TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13140650
Played Sep 17Finished
Jiri Louda
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1210711811311––
Radim Urbaniec
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:54 and never touched — 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timeRadim Urbaniec to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJiri Louda above · Radim Urbaniec below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 3-11
Point 73 set 4, 3-11 — our read held Radim Urbaniec at 58.9%
73 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Louda 16–30 Radim Urbaniec Jiri Louda has won 16 of their 46 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 13:54What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Urbaniec
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
16-30 in 46
Urbaniec
Correct
gap of 14 in 46, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Louda 1710 vs Urbaniec 1722
Urbaniec
Correct
both rated, 11 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Louda 60% vs Urbaniec 80%
Urbaniec
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Louda 60% vs Urbaniec 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Louda +1 · Urbaniec +4
Urbaniec
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Urbaniec)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Urbaniec form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLouda 2.20 / Urbaniec 1.61
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Urbaniec)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13140650
Louda2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog38% won 54 of 141
Down 0–1, comes back15% 11 of 73
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 44
Urbaniec1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite65% won 183 of 282
Up 2–0, closes it91% 90 of 99
Up 1–0, closes it78% 124 of 160
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLouda4wins
AwayUrbaniec6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderUrbaniec leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLouda80%4 of 5
AwayUrbaniec100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Louda5Urbaniec5n = 10split evenly
S2Louda2Urbaniec8n = 10Urbaniec took 8 of 10
S3Louda5Urbaniec5n = 10split evenly
S4Louda5Urbaniec2n = 7Louda took 5 of 7
S5Louda1Urbaniec3n = 4Urbaniec took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricLoudaUrbaniecL − UBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match34.937.9−3.0per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLoudaUrbaniecBasisWin rate · lifetime613 / 1200 vs 638 / 125951.1%50.7%613 / 1200 vs 638 / 1259Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.437.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
UrbaniecLouda 2.20/Urbaniec 1.61
Hit
What we said
58.9%
Urbaniec · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Urbaniec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LMay 30 · 18:00J. Louda218670R. Urbaniec331111113
LMay 15 · 20:58J. Louda225980R. Urbaniec331111113
WMay 15 · 20:30J. Louda3711114113R. Urbaniec32571191
LMay 15 · 24:30J. Louda4111513482R. Urbaniec473111111113
LMay 14 · 07:30J. Louda4096111132R. Urbaniec48111196113
WMay 13 · 14:00J. Louda4111612123R. Urbaniec3761110101
WMay 10 · 20:30J. Louda42114115113R. Urbaniec3981131162
LMay 9 · 23:30J. Louda46710111172R. Urbaniec42111262113
WMay 9 · 08:59J. Louda4111118113R. Urbaniec34951191
LMay 9 · 08:00J. Louda1844100R. Urbaniec341111123
J. Louda10
WSep 17 · 14:00A. Brazda2.509870J. Louda1.501111113LSep 14 · 03:30J. Louda2.5571070J. Ruzicka1.431112113LSep 14 · 02:00O. Svacha1.36111163113J. Louda3.0065111182WSep 14 · 24:30J. Louda2.10111115123M. Wagner1.67113911102WSep 13 · 23:00J. Louda2.6311711113J. Ruzicka1.44711991WSep 13 · 22:00R. Urbaniec1.5389111182J. Louda2.38111184113WSep 13 · 03:00M. Regner1.8310280J. Louda1.831211113WSep 13 · 02:30S. Kasnik2.105650J. Louda1.671111113LSep 13 · 01:00R. Wagner1.8311811113J. Louda1.83911441LSep 12 · 23:30J. Louda2.006650R. Rose1.731111113
R. Urbaniec10
WSep 17 · 16:00A. Brazda2.5097111162R. Urbaniec1.50111177113WSep 17 · 14:30R. Urbaniec2.7512114113M. Pikous1.401041171WSep 17 · 13:30R. Urbaniec1.3311711113M. Sychra3.25511771WSep 17 · 12:00R. Urbaniec1.361111113M. Sychra3.008140WSep 17 · 11:30J. Zuzanek2.63119641R. Urbaniec1.4491111113LSep 17 · 10:00R. Urbaniec1.57311741R. Wagner2.2511811113LSep 16 · 17:30M. Jezek1.501111113R. Urbaniec2.405660LSep 16 · 16:30R. Urbaniec2.6311841272M. Jezek1.449111110113WSep 16 · 15:00R. Urbaniec2.20711127113V. Nohejl1.61119101192LSep 13 · 22:00R. Urbaniec1.5389111182J. Louda2.38111184113
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