Jiri Ruzicka vs Radim Urbaniec 3-1

TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro

Czech Liga ProMatch #13135178

Played Sep 15Finished

Jiri Ruzicka

Home

1.44

At publish

Lost last 3

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Lost last 3

Final

3 – 1

Set by set

811116117115––

Radim Urbaniec

Away

2.63

At publish

Lost last 2

Form at publish

3–7Last 10Lost last 2

How it is goingJiri Ruzicka above · Radim Urbaniec below

Set 1 · 8-11

Set 2 · 11-6

Set 3 · 11-7

Set 4 · 11-5

Point 70 set 4, 11-5

70 points played in total.

H2H Jiri Ruzicka 46–28 Radim Urbaniec Radim Urbaniec has won 28 of their 74 meetings.

Last 10 · 6–4Same sideHead to head

Same-day rematch · 5h before this match

Ruzicka beat Urbaniec 3-0.

Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.

Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Ruzicka)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Urbaniec form (20%) is below what odds imply (38%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsRuzicka 1.44 / Urbaniec 2.63

Signal prob.66% / 34%

Edge (Ruzicka)+1.2pp

Czech Liga Pro · #13135178

Ruzicka1.44

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

Lost last 3

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As favourite58% won 172 of 298

Up 2–0, closes it93% 96 of 103

Up 1–0, closes it77% 130 of 169

Urbaniec2.63

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

Lost last 2

oldest → newest

30%takes the first set · 3 of 10

As underdog40% won 177 of 446

Down 0–1, comes back21% 52 of 250

Down 0–2, comes back6% 8 of 139

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeRuzicka6wins

AwayUrbaniec4wins

4 of 10 to a deciderRuzicka leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeRuzicka75%3 of 4

AwayUrbaniec50%3 of 6

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Ruzicka4Urbaniec6n = 10Urbaniec took 6 of 10

S2Ruzicka5Urbaniec5n = 10split evenly

S3Ruzicka5Urbaniec5n = 10split evenly

S4Ruzicka6Urbaniec2n = 8Ruzicka took 6 of 8

S5Ruzicka2Urbaniec2n = 4split evenly

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home00%

3–1Four sets, home440%

3–2Decider, home220%

2–3Decider, away220%

1–3Four sets, away00%

0–3Straight, away220%

These 10 meetings

MetricRuzickaUrbaniecR − UBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match38.838.5+0.3per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricRuzickaUrbaniecBasisWin rate · lifetime679 / 1407 vs 632 / 124848.3%50.6%679 / 1407 vs 632 / 1248Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.537.6per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Ruzicka

Ruzicka 1.44/Urbaniec 2.63

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

65.7%

Ruzicka · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–1

Ruzicka won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

WSep 12 · 19:30J. Ruzicka4211911113R. Urbaniec33711691

LSep 12 · 16:59J. Ruzicka46151146102R. Urbaniec521351111123

WSep 12 · 16:30J. Ruzicka4011711113R. Urbaniec29511941

WSep 11 · 10:30J. Ruzicka3851111113R. Urbaniec31116591

WSep 11 · 09:00J. Ruzicka3611311113R. Urbaniec33611791

LSep 11 · 07:00J. Ruzicka268990R. Urbaniec331111113

WSep 10 · 24:00J. Ruzicka46411416113R. Urbaniec49115111482

LSep 9 · 15:30J. Ruzicka2282120R. Urbaniec361111143

WSep 8 · 10:00J. Ruzicka46911114113R. Urbaniec4211671172

LSep 8 · 06:30J. Ruzicka4691181172R. Urbaniec47119115113

J. Ruzicka10

WSep 15 · 12:30J. Ruzicka1.5011117113R. Urbaniec2.50461161 LSep 15 · 11:00J. Ruzicka1.611191191O. Kolisnyk2.2051113113 LSep 15 · 10:00V. Svechota1.7312911113J. Ruzicka2.001011871 LSep 15 · 09:28J. Ruzicka2.207131114102V. Svechota1.611115812123 WSep 15 · 08:30R. Urbaniec2.25510110J. Ruzicka1.571112133 LSep 15 · 07:30J. Ruzicka1.67101011121O. Kolisnyk2.1012127143 WSep 15 · 06:30V. Svechota1.73611781J. Ruzicka2.0011911113 WSep 14 · 03:30J. Louda2.5571070J. Ruzicka1.431112113 WSep 14 · 02:30J. Ruzicka1.53111116123R. Urbaniec2.389918101 WSep 14 · 01:30M. Wagner1.8011771142J. Ruzicka1.91911116113

R. Urbaniec10

LSep 16 · 16:30R. Urbaniec2.6311841272M. Jezek1.449111110113 WSep 16 · 15:00R. Urbaniec2.20711127113V. Nohejl1.61119101192 WSep 16 · 14:00O. Kolisnyk1.6151181182R. Urbaniec2.20119118113 LSep 15 · 12:30J. Ruzicka1.5011117113R. Urbaniec2.50461161 LSep 15 · 11:30R. Urbaniec3.25811651V. Svechota1.3311911113 LSep 15 · 10:30O. Kolisnyk1.8011117113R. Urbaniec1.91681171 WSep 15 · 09:00O. Kolisnyk1.61791191R. Urbaniec2.2011117113 LSep 15 · 08:30R. Urbaniec2.25510110J. Ruzicka1.571112133 LSep 15 · 07:00R. Urbaniec3.007260V. Svechota1.361111113 LSep 14 · 02:30J. Ruzicka1.53111116123R. Urbaniec2.389918101

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R. Urbaniec

Sep 17 · 10:00R. Urbaniec1.57R. Wagner2.25—Sep 17 · 11:30R. Urbaniec1.44J. Zuzanek2.63—Sep 17 · 12:00R. Urbaniec1.25J. Tazler3.75—Sep 17 · 14:30R. Urbaniec2.75M. Pikous1.40—Sep 17 · 15:00R. Urbaniec1.61J. Louda2.20—Sep 17 · 16:00R. Urbaniec1.50A. Brazda2.50—

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