TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13125101
Played Sep 14Finished
Oleksandr Kolisnyk
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1161210711114––
Radim Urbaniec
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:11 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Kolisnyk to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Kolisnyk above · Radim Urbaniec below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-4
Point 72 set 4, 11-4 — our read held Oleksandr Kolisnyk at 54.0%
72 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Kolisnyk 20–23 Radim Urbaniec Oleksandr Kolisnyk has won 20 of their 43 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:11What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Kolisnyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
20-23 in 43
Urbaniec
Wrong
gap of 3 in 43, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kolisnyk 1828 vs Urbaniec 1737
Kolisnyk
Correct
both rated, 91 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolisnyk 80% vs Urbaniec 60%
Kolisnyk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolisnyk 70% vs Urbaniec 50%
Kolisnyk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolisnyk +4 · Urbaniec +1
Kolisnyk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kolisnyk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kolisnyk form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolisnyk 1.80 / Urbaniec 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kolisnyk)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13125101
Kolisnyk1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite59% won 76 of 130
Up 2–0, closes it94% 34 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it81% 59 of 73
Urbaniec1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog40% won 178 of 450
Down 0–1, comes back21% 53 of 254
Down 0–2, comes back6% 8 of 142
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKolisnyk4wins
AwayUrbaniec6wins
1 of 10 to a deciderUrbaniec leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolisnyk80%4 of 5
AwayUrbaniec100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolisnyk5Urbaniec5n = 10split evenly
S2Kolisnyk8Urbaniec2n = 10Kolisnyk took 8 of 10
S3Kolisnyk2Urbaniec8n = 10Urbaniec took 8 of 10
S4Kolisnyk3Urbaniec4n = 7Urbaniec took 4 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKolisnykUrbaniecK − UBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match36.136.5−0.4per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolisnykUrbaniecBasisWin rate · lifetime547 / 1091 vs 629 / 123850.1%50.8%547 / 1091 vs 629 / 1238Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.737.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolisnykKolisnyk 1.80/Urbaniec 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Kolisnyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kolisnyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 12 · 18:30O. Kolisnyk331111113R. Urbaniec248970
LSep 12 · 14:00O. Kolisnyk33811681R. Urbaniec4011711113
WSep 11 · 13:00O. Kolisnyk341211113R. Urbaniec1810260
LSep 11 · 11:30O. Kolisnyk217680R. Urbaniec331111113
WSep 9 · 16:00O. Kolisnyk47111114113R. Urbaniec40791681
WAug 29 · 06:00O. Kolisnyk4511149113R. Urbaniec334121161
LAug 28 · 21:28O. Kolisnyk28113771R. Urbaniec4181111113
LAug 28 · 20:00O. Kolisnyk35811881R. Urbaniec4211911113
LAug 15 · 06:00O. Kolisnyk4781181282R. Urbaniec511181110113
LAug 8 · 13:00O. Kolisnyk389127101R. Urbaniec43111011113
O. Kolisnyk10
WSep 13 · 17:30O. Kolisnyk2.45881111113J. Jr1.4911112682WSep 13 · 16:30O. Kolisnyk2.20111210133J. Ruzicka1.6171012111WSep 13 · 15:00O. Kolisnyk1.911111113V. Nohejl1.808250WSep 13 · 14:00J. Jr1.50101171162O. Kolisnyk2.50129118113LSep 12 · 21:00O. Kolisnyk1.671291181R. Urbaniec2.1014118113LSep 12 · 20:00J. Ruzicka1.6111511133O. Kolisnyk2.209115111LSep 12 · 19:00O. Svacha1.91111167113O. Kolisnyk1.8068111182WSep 12 · 18:30O. Kolisnyk1.671111113R. Urbaniec2.108970WSep 12 · 17:31O. Kolisnyk1.8211411113J. Kanera1.90811991WSep 12 · 16:00O. Kolisnyk1.6111511113J. Kanera2.20411931
R. Urbaniec10
WSep 14 · 02:58R. Urbaniec2.381111113M. Wagner1.537890LSep 14 · 02:30J. Ruzicka1.53111116123R. Urbaniec2.389918101WSep 14 · 01:00O. Svacha1.83116971R. Urbaniec1.8361111113WSep 13 · 23:30R. Urbaniec2.63111282113M. Wagner1.44710111182LSep 13 · 22:00R. Urbaniec1.5389111182J. Louda2.38111184113WSep 12 · 21:00O. Kolisnyk1.671291181R. Urbaniec2.1014118113LSep 12 · 20:30O. Svacha1.839111110143R. Urbaniec1.83117712122LSep 12 · 19:30R. Urbaniec2.38711691J. Ruzicka1.5311911113LSep 12 · 18:30O. Kolisnyk1.671111113R. Urbaniec2.108970WSep 12 · 16:59J. Ruzicka1.44151146102R. Urbaniec2.631351111123
Upcoming Matches
O. Kolisnyk
Sep 14 · 15:30O. Kolisnyk1.53R. Rose2.38—Sep 14 · 16:00O. Kolisnyk1.33A. Brazda3.25—Sep 15 · 06:00O. Kolisnyk1.80R. Urbaniec1.91—Sep 15 · 07:30O. Kolisnyk2.10J. Ruzicka1.67—Sep 15 · 08:00O. Kolisnyk1.83V. Svechota1.83—Sep 15 · 10:30O. Kolisnyk1.80R. Urbaniec1.91—Sep 15 · 11:00O. Kolisnyk2.10J. Ruzicka1.65—Sep 15 · 12:00O. Kolisnyk1.83V. Svechota1.83—
R. Urbaniec
Sep 14 · 16:30R. Urbaniec2.25R. Rose1.57—Sep 15 · 06:00R. Urbaniec1.91O. Kolisnyk1.80—Sep 15 · 07:00R. Urbaniec2.90V. Svechota1.35—Sep 15 · 08:30R. Urbaniec2.25J. Ruzicka1.57—Sep 15 · 10:30R. Urbaniec1.91O. Kolisnyk1.80—Sep 15 · 11:30R. Urbaniec3.00V. Svechota1.36—Sep 15 · 12:30R. Urbaniec2.25J. Ruzicka1.57—
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