TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13125100
Played Sep 14Finished
Radek Rose
Home
2.38
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
5111113911––––
Oleksandr Kolisnyk
Away
1.53
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:11 and never touched — 56.8% is still 56.8%
Graded at full timeRadek Rose to win
56.8%
56.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingRadek Rose above · Oleksandr Kolisnyk below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 60 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Radek Rose at 56.8%
60 points played in total.
H2H Radek Rose 17–12 Oleksandr Kolisnyk Oleksandr Kolisnyk has won 12 of their 29 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:11What took a side1 for · 4 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Kolisnyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
17-12 in 29
Rose
Wrong
gap of 5 in 29, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Rose 1701 vs Kolisnyk 1837
Kolisnyk
Correct
both rated, 135 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rose 80% vs Kolisnyk 100%
Kolisnyk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rose 60% vs Kolisnyk 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Rose +1 · Kolisnyk +5
Kolisnyk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Kolisnyk) · live re-read · sealed at 43% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kolisnyk form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRose 2.38 / Kolisnyk 1.53
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Kolisnyk)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13125100
Rose2.38
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog28% won 12 of 43
Down 0–1, comes back4% 1 of 25
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 17
Kolisnyk1.53
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite59% won 76 of 130
Up 2–0, closes it94% 34 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it81% 59 of 73
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRose4wins
AwayKolisnyk6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKolisnyk leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRose66.7%2 of 3
AwayKolisnyk71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rose3Kolisnyk7n = 10Kolisnyk took 7 of 10
S2Rose6Kolisnyk4n = 10Rose took 6 of 10
S3Rose5Kolisnyk5n = 10split evenly
S4Rose2Kolisnyk4n = 6Kolisnyk took 4 of 6
S5Rose1Kolisnyk2n = 3Kolisnyk took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricRoseKolisnykR − KBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match36.437.7−1.3per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRoseKolisnykBasisWin rate · lifetime158 / 337 vs 548 / 109246.9%50.2%158 / 337 vs 548 / 1092Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.938.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolisnykRose 2.38/Kolisnyk 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.8%
Kolisnyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kolisnyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 7 · 14:30R. Rose2879120O. Kolisnyk361111143
WJul 31 · 16:59R. Rose331111113O. Kolisnyk204880
LJul 31 · 14:00R. Rose246990O. Kolisnyk331111113
LJun 16 · 20:30R. Rose184680O. Kolisnyk331111113
WJun 10 · 16:30R. Rose491111610113O. Kolisnyk4778111292
LMar 11 · 19:00R. Rose37911981O. Kolisnyk3911611113
LFeb 11 · 22:03R. Rose4381111942O. Kolisnyk42115511103
WFeb 11 · 21:30R. Rose4491111133O. Kolisnyk371196111
LFeb 1 · 17:00R. Rose46118111152O. Kolisnyk5191191393
WJan 19 · 20:00R. Rose4271113113O. Kolisnyk391191181
R. Rose10
WSep 14 · 14:30A. Brazda2.75127551R. Rose1.40101111113LSep 13 · 03:29R. Rose1.8331171182R. Wagner1.83119114113WSep 13 · 01:30R. Rose1.501111113S. Kasnik2.504540WSep 13 · 24:30M. Regner1.618950R. Rose2.201111113WSep 12 · 23:30J. Louda2.006650R. Rose1.731111113LSep 12 · 22:30R. Rose1.6711981272R. Wagner2.106111110113WSep 9 · 20:58R. Rose2.63111157113M. Sychra1.4484111152WSep 9 · 20:00R. Rose1.801111113M. Vondrak1.913180LSep 9 · 19:30M. Sychra1.44111116113R. Rose2.639131491LSep 9 · 18:00R. Rose1.678101191J. Louda2.1011127113
O. Kolisnyk10
WSep 14 · 14:00O. Kolisnyk1.8011127113R. Urbaniec1.916101141WSep 13 · 17:30O. Kolisnyk2.45881111113J. Jr1.4911112682WSep 13 · 16:30O. Kolisnyk2.20111210133J. Ruzicka1.6171012111WSep 13 · 15:00O. Kolisnyk1.911111113V. Nohejl1.808250WSep 13 · 14:00J. Jr1.50101171162O. Kolisnyk2.50129118113LSep 12 · 21:00O. Kolisnyk1.671291181R. Urbaniec2.1014118113LSep 12 · 20:00J. Ruzicka1.6111511133O. Kolisnyk2.209115111LSep 12 · 19:00O. Svacha1.91111167113O. Kolisnyk1.8068111182WSep 12 · 18:30O. Kolisnyk1.671111113R. Urbaniec2.108970WSep 12 · 17:31O. Kolisnyk1.8211411113J. Kanera1.90811991
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