TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13140473
Played Sep 17Finished
Adam Brazda
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
911711117117611
Radim Urbaniec
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:33 and never touched — 60.5% is still 60.5%
Graded at full timeRadim Urbaniec to win
60.5%
60.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAdam Brazda above · Radim Urbaniec below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 91 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Radim Urbaniec at 60.5%
91 points played in total.
H2H Adam Brazda 5–7 Radim Urbaniec Adam Brazda has won 5 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:33What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Urbaniec
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-7 in 12
Urbaniec
Correct
gap of 2 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Brazda 1716 vs Urbaniec 1733
Urbaniec
Correct
both rated, 17 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Brazda 20% vs Urbaniec 100%
Urbaniec
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Brazda 30% vs Urbaniec 70%
Urbaniec
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Brazda -4 · Urbaniec +5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Urbaniec) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Urbaniec form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBrazda 2.50 / Urbaniec 1.50
Signal prob.37% / 63%
Edge (Urbaniec)+0.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13140473
Brazda2.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog45% won 31 of 69
Down 0–1, comes back39% 14 of 36
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 14
Urbaniec1.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite65% won 183 of 282
Up 2–0, closes it91% 90 of 99
Up 1–0, closes it78% 124 of 160
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBrazda3wins
AwayUrbaniec7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderUrbaniec leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBrazda33.3%2 of 6
AwayUrbaniec75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Brazda6Urbaniec4n = 10Brazda took 6 of 10
S2Brazda5Urbaniec5n = 10split evenly
S3Brazda1Urbaniec9n = 10Urbaniec took 9 of 10
S4Brazda2Urbaniec6n = 8Urbaniec took 6 of 8
S5Brazda2Urbaniec2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricBrazdaUrbaniecB − UBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match34.641.9−7.3per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBrazdaUrbaniecBasisWin rate · lifetime188 / 399 vs 639 / 126047.1%50.7%188 / 399 vs 639 / 1260Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.837.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
UrbaniecBrazda 2.50/Urbaniec 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.3%
Urbaniec · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Urbaniec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 14 · 17:00A. Brazda20114321R. Urbaniec4291111113
WSep 14 · 15:00A. Brazda46131111113R. Urbaniec38158961
LSep 10 · 17:30A. Brazda4011136462R. Urbaniec517111111113
LSep 10 · 15:00A. Brazda36167581R. Urbaniec47141111113
WAug 18 · 21:02A. Brazda48111178113R. Urbaniec4487111172
LAug 18 · 19:30A. Brazda239770R. Urbaniec331111113
LJan 15 · 20:00A. Brazda377135121R. Urbaniec47111111143
WJan 4 · 09:30A. Brazda451111210113R. Urbaniec3561111252
LJan 3 · 16:30A. Brazda192980R. Urbaniec331111113
LDec 30 · 19:30A. Brazda3211621122R. Urbaniec49811118113
A. Brazda10
LSep 17 · 16:58J. Louda1.501111133A. Brazda2.5073110LSep 17 · 15:30M. Pikous1.6111119113A. Brazda2.20571151LSep 17 · 14:00A. Brazda2.509870J. Louda1.501111113LSep 14 · 17:00A. Brazda2.25114321R. Urbaniec1.5791111113LSep 14 · 16:00O. Kolisnyk1.331111113A. Brazda3.259860WSep 14 · 15:00R. Urbaniec1.57158961A. Brazda2.25131111113LSep 14 · 14:30A. Brazda2.75127551R. Rose1.40101111113LSep 10 · 17:30R. Urbaniec1.657111111113A. Brazda2.1011136462WSep 10 · 16:00V. Nohejl1.611171071A. Brazda2.2041112113LSep 10 · 15:00R. Urbaniec1.40141111113A. Brazda2.75167581
R. Urbaniec10
WSep 17 · 15:00J. Louda2.20127831R. Urbaniec1.61101111113WSep 17 · 14:30R. Urbaniec2.7512114113M. Pikous1.401041171WSep 17 · 13:30R. Urbaniec1.3311711113M. Sychra3.25511771WSep 17 · 12:00R. Urbaniec1.361111113M. Sychra3.008140WSep 17 · 11:30J. Zuzanek2.63119641R. Urbaniec1.4491111113LSep 17 · 10:00R. Urbaniec1.57311741R. Wagner2.2511811113WSep 14 · 17:00A. Brazda2.25114321R. Urbaniec1.5791111113LSep 14 · 15:00R. Urbaniec1.57158961A. Brazda2.25131111113WSep 10 · 17:30R. Urbaniec1.657111111113A. Brazda2.1011136462WSep 10 · 15:00R. Urbaniec1.40141111113A. Brazda2.75167581
Upcoming Matches
A. Brazda
Nothing scheduled
R. Urbaniec
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