda1n = 4Urbaniec took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricUrbaniecLoudaU − LBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.934.9+3.0per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricUrbaniecLoudaBasisWin rate · lifetime626 / 1233 vs 609 / 119450.8%51%626 / 1233 vs 609 / 1194Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.638.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
UrbaniecUrbaniec 1.53/Louda 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62%
Urbaniec · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Louda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WMay 30 · 18:00R. Urbaniec331111113J. Louda218670
WMay 15 · 20:58R. Urbaniec331111113J. Louda225980
LMay 15 · 20:30R. Urbaniec32571191J. Louda3711114113
WMay 15 · 24:30R. Urbaniec473111111113J. Louda4111513482
WMay 14 · 07:30R. Urbaniec48111196113J. Louda4096111132
LMay 13 · 14:00R. Urbaniec3761110101J. Louda4111612123
LMay 10 · 20:30R. Urbaniec3981131162J. Louda42114115113
WMay 9 · 23:30R. Urbaniec42111262113J. Louda46710111172
LMay 9 · 08:59R. Urbaniec34951191J. Louda4111118113
WMay 9 · 08:00R. Urbaniec341111123J. Louda1844100
R. Urbaniec10
WSep 12 · 21:00O. Kolisnyk1.671291181R. Urbaniec2.1014118113LSep 12 · 20:30O. Svacha1.839111110143R. Urbaniec1.83117712122LSep 12 · 19:30R. Urbaniec2.38711691J. Ruzicka1.5311911113LSep 12 · 18:30O. Kolisnyk1.671111113R. Urbaniec2.108970WSep 12 · 16:59J. Ruzicka1.44151146102R. Urbaniec2.631351111123LSep 12 · 16:30R. Urbaniec2.50511941J. Ruzicka1.5011711113LSep 12 · 15:00R. Urbaniec2.205690J. Kanera1.611111113WSep 12 · 14:00O. Kolisnyk1.67811681R. Urbaniec2.1011711113LSep 11 · 13:00R. Urbaniec1.9110260O. Kolisnyk1.801211113LSep 11 · 12:30V. Svechota1.361181611113R. Urbaniec3.0091118722
J. Louda10
WSep 13 · 03:00M. Regner1.8310280J. Louda1.831211113WSep 13 · 02:30S. Kasnik2.105650J. Louda1.671111113LSep 13 · 01:00R. Wagner1.8311811113J. Louda1.83911441LSep 12 · 23:30J. Louda2.006650R. Rose1.731111113LSep 12 · 22:00J. Louda1.736118111M. Regner2.0011711133LSep 11 · 02:59J. Louda1.50911591M. Sychra2.5011911113WSep 11 · 02:00M. Sychra2.38561251J. Louda1.53111110113LSep 11 · 24:30J. Louda1.73311761M. Regner2.0011511113LSep 10 · 23:00J. Louda1.67111110992S. Kasnik2.10841211113WSep 10 · 22:00M. Klement2.1081111982J. Louda1.67118811113
Upcoming Matches
R. Urbaniec
J. Louda
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