TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13135900
Played Sep 16Finished
Radim Urbaniec
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
7111191210711119
Vaclav Nohejl 2005
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:27 and never touched — 58.5% is still 58.5%
Graded at full timeVaclav Nohejl 2005 to win
58.5%
58.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingRadim Urbaniec above · Vaclav Nohejl 2005 below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 98 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Vaclav Nohejl 2005 at 58.5%
98 points played in total.
H2H Radim Urbaniec 12–17 Vaclav Nohejl 2005 Radim Urbaniec has won 12 of their 29 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:27What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Nohejl
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-17 in 29
Nohejl
Wrong
gap of 5 in 29, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Urbaniec 1692 vs Nohejl 1691
Urbaniec
Correct
both rated, 2 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Urbaniec 20% vs Nohejl 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Urbaniec 40% vs Nohejl 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Urbaniec +1 · Nohejl -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Nohejl)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Nohejl form (20%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsUrbaniec 2.20 / Nohejl 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 59%
Edge (Nohejl)+0.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13135900
Urbaniec2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog40% won 179 of 453
Down 0–1, comes back21% 53 of 256
Down 0–2, comes back6% 8 of 143
Nohejl1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite66% won 60 of 91
Up 2–0, closes it94% 32 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it79% 45 of 57
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeUrbaniec5wins
AwayNohejl5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeUrbaniec75%3 of 4
AwayNohejl66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Urbaniec4Nohejl6n = 10Nohejl took 6 of 10
S2Urbaniec5Nohejl5n = 10split evenly
S3Urbaniec5Nohejl5n = 10split evenly
S4Urbaniec3Nohejl3n = 6split evenly
S5Urbaniec2Nohejl1n = 3Urbaniec took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricUrbaniecNohejlU − NBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match35.836.6−0.8per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricUrbaniecNohejlBasisWin rate · lifetime633 / 1251 vs 170 / 31250.6%54.5%633 / 1251 vs 170 / 312Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.638.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NohejlUrbaniec 2.20/Nohejl 1.61
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.5%
Nohejl · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Urbaniec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 10 · 14:00R. Urbaniec45111110942V. Nohejl45651211113
LAug 28 · 18:30R. Urbaniec2467110V. Nohejl351111133
LAug 19 · 17:30R. Urbaniec391261471V. Nohejl48141112113
LAug 19 · 16:30R. Urbaniec187830V. Nohejl331111113
WAug 5 · 16:59R. Urbaniec341112113V. Nohejl2151060
LAug 5 · 15:30R. Urbaniec27651151V. Nohejl3811115113
WJul 10 · 18:00R. Urbaniec4012116113V. Nohejl361081171
WMay 28 · 15:00R. Urbaniec46851111113V. Nohejl4211114882
WMay 26 · 20:30R. Urbaniec50811812113V. Nohejl46118111062
WApr 15 · 15:30R. Urbaniec351113113V. Nohejl2251160
R. Urbaniec10
WSep 16 · 14:00O. Kolisnyk1.6151181182R. Urbaniec2.20119118113LSep 15 · 12:59J. Ruzicka1.4481111113R. Urbaniec2.63116751LSep 15 · 12:30J. Ruzicka1.5011117113R. Urbaniec2.50461161LSep 15 · 11:30R. Urbaniec3.25811651V. Svechota1.3311911113LSep 15 · 10:30O. Kolisnyk1.8011117113R. Urbaniec1.91681171WSep 15 · 09:00O. Kolisnyk1.61791191R. Urbaniec2.2011117113LSep 15 · 08:30R. Urbaniec2.25510110J. Ruzicka1.571112133LSep 15 · 07:00R. Urbaniec3.007260V. Svechota1.361111113WSep 15 · 06:00O. Kolisnyk1.7311651262R. Urbaniec2.009111110113WSep 14 · 17:00A. Brazda2.25114321R. Urbaniec1.5791111113
V. Nohejl10
LSep 16 · 14:30V. Nohejl1.91621151M. Jezek1.8011118113WSep 13 · 16:58J. Ruzicka1.801110941V. Nohejl1.9171211113LSep 13 · 16:00J. Jr1.44811711113V. Nohejl2.6311911542LSep 13 · 15:00O. Kolisnyk1.911111113V. Nohejl1.808250LSep 13 · 14:30V. Nohejl1.807980J. Ruzicka1.911111113WSep 10 · 17:00O. Svacha2.631011431V. Nohejl1.4412511113LSep 10 · 16:00V. Nohejl1.611171071A. Brazda2.2041112113LSep 10 · 15:30O. Svacha3.0091111113V. Nohejl1.36116551WSep 10 · 14:00V. Nohejl1.57651211113R. Urbaniec2.25111110942WSep 5 · 09:30V. Nohejl1.7311117113V. Vejvoda2.00571171
Upcoming Matches
R. Urbaniec
Sep 16 · 16:30R. Urbaniec2.50M. Jezek1.50—Sep 17 · 10:00R. Urbaniec1.57R. Wagner2.25—Sep 17 · 11:30R. Urbaniec1.44J. Zuzanek2.63—Sep 17 · 12:00R. Urbaniec1.25J. Tazler3.75—Sep 17 · 14:30R. Urbaniec2.75M. Pikous1.40—Sep 17 · 15:00R. Urbaniec1.61J. Louda2.20—Sep 17 · 16:00R. Urbaniec1.50A. Brazda2.50—
V. Nohejl
Nothing scheduled
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