TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13139329
Played Sep 17Finished
Adam Brazda
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911811711––––
Jiri Louda
Away
1.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:29 and never touched — 65.3% is still 65.3%
Graded at full timeJiri Louda to win
65.3%
65.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAdam Brazda above · Jiri Louda below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 57 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Jiri Louda at 65.3%
57 points played in total.
H2H Adam Brazda 13–34 Jiri Louda Adam Brazda has won 13 of their 47 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:29What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Louda
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-34 in 47
Louda
Correct
gap of 21 in 47, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Brazda 1731 vs Louda 1695
Brazda
Wrong
both rated, 37 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Brazda 20% vs Louda 60%
Louda
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Brazda 50% vs Louda 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Brazda -2 · Louda -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Louda) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Brazda form (20%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBrazda 2.50 / Louda 1.50
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Louda)-1.2pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13139329
Brazda2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog45% won 31 of 69
Down 0–1, comes back39% 14 of 36
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 14
Louda1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite57% won 186 of 324
Up 2–0, closes it87% 83 of 96
Up 1–0, closes it73% 136 of 187
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBrazda3wins
AwayLouda7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLouda leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBrazdan = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayLouda75%6 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Brazda2Louda8n = 10Louda took 8 of 10
S2Brazda4Louda6n = 10Louda took 6 of 10
S3Brazda2Louda8n = 10Louda took 8 of 10
S4Brazda4Louda2n = 6Brazda took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricBrazdaLoudaB − LBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match32.039.1−7.1per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBrazdaLoudaBasisWin rate · lifetime190 / 399 vs 612 / 119947.6%51%190 / 399 vs 612 / 1199Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.938.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LoudaBrazda 2.50/Louda 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.3%
Louda · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Louda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 6 · 10:00A. Brazda4591111143J. Louda401198121
WSep 1 · 15:00A. Brazda43111110113J. Louda31561281
WAug 18 · 18:30A. Brazda48811711113J. Louda4511611892
LApr 28 · 14:00A. Brazda25101050J. Louda351212113
LMar 4 · 17:59A. Brazda141580J. Louda331111113
LMar 4 · 16:30A. Brazda23115521J. Louda4291111113
LFeb 19 · 21:30A. Brazda4561361192J. Louda521111118113
LJan 29 · 22:26A. Brazda35661491J. Louda45111112113
LJan 29 · 19:00A. Brazda2779110J. Louda351111133
LJan 5 · 20:00A. Brazda153480J. Louda331111113
A. Brazda10
LSep 14 · 17:00A. Brazda2.25114321R. Urbaniec1.5791111113LSep 14 · 16:00O. Kolisnyk1.331111113A. Brazda3.259860WSep 14 · 15:00R. Urbaniec1.57158961A. Brazda2.25131111113LSep 14 · 14:30A. Brazda2.75127551R. Rose1.40101111113LSep 10 · 17:30R. Urbaniec1.657111111113A. Brazda2.1011136462WSep 10 · 16:00V. Nohejl1.611171071A. Brazda2.2041112113LSep 10 · 15:00R. Urbaniec1.40141111113A. Brazda2.75167581WSep 10 · 14:30A. Brazda2.5051111113O. Svacha1.50119661WSep 6 · 13:30A. Brazda1.7311116143M. Wagner2.006911121WSep 6 · 12:00A. Brazda1.7311911113M. Wagner2.00711771
J. Louda10
LSep 17 · 15:00J. Louda2.20127831R. Urbaniec1.61101111113LSep 14 · 03:30J. Louda2.5571070J. Ruzicka1.431112113LSep 14 · 02:00O. Svacha1.36111163113J. Louda3.0065111182WSep 14 · 24:30J. Louda2.10111115123M. Wagner1.67113911102WSep 13 · 23:00J. Louda2.6311711113J. Ruzicka1.44711991WSep 13 · 22:00R. Urbaniec1.5389111182J. Louda2.38111184113WSep 13 · 03:00M. Regner1.8310280J. Louda1.831211113WSep 13 · 02:30S. Kasnik2.105650J. Louda1.671111113LSep 13 · 01:00R. Wagner1.8311811113J. Louda1.83911441LSep 12 · 23:30J. Louda2.006650R. Rose1.731111113
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