TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13120477
Played Sep 14Finished
Ondrej Svacha
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
116611911711––
Radim Urbaniec
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:14 and never touched — 56.3% is still 56.3%
Graded at full timeOndrej Svacha to win
56.3%
56.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOndrej Svacha above · Radim Urbaniec below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 72 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Ondrej Svacha at 56.3%
72 points played in total.
H2H Ondrej Svacha 30–30 Radim Urbaniec Dead even across their 60 meetings.
Last 10 · 4–6Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:14What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Urbaniec
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
30-30 in 60
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Svacha 1677 vs Urbaniec 1738
Urbaniec
Correct
both rated, 61 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Svacha 60% vs Urbaniec 40%
Svacha
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Svacha 60% vs Urbaniec 40%
Svacha
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Svacha -2 · Urbaniec +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Svacha) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Urbaniec form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSvacha 1.83 / Urbaniec 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Svacha)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13120477
Svacha1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Urbaniec1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSvacha4wins
AwayUrbaniec6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderUrbaniec leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSvacha66.7%4 of 6
AwayUrbaniec100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Svacha6Urbaniec4n = 10Svacha took 6 of 10
S2Svacha2Urbaniec8n = 10Urbaniec took 8 of 10
S3Svacha5Urbaniec5n = 10split evenly
S4Svacha2Urbaniec4n = 6Urbaniec took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricSvachaUrbaniecS − UBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match34.235.7−1.5per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSvachaUrbaniecBasisWin rate · lifetime395 / 786 vs 628 / 123650.3%50.8%395 / 786 vs 628 / 1236Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.837.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SvachaSvacha 1.83/Urbaniec 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Svacha · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Urbaniec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 9 · 22:30O. Svacha208750R. Urbaniec331111113
WAug 30 · 13:02O. Svacha4111116133R. Urbaniec377811111
LAug 30 · 10:00O. Svacha216960R. Urbaniec331111113
LAug 28 · 02:00O. Svacha4215511111R. Urbaniec50131113133
LAug 19 · 02:00O. Svacha3641011111R. Urbaniec4411128133
LAug 17 · 20:30O. Svacha46111011592R. Urbaniec44812211113
LAug 16 · 24:00O. Svacha206860R. Urbaniec331111113
WAug 15 · 09:00O. Svacha331111113R. Urbaniec91530
WAug 15 · 08:30O. Svacha481141111113R. Urbaniec4041131392
WAug 14 · 21:30O. Svacha3511111123R. Urbaniec349114101
O. Svacha10
WSep 14 · 02:00O. Svacha1.36111163113J. Louda3.0065111182LSep 14 · 24:00J. Ruzicka1.80111110113O. Svacha1.91931261LSep 13 · 22:30M. Wagner1.8081111113O. Svacha1.91116861WSep 12 · 21:30J. Ruzicka1.7312680O. Svacha2.001411113WSep 12 · 20:30O. Svacha1.839111110143R. Urbaniec1.83117712122WSep 12 · 19:00O. Svacha1.91111167113O. Kolisnyk1.8068111182LSep 12 · 18:00J. Ruzicka1.831016611113O. Svacha1.83121411272WSep 12 · 09:30V. Svechota1.536111091O. Svacha2.3811912113WSep 12 · 08:30O. Svacha2.1013113113M. Wagner1.671181191LSep 12 · 07:00O. Svacha2.2011101081V. Svechota1.6191212113
R. Urbaniec10
LSep 14 · 02:30J. Ruzicka1.53111116123R. Urbaniec2.389918101WSep 13 · 23:30R. Urbaniec2.63111282113M. Wagner1.44710111182LSep 13 · 22:00R. Urbaniec1.5389111182J. Louda2.38111184113WSep 12 · 21:00O. Kolisnyk1.671291181R. Urbaniec2.1014118113LSep 12 · 20:30O. Svacha1.839111110143R. Urbaniec1.83117712122LSep 12 · 19:30R. Urbaniec2.38711691J. Ruzicka1.5311911113LSep 12 · 18:30O. Kolisnyk1.671111113R. Urbaniec2.108970WSep 12 · 16:59J. Ruzicka1.44151146102R. Urbaniec2.631351111123LSep 12 · 16:30R. Urbaniec2.50511941J. Ruzicka1.5011711113LSep 12 · 15:00R. Urbaniec2.205690J. Kanera1.611111113
Upcoming Matches
O. Svacha
Nothing scheduled
R. Urbaniec
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