TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13124717
Played Sep 14Finished
Adam Brazda
Home
2.75
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1210711511511––
Radek Rose
Away
1.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:21 and never touched — 61.4% is still 61.4%
Graded at full timeRadek Rose to win
61.4%
61.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAdam Brazda above · Radek Rose below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 72 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Radek Rose at 61.4%
72 points played in total.
H2H Adam Brazda 3–11 Radek Rose Adam Brazda has won 3 of their 14 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:21What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Rose
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-11 in 14
Rose
Correct
gap of 8 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Brazda 1757 vs Rose 1687
Brazda
Wrong
both rated, 70 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Brazda 60% vs Rose 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Brazda 70% vs Rose 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Brazda -1 · Rose -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Rose) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rose form (60%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBrazda 2.75 / Rose 1.40
Signal prob.37% / 64%
Edge (Brazda)+2.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13124717
Brazda2.75
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog46% won 30 of 65
Down 0–1, comes back38% 13 of 34
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 13
Rose1.40
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite64% won 34 of 53
Up 2–0, closes it100% 18 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it75% 24 of 32
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBrazda2wins
AwayRose8wins
1 of 10 to a deciderRose leads 8–2, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBrazda50%2 of 4
AwayRose100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Brazda4Rose6n = 10Rose took 6 of 10
S2Brazda5Rose5n = 10split evenly
S3Brazda2Rose8n = 10Rose took 8 of 10
S4Brazda0Rose4n = 4Rose took 4 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricBrazdaRoseB − RBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match27.933.9−6.0per matchSweeps24−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBrazdaRoseBasisWin rate · lifetime191 / 399 vs 157 / 33647.9%46.7%191 / 399 vs 157 / 336Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.036.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RoseBrazda 2.75/Rose 1.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.5%
Rose · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Rose won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 18 · 20:30A. Brazda39111111152R. Rose43441311113
LFeb 19 · 22:08A. Brazda178540R. Rose331111113
LFeb 19 · 20:30A. Brazda351176111R. Rose4381111133
LJan 15 · 19:30A. Brazda25211571R. Rose4011711113
LJan 5 · 19:30A. Brazda145450R. Rose31111193
LJan 3 · 15:30A. Brazda2110920R. Rose341211113
LDec 10 · 19:30A. Brazda389111261R. Rose3911414103
WNov 19 · 19:30A. Brazda321111103R. Rose214980
WJul 16 · 19:00A. Brazda331111113R. Rose229760
LJul 10 · 16:30A. Brazda257990R. Rose331111113
A. Brazda10
WSep 14 · 15:00R. Urbaniec1.57158961A. Brazda2.25131111113LSep 10 · 17:30R. Urbaniec1.657111111113A. Brazda2.1011136462WSep 10 · 16:00V. Nohejl1.611171071A. Brazda2.2041112113LSep 10 · 15:00R. Urbaniec1.40141111113A. Brazda2.75167581WSep 10 · 14:30A. Brazda2.5051111113O. Svacha1.50119661WSep 6 · 13:30A. Brazda1.7311116143M. Wagner2.006911121WSep 6 · 12:00A. Brazda1.7311911113M. Wagner2.00711771WSep 6 · 11:30P. Saleny1.80119961A. Brazda1.9161111113WSep 6 · 10:00A. Brazda2.6391111143J. Louda1.441198121WSep 3 · 17:30J. Simecek1.6510740A. Brazda2.101211113
R. Rose10
LSep 14 · 15:30R. Rose2.3851190O. Kolisnyk1.531113113LSep 13 · 03:29R. Rose1.8331171182R. Wagner1.83119114113WSep 13 · 01:30R. Rose1.501111113S. Kasnik2.504540WSep 13 · 24:30M. Regner1.618950R. Rose2.201111113WSep 12 · 23:30J. Louda2.006650R. Rose1.731111113LSep 12 · 22:30R. Rose1.6711981272R. Wagner2.106111110113WSep 9 · 20:58R. Rose2.63111157113M. Sychra1.4484111152WSep 9 · 20:00R. Rose1.801111113M. Vondrak1.913180LSep 9 · 19:30M. Sychra1.44111116113R. Rose2.639131491LSep 9 · 18:00R. Rose1.678101191J. Louda2.1011127113
Upcoming Matches
A. Brazda
Nothing scheduled
R. Rose
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