TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13126072
Played Sep 14Finished
Radim Urbaniec
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1513811911611––
Adam Brazda
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:52 and never touched — 54.5% is still 54.5%
Graded at full timeRadim Urbaniec to win
54.5%
54.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingRadim Urbaniec above · Adam Brazda below
Set 1 · 15-13
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 84 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Radim Urbaniec at 54.5%
84 points played in total.
H2H Radim Urbaniec 6–4 Adam Brazda Adam Brazda has won 4 of their 10 meetings.
The pickContradict
Sealed 18:52What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Urbaniec
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-4 in 10
Urbaniec
Wrong
gap of 2 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Urbaniec 1728 vs Brazda 1743
Brazda
Correct
both rated, 15 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Urbaniec 60% vs Brazda 40%
Urbaniec
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Urbaniec 40% vs Brazda 70%
Brazda
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Urbaniec -1 · Brazda -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as Contradict.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Urbaniec)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsUrbaniec 1.57 / Brazda 2.25
Signal prob.55% / 46%
Edge (Brazda)+4.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13126072
Urbaniec1.57
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite65% won 186 of 288
Up 2–0, closes it91% 93 of 102
Up 1–0, closes it78% 127 of 163
Brazda2.25
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog46% won 30 of 65
Down 0–1, comes back38% 13 of 34
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 13
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeUrbaniec6wins
AwayBrazda4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderUrbaniec leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeUrbaniec75%3 of 4
AwayBrazda50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Urbaniec4Brazda6n = 10Brazda took 6 of 10
S2Urbaniec5Brazda5n = 10split evenly
S3Urbaniec8Brazda2n = 10Urbaniec took 8 of 10
S4Urbaniec5Brazda2n = 7Urbaniec took 5 of 7
S5Urbaniec2Brazda3n = 5Brazda took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricUrbaniecBrazdaU − BBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match40.836.5+4.3per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricUrbaniecBrazdaBasisWin rate · lifetime629 / 1239 vs 189 / 39650.8%47.7%629 / 1239 vs 189 / 396Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BrazdaUrbaniec 1.57/Brazda 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.5%
Urbaniec · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Brazda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 10 · 17:30R. Urbaniec517111111113A. Brazda4011136462
WSep 10 · 15:00R. Urbaniec47141111113A. Brazda36167581
LAug 18 · 21:02R. Urbaniec4487111172A. Brazda48111178113
WAug 18 · 19:30R. Urbaniec331111113A. Brazda239770
WJan 15 · 20:00R. Urbaniec47111111143A. Brazda377135121
LJan 4 · 09:30R. Urbaniec3561111252A. Brazda451111210113
WJan 3 · 16:30R. Urbaniec331111113A. Brazda192980
WDec 30 · 19:30R. Urbaniec49811118113A. Brazda3211621122
LDec 29 · 21:30R. Urbaniec46121167102A. Brazda521081111123
LApr 3 · 20:00R. Urbaniec238780A. Brazda331111113
R. Urbaniec10
LSep 14 · 14:00O. Kolisnyk1.8011127113R. Urbaniec1.916101141WSep 14 · 02:58R. Urbaniec2.381111113M. Wagner1.537890LSep 14 · 02:30J. Ruzicka1.53111116123R. Urbaniec2.389918101WSep 14 · 01:00O. Svacha1.83116971R. Urbaniec1.8361111113WSep 13 · 23:30R. Urbaniec2.63111282113M. Wagner1.44710111182LSep 13 · 22:00R. Urbaniec1.5389111182J. Louda2.38111184113WSep 12 · 21:00O. Kolisnyk1.671291181R. Urbaniec2.1014118113LSep 12 · 20:30O. Svacha1.839111110143R. Urbaniec1.83117712122LSep 12 · 19:30R. Urbaniec2.38711691J. Ruzicka1.5311911113LSep 12 · 18:30O. Kolisnyk1.671111113R. Urbaniec2.108970
A. Brazda10
LSep 14 · 14:30A. Brazda2.75127551R. Rose1.40101111113LSep 10 · 17:30R. Urbaniec1.657111111113A. Brazda2.1011136462WSep 10 · 16:00V. Nohejl1.611171071A. Brazda2.2041112113LSep 10 · 15:00R. Urbaniec1.40141111113A. Brazda2.75167581WSep 10 · 14:30A. Brazda2.5051111113O. Svacha1.50119661WSep 6 · 13:30A. Brazda1.7311116143M. Wagner2.006911121WSep 6 · 12:00A. Brazda1.7311911113M. Wagner2.00711771WSep 6 · 11:30P. Saleny1.80119961A. Brazda1.9161111113WSep 6 · 10:00A. Brazda2.6391111143J. Louda1.441198121WSep 3 · 17:30J. Simecek1.6510740A. Brazda2.101211113
Upcoming Matches
R. Urbaniec
Sep 14 · 16:30R. Urbaniec2.25R. Rose1.57—Sep 15 · 06:00R. Urbaniec1.91O. Kolisnyk1.80—Sep 15 · 07:00R. Urbaniec3.00V. Svechota1.36—Sep 15 · 08:30R. Urbaniec2.25J. Ruzicka1.57—Sep 15 · 10:30R. Urbaniec1.91O. Kolisnyk1.80—Sep 15 · 11:30R. Urbaniec3.00V. Svechota1.36—Sep 15 · 12:30R. Urbaniec2.25J. Ruzicka1.57—
A. Brazda
Nothing scheduled
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